Will Bitcoin Bullish Swing Continue? Top Analyst Says Yes
2024年9月19日 - 5:30PM
NEWSBTC
An analyst has explained how Bitcoin will likely continue the
latest bullish swing, at least in the short-term. Bitcoin Spot
Exchange Supply Has Been On The Decline Recently In a new post on
X, analyst Willy Woo has discussed the short-term and medium-term
trajectories that BTC could follow. For the former, the analyst
says the bullish trend would continue, with “likely 1 week left in
play.” Related Reading: Dogecoin Miners In Accumulation Mode, But
Is This Really Bullish? In the medium term, things appear to be
more complicated, as Woo has pointed out the trend forming in the
Bitcoin inventory sitting on centralized exchange platforms. Below
is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the trajectory in the
value of this metric over the last few years. As is visible in the
above graph, the Spot Bitcoin exchange supply (the blue line) has
declined recently, suggesting that investors have been withdrawing
their coins into self-custodial wallets. Generally, one of the main
reasons investors keep their coins on spot platforms is for selling
purposes, so the Spot BTC inventory can be viewed as an estimation
of the available sell supply for the cryptocurrency. As such, the
investors taking their coins out of this supply can naturally be a
bullish sign for Bitcoin. In today’s era, however, the Spot BTC
isn’t the only factor affecting the asset’s price, as another form
of exchange supply has gained popularity in the last few years:
Paper BTC. Paper BTC refers to the derivatives contracts related to
the cryptocurrency that don’t require users to own any tokens
themselves. With Paper BTC gaining more dominance, its influence on
the market has become quite apparent. In the chart, the purple line
corresponds to the total BTC exchange inventory; that is, it shows
the sum of the Spot and Paper BTC present on the various platforms.
It would appear that while the Spot BTC itself has declined
recently, the same hasn’t been true for the combined Spot and Paper
BTC supply, which has continued to move sideways. This would imply
that Paper BTC is being printed at about the same rate as Spot BTC,
which the investors are withdrawing. Related Reading: Bitcoin
Toughest Time Over: Why Q4 Could Be A Game-Changer A rise in Paper
BTC is generally not a good sign for Bitcoin, so it could hinder
BTC’s upward push. Woo notes, however, that things could change
quickly if a short squeeze occurs in the market. A “squeeze” refers
to an event where a mass amount of liquidations occurs at once, so
a short squeeze in particular, would naturally be the occurrence of
a mass amount of short liquidations. “Current demand and supply is
neutral bearish, but signs of moving into a bullish structure if we
get some liquidations,” says the analyst. BTC Price Bitcoin had
recovered beyond the $61,000 mark yesterday, but it appears to have
slipped up today as its price is now floating around $59,600.
Featured image from Dall-E, woocharts.com, chart from
TradingView.com
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