SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) ニュース

My post on Sunday My speculation is now that the Iranian Prime Minister has gone to Moscow, likely to kiss Putin's ring.... Putin may possibly say, "hey, that's your problem, I'm already still fighting a 3 year + war with Ukraine, leave me alone! "

Your reply What drug are you on? Question may really be, "What are you on??"

2 days later the WSJ publishes this morning: Why Russia is GIving Iran the Cold Shoulder after Israel Attack Hah, nailed that one Bucky Boy! 😅

Here's the article via my donation to ya!

Despite a recent strategic partnership, Russia is offering Iran little more than rhetorical support after U.S. and Israeli strikes.

Putin is prioritizing Russia’s interests, such as avoiding escalation and maintaining ties with Israel and Trump, over fully backing Iran.

Russia’s history of not fully supporting allies in crisis, like Armenia and Syria, suggests Iran may face similar disappointment.

At the start of the year, Russian President Vladimir Putin met his Iranian counterpart at the Kremlin to sign a new strategic partnership to seal the budding alliance between the two countries that had spent the last decade trying to undermine the U.S.-led world order.

Now, after more than a week of punishing Israeli and U.S. airstrikes, that partnership is doing Tehran little good.

When Putin met with Iran’s top diplomat, Abbas Araghchi, on Monday, the Kremlin leader gave a stony-faced assessment of the U.S. strikes. He called the strikes unjustified and unprovoked and said Russia wanted to help the Iranian people.

But the Kremlin leader made no mention of military support in his public remarks ahead of the talks. Instead, he suggested they discuss an exit ramp out of the conflict. “This gives us a chance to…think together about how it would be possible to get out of this situation,” said Putin.

Israeli strikes have targeted Iran’s nuclear program, missiles and top military figures, with the U.S. joining over the weekend by using its most powerful bunker busters. Iran, meanwhile, has gotten little more than rhetorical support from its most powerful backers, including Russia and China.

The partnership between Moscow and Tehran has been a thorn in the side of Western interests in Europe and the Middle East. The two cooperated for almost a decade in Syria to keep President Bashar al-Assad in power. And after Moscow fumbled the initial stages of its invasion of Ukraine, Iran boosted Russia’s war effort with ammunition, artillery shells and thousands of drones.

During his meeting with Iran’s envoy in Moscow on Monday, Putin condemned the U.S. attacks on Iranian nuclear sites and said Russia was taking steps to help the Iranian people. Photo: Anton Vaganov/Reuters; Ozan Kose/AFP/Getty Images

But Moscow is unlikely to return the favor. With Iran facing its most existential challenge in decades and even calls from President Trump for regime change, Russian military aid is unlikely to come through, analysts said. While the strategic partnership reached between the two countries didn’t include a mutual defense pact, it did strengthen intelligence sharing and prohibit the countries from aiding each other’s enemies in conflicts.

“Iran can ask Russia to back it up in retaliation to the U.S., but Moscow will never accept it,” said Nikolay Kozhanov, an expert on Russian-Iranian relations and a professor at Qatar University.

The move underscores the transactional nature of even Putin’s strongest partnerships as the Kremlin is mired in Ukraine and vulnerable to Western sanctions. Putin wants to avoid an escalation of violence that could end badly for Iran and Russia. He also wants to preserve an on-again-off-again relationship with Israel and his ties with Trump, who has held back on sanctioning Russia despite the Kremlin’s resistance to engaging in substantive peace talks with Ukraine.

That is unlikely to satisfy—or surprise—Iran, which has faced disappointment from the Russians before.

The month after the Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas-led attack killed more than 1,200 Israelis, the Iranian government said it completed a deal for Moscow to supply Sukhoi Su-35 jet fighters, Mi-28 attack helicopters, S-400 air-defense systems and Yak-130 training jets.

The only delivery it got were the training jets. Production problems and diplomatic pressure from other Gulf countries prompted Russia to withhold more sensitive and powerful technology, said Nicole Grajewski, a fellow with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace and author of a book on Iran and Russia.

Last year, Israeli strikes took out some of Iran’s best air-defense systems that had been provided by the Russians. In the months that followed, Russia was either unable or unwilling to replace them. On Monday, Araghchi asked Putin for new air-defense systems and help in restoring its nuclear energy network, according to a person briefed on the talks.

Last week, when pressed by reporters about why Russia wasn’t supplying arms to help Iran counter Israel’s attacks, Putin said Iran’s interest in Russian hardware had died down and that Iran hadn’t made any specific new requests.

“There’s nothing really to talk about,” he said.

Vladimir Putin and Masoud Pezeshkian at the signing of a strategic partnership agreement
Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian and Russia’s Vladimir Putin earlier this year, at the Kremlin for the signing of a strategic partnership agreement. Photo: vyacheslav prokofyev/Reuters
Iran is the most recent Russian partner to experience a cold shoulder from Moscow in a time of need. Armenia, which does have a mutual defense treaty with Russia, received no help from Moscow as its forces in the breakaway Nagorno-Karabakh region of Azerbaijan were decimated by Baku’s troops in 2020 and 2023. The debacle accelerated Armenia’s fundamental shift away from alliance with Moscow toward partnership with the U.S.

Similarly, when Syria’s Assad was toppled last year, Putin merely offered asylum to the former strongman and his family.

“Russia is not as good a friend of dictators as it pretends: Putin often turns his back on his autocratic friends when they need him,” said Fabrice Pothier, a former top adviser to North Atlantic Treaty Organization leadership.

Rather than assisting Iran, Putin has instead sought to position himself as a potential mediator in the conflict. Trump dismissed that possibility last week, saying Putin should focus first on mediating the war in Ukraine.

SHARE YOUR THOUGHTS
How do you think Russia will navigate the Iran-Israel conflict? Join the conversation below.

The Israeli-Iranian war could in some ways be beneficial for Moscow, helping to boost the price of oil and shifting attention away from its invasion of Ukraine as Russia is expected to embark on a summer offensive.

Iran could, in fact, emerge from the conflict more isolated and dependent on Russia and China, who could use that to their advantage.

“A common complaint in Iran is that China and Russia, rather than being true friends, exploit Iran’s isolation to get cheap natural resources while selling Iran second-rate military hardware at inflated prices, sometimes never even delivering the promised equipment,” said Tino Sanandaji, a Swedish-Iranian researcher with the Stockholm School of Economics.

Others warned that Russia’s credibility as an ally could be at stake.

“The fact remains Russia couldn’t prevent Israel’s mass strike on a country with which five months ago Russia had signed a strategic partnership agreement,” political scientist Andrey Kortunov wrote. “Moscow is clearly not prepared to go beyond political statements.”

Write to Thomas Grove at thomas.grove@wsj.com and Bojan Pancevski at bojan.pancevski@wsj.com

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5998----R1 6054----R2 6083-----SPY Pivot--597-----ES Pivot--6076-----VIX Pivot--20.72 !!LOL!!

Did you not read my news link on post I replied to you earlier? Cease fire assuming Israel is done after this evening by 8:30 pm EST, Iran has no intention to continue their response.

"Iran’s Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi said Tuesday morning local time that “there is NO ‘agreement’ on any ceasefire or cessation of military operations.”

“However, provided that the Israeli regime stops its illegal aggression against the Iranian people no later than 4 am Tehran time [8.30 p.m. EST], we have no intention to continue our response afterwards,” he said in a post on X.

The final decision on the cessation of Iran’s military operations will be made later, he added.

Araghchi’s statement comes after U.S. President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire timeline, which he says will end the war between Israel and Iran."

Markets are suddenly extremely bullish imo 

Cease fire that holds?

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/23/iran-qatar-iraq-attacks-us-israel.html

KEY REVERSAL ALERT! WITH STOCHASTICS BUY SIGNAL! 591.89 low is now set in stone and will not be breached! War is good?

Hey why so sudden downsy now ?.......
Time to start launching more missles or something ?

Unanimous Wall Street opinion. Never seen so many one sided conclusions. Breakout!

Technical signs are also very bullish We know real world events have no say in market moves. Stagflation spelled out by the Fed ignored. War ignored. Debt to GDP ignored. Astronomical surge in one of the longest strongest bull run in history. US Republic dismantled. World trade wars to be announced on or before July 9.

You see those already factored in like the announced Pandemic

A setup for a crash is already here. The setup for a sharp dead cat bounce is also baked in if we do get that crash.

The crash scenario. 5400 on SPX assumed major support. 4800 next support. The lows should break both to perhaps 4400. Just one bans wet dream.

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5979----R1--6006----S1--5940-----SPY Pivot--595----ES Pivot--6011----VIX Pivot--20.26 !!LOL!!

Wow you are a pumpkin retard. Good luck.

If there is any so-called war in the immediate/midterm future it will be with sleeper cells within the US and also in many other Western nations, especially those with US troops. Glad Trump was finally able to get most of NATO members to finally work towards putting in 5% of their GDP into the game.

SCO. I’ve posted this about a dozen times. Now you know what’s coming? Russia, China and India have conducted dozens of naval drills over past couple years. T bag just destroyed what’s left of America in the sake of USreal.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Shanghai_Cooperation_Organisation

The best, natural endorphins, and factual news history, and current news sources.

You? 🤔

The Putin comment was just my own speculation on what Putin is really thinking/feeling right now after last nights strike.

What drug are you on?

My speculation is now that the Iranian Prime Minister has gone to Moscow, likely to kiss Putin's ring....
Putin may possibly say, "hey, that's your problem, I'm already still fighting a 3 year + war with Ukraine, leave me alone! "

War, what war (what are your news sources)?? The USA just did an extremely strategic and timely strike within an hour's time on key Iranian nuclear weapons development sites, untouched by any Iranian fire (or even seeing any fire). Trump gave them 60 days, and they unwisely ignored his words. Game over. Back to tariff deals that need to be made, and only those working diligently may get extensions.

USA just Bombed Iran
Will the war beover on Monday or will it take 2 more weeks?
Does Iran have "troops" imbeded in USA Could have come easily
over the last 4 years

What do YOU suppose happens if July 4th comes along and we still can't break out from old highs? What happened when the world learned of a Pandemic? When the FED made the announcement Stagflation is coming? When trump announces a war with Iran? Debt to GDP is now higher than start of WW II. All great news. Best case scenario we slip/slide slowly till Independence Day. OR even go flat.

Here i go again, declaring a PANDEMIC will cause a deep drop and everyone told me the market already determined it was already absorbed in the price. For FIVE WEEKS! Astonishing how a guaranteed outcome can be vigorously dismissed. I am besides myself how humans can display such ignorance and build massive denials till it smacks them in the face. Trump. Trade Wars, Real Wars, Economic Calamity, Debt. We shrug it off and then get shocked when the laws of physics work.

Cross your fingers. let's hope JULY 4th starts out with a celebration.

VIX----Fib at 19.39 LITS Again !!----S1--19.36 ---- S2 18.60 !-----(15 min Red Line close to Pivot 20.46---Needs stay below for Bullish )

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=176340665 $VOO $VIX $SPY $QQQ $DIA

VIX HOD 22.17---Now LITS ??---Day 7 above 15 min Red Line-----Bears Above !

ES---S1 6012----S2 5995 ---Declining into previous Falling Channel !

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5989----R1--6008----S1--5961-----SPY Pivot--598-----ES Pivot--6043-----VIX Pivot--20.47 !!LOL!!

THE TOP is IN. For SPX and DOW. Might get a marginally higher high in Nasdaq. Stagflation announcement by the FED itself should be enough to topple this behemoth. World trade wars should be enough to topple these extreme valuations and future expectation, the Buffett 10 plus quarters of ever higher cash hoard should be enough to topple this mega bull run. Add Trumps destroying the constitution and literally attacking politicians and handcuffing them for doing their JOB!

The ability to create TULIP BUBBLES, DOT COM BUBBLES and condensing them within a span of years with the same result is astonishing. We seem to ignore the reasons why we allowed the bubble to get so big and why it burst so quickly. We have yet to be able to break emotional dominance from common sense and logic.

All analysts, all prognosticators are predicting a minimum of 2 years before we hit a top. That means TRUMP is not destroying this economy and in fact helping it. The past history of trade wars has been solved and is now beneficial. Valuations this high for this long only means we entered a new paradigm.

A crash like 1929 is the most LOGICAL, or even 1987. The only difference is that "I" believe it will be worse in duration and impact. Worse than the great depression. I believe it will take decades bottom feeding to even start to crawl back. I also believe JULY 4th has major significant.

The FED literally spelled out the definition of Stagflation dead ahead. Many newspapers recognized this and spelled it out for you. In such an environment EVERYONE losses BUT like announcement of a Pandemic we shrugged it off as if science and past facts had no meaning.

GOOD LUCK FOLKS trying to have this one pass you by. Prepare for it. Never mind. Carry on.

Some humor, but maybe some truth!

"Too Late" Powell
"Too Late" Powell pic.twitter.com/hmZ0yYygYU— Ramble_Rants (@ramble_rants) June 18, 2025

I heard today was a big VIX options expiration day (month?) and when that happens one commentator said that VIX usually goes higher that day or in the days ahead. With conflict in middle east and also Powell's Q/A's session at 2:30 pm, anything can happen, but I won't hold my breath for a big rise until there is "more data"! lol

VIX---S1 20.16---Now LITS ?? ( VIX still above 15 min Red Line ?? )

Yes! Right on Target----Retake Pivot then R1 6012----601C LOD .57----Hod 1.84!---The Bots know just where to juice it to keep her out of the dungeon !!

Looking good. I'm having the Millionaire Blues. Wonder if Uncle Powell wii give the fake inflation blues!

2pm -2:30 FOMC interest- GREEN GREEN

Charts---SPX 5 min 2 day Falling Wedge-----Base/Support Monday LOD at 5963 ?

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--5993----R1--6012----R2--6042----S1--5983----S2--5944-----SPY-- Pivot--598-----ES Pivot--6045-----VIX Pivot --20.98 !!LOL!!

ES testing support at Fib 6037 ??----SPX Support into Tues S2 5983 ?

Hi Ho Silver! Last to RUN !!---Watching SILJ ?? ( See what happens on retest of 35 ?? )

Shortages in Silver Bullion Physical Silver a major shortage of silver exists. The current silver market is facing a considerable deficit, characterized by demand surpassing supply, with forecasts suggesting that this situation will persist until 2025. This shortfall is primarily fueled by a rising industrial demand for silver, especially in industries such as electronics, solar energy, and electric vehicles. $SPY

$SPY: Now $4.60..... gave it to you at $4

Makin EZ MONNNnnnnnnnnnnnnneyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=176331841


GO $SPY

Reenter on Break S2 ? SPX Getting support at Upper T/L old Falling Channel & S2 ??

Scalped /Out 597P .78! Daily Double on Fade ! Take It at S2 !!!

SPX S2 5983? See if They hold it there ??

Ridin 597P .37! SPX 5 min Red Line Fade !

VIX---Day # 5 above 15 min Red Line--Bears Above-----VIX Fib at 21.41 LITS ??

$SPY: $575 Jul.11 puts at $4 now...................

Time for a $SPY retreat.............. thanks to Doofus BoZo TRAMP.......... gettting ready to bring on WW3


GO $SPY

~sold for .04c the 6/20 $620 calls 
Bought some 6/23 $621 calls @.05c

Inflation is cumulative 
Both sides need to get their heads out of their butts.

SPX Bracket 6025---6075!----ES Support Fib at 6037----Resistance Fib at 6087!----ES 5 /15 min 2 day Rising Channe !! ( No Visiual on SPX---ES Very Clear !! )

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot--6029----R1--6054----R2--6075-----S1--6008-----SPY Pivot--602-----ES Pivot--6074-----VIX Pivot--19.33 ----Nice SPX #'s----!!LOL!!

~bought some 6/20 $620 calls @.02c 

Ya!--SPX resistance R2 Needs to hold 5 min Red Line & stay above Upper T/L Falling Channel------ES support Fib at 6087 again ----VIX at 15 min Red Line around 19.14----Bears Above///Bulls Below!----Interesting!----Well problems again---looks like have to do a repull job 270 footer Dang!----Lucky have 2 wells----on the road rest of day for parts!---check in later !!LOL!!

S&P500 is now sniffing out going above R2 at 6051. Got to 6,050.83 and now backed off a touch. Obviously written into the algo codes!

A Battered Iran Signals It Wants to De-Escalate Hostilities With Israel and Negotiate

Messages passed by Tehran through intermediaries seek a return to talks if the U.S. stays out of the fight

SPX---Falling Channel B/O Must Retake & Hold R1 at 6013 !