By Carla Mozee
Four sessions of consecutive advances by Latin American equities
came to an end Thursday as investors sifted through another round
of poor economic data from the U.S. and took gains off the
table.
Mexico's IPC fell 3% to 19,537.05, zapping its 2.7% rise on
Wednesday.
Brazil's Bovespa fell 1.5% to 39,638.42, a day after a 3.9%
surge.
On Wall Street, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) dropped
2.7% and the S&P 500 Index (SPX) fell 3.3%.
Regional stocks were hammered as their U.S. counterparts
suffered from fresh layoff announcements. Coffee retailer Starbucks
Corp. (SBUX) and Eastman Kodak Corp. (EK) were among the companies
that said they will cut thousands of jobs in a bid to reduce costs
to help offset the impact of the economic recession.
Separately, the U.S. Labor Department said continuing jobless
claims rose by 159,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 4.78
million, the most since the government began keeping track in 1967.
Also, new claims for state unemployment benefits rose by 3,000 last
week to 588,000.
The numbers came a day before Friday's much-anticipated December
jobs report. Economists polled by MarketWatch expect a loss of
524,000 jobs.
"The chilly economic climate and dicey credit conditions have
sunk demand for business equipment and big-ticket consumer goods,"
said Sal Guatieri, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, in a
note Thursday.
The fresh wave of dismal figures wasn't good news for Mexico,
which exports more than 80% of its products to its northern
neighbor. Mexico's central bank this week forecast an economic
contraction in 2009 as demand from the U.S. weakens.
Minutes released Thursday in Brazil from the Jan. 21 meeting of
interest-rate policymakers show that their worry about the risks to
economic growth, more than concern about inflationary pressures,
likely led to the 5-3 vote to slash they key interest rate by a
percentage point to 12.75%.
Policymakers also said further interest-rate cuts could be made
as expectations fade for an uptick in inflation. The central bank
will next meet in March.
Meanwhile, Moody's Investors Service said it may review Brazil's
Ba1 foreign-debt rating by mid-year and that it will monitor the
country's ability to pay debt as regional economic conditions
worsen, according to a Bloomberg News report.
The country's deficit in balance of payments is one of the
agency's concerns, according to the report.
Separately, Brazil's Treasury said Thursday that its
debt-financing needs for 2009 amount to 379.7 billion reals ($165.4
billion), down from last year's requirement of 400.6 billion
reals.
Mexico sinks
In trading, shares of Mexican consumer durable companies,
retailers and manufacturers were all dragged lower.
Home builders led decliners, with shares of Urbi down 9.6% and
Homex (HXM) down 7.4%.
Shares of Wal-Mart de Mexico (WMMVY) slumped 3.2% and industrial
conglomerate Alfa lost 8.2%.
Stock in Grupo Banorte shed 3.8% after the banking firm said its
fourth-quarter profit fell 24% to 1.27 billion Mexican pesos
($89.41 million).
Stock in Cemex (CX) declined 7.6% ahead of an expected tumble in
the cement maker's fourth-quarter results. On Wednesday, its shares
climbed 5.5% after the company said it completed debt
renegotiations with its lenders.
Utilities and home builder Gafisa (GFA) were among the only
advancers in Sao Paulo. Gafisa shares rose 1.8%. Shares of
electricity provider Cemig (CIG) rose 0.7%, and Eletrobras edged up
0.2%.
Steel stocks were under pressure after UBS Pactual cut its
earnings estimate for Latin American steelmakers, citing its
expectation for domestic prices declines in Brazil and downward
volume revisions for 2009 and 2010.
"We believe steel stocks have hit bottom after a substantial
de-rating from peak valuation levels by mid-2008," said UBS Pactual
in a research note. "Looking forward, we do not see fundamentals
supporting a strong re-rating of the sector."
The broker also said it continues to like buy-rated Gerdau (GGB)
"due to its more attractive growth potential and exposure to
infrastructure." Gerdau shares finished 1.1% lower, while CSN (SID)
lost 2.6%.
But Usiminas shares rose 5.4%, outperforming their rivals
following Japanese steel maker Nippon Steel Corp.'s decision to
purchase a 5.9% stake in Usiminas from Vale (RIO). Vale shares
closed down 2.7%.
Shares of Argentine steel-tube maker Tenaris (TS) fell 2.7%,
contributing to a 1.3% decline for the Merval index to
1,086.06.
Late Wednesday, the government reached a deal with local banks
that renegotiates the terms of more than 15 billion Argentinean
pesos ($4.3 billon) worth of debt. President Cristina Fernandez de
Kirchner reportedly called the 97% acceptance rate of its debt-swap
plan an "unprecedented success."
The government had offered holders of 60% of 15.1 billion pesos
of domestic guaranteed loans to swap into five-year, tradable
bonds. The notes will pay a 15.4% fixed-rate during the first
year.
The move will likely generate debt-servicing savings of up to
$1.5 billion in payments in 2009, said Eurasia Group on
Thursday.
The risk-consultancy group wrote Thursday that while the
debt-swap has "clearly improved" Argentina's financing picture, "it
does little to address what promises to be one of the main
challenges facing the government in 2009: the need to obtain more
than $6 billion dollars to cover dollar-denominated debt
obligations."
Chile's IPSA slipped 0.3% to 2,562.98, putting an end to its
five-day run of gains.
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