Bitcoin Price Action Watch: 3 Pivotal Zones That Could Sway BTC’s Next Move
2024年8月20日 - 2:28AM
NEWSBTC
As the Bitcoin price consolidates below the $60,000 threshold, the
market has been characterized by a mix of indicators and technical
levels, leading to a divided forecast and heightened uncertainty.
Mixed Signals Cloud Bitcoin Price Trajectory According to Bitcoin
maximalist Mark Cullen, the current Bitcoin price action presents a
complex technical picture. He suggests that the $57.5,000 level
will likely be tested, and the key question is whether it will
hold. Cullen believes it will, at least initially, before
potentially breaking lower. He also highlights the importance of
the $59,500 level, stating that if Bitcoin can push through, it
would be a strong signal to heavily long the asset with a tight
stop-loss below. Related Reading: MATIC Price (Polygon) Sets Sights
Higher: Can It Gain Bullish Momentum? However, Cullen also warns of
the potential for a sweep of the liquidity below the $54,500 level,
which could pave the way for a move to new lows in the $40,000
range if that level is breached. Crypto analyst Axel Adler also
points to a similar picture, highlighting that as the Bitcoin price
currently trades below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA),
this could lead to further bearish continuation for BTC. According
to Adler’s analysis, the next support level is the 365-day SMA at
$50,000. What Do BTC’s On-Chain Fundamentals Say? Compounding the
technical uncertainty, the data intelligence platform Glassnode has
reported that Swissblock’s Bitcoin Fundamental Index (BFI) moved
from positive to neutral territory last week. According to
the platform’s co-founders Yan Alleman and Jan Happel, this shift
reflects the uncertainty surrounding the Black Monday event and the
post-Consumer Price Index (CPI) bull trap felt on the chain. The
BFI, composed of two sub-metrics measuring network liquidity and
network growth, has recently shown a bifurcation. While network
liquidity has dropped into neutral territory, network growth has
risen, painting a complex picture of Bitcoin’s fundamental outlook.
Related Reading: XRP Price Set To Breakout: Will It Trigger A
Strong Rally? Alleman and Happel note that the drop in network
liquidity, while concerning the short term, is not necessarily a
bearish signal in the long run. They explain that increased network
liquidity is desirable, as it enhances Bitcoin’s functionality as a
medium of exchange. However, the rise in network growth is seen as
a strong bullish sign, indicating that more players interact with
the Bitcoin network on an entity-adjusted basis. This effectively
creates a deeper pool of crypto-native capital, which could support
the asset’s long-term valuation. The Glassnode co-founders stated:
Given the current store-of-value ‘digital gold’ narrative and the
increased ease of getting BTC exposure via ETFs, CEXes, etc.,
rising network growth is a strong bullish sign. When writing, the
Bitcoin price is $58,680, down over 2% in the last 24 hours.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
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