Legendary Bitcoin Puell Multiple Finally Enters ‘Buy’ Territory
2024年9月13日 - 7:00PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Puell Multiple has recently
declined into the historical bottom zone as BTC’s continued
consolidation. Bitcoin Puell Multiple Is Now Under The 0.4 Level
As an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post explained,
the BTC Puell Multiple has declined under 0.4 for the first time
since the end of 2022. The “Puell Multiple” here refers to a
popular on-chain indicator that keeps track of the ratio between
the daily Bitcoin miner revenue and the 365-day moving average (MA)
of the same. The daily miner revenue here refers to the USD value
of the BTC amount the chain validators receive as compensation for
solving blocks on the network. Miners also earn revenue from
another source, the transaction fees, but in the context of the
Puell Multiple, only the first component, often called the
Issuance, is relevant. Related Reading: Which Altcoins Could
Skyrocket Next? Analytics Firm Points To These When the value of
this ratio is greater than 1, miners are currently making more
revenue from block subsidy than the average for the past year.
Similarly, it being under the threshold suggests these chain
validators are earning less than usual. Now, here is a chart that
shows the trend in the Bitcoin Puell Multiple over the past decade:
As displayed in the above graph, the Bitcoin Puell Multiple had
shot up earlier in the year and peaked in April. The rally mainly
caused this surge that BTC had witnessed in the first quarter of
2024. It’s apparent from the chart, though, that the indicator had
observed a sharp plunge under the 1 mark right after this peak. The
reason behind this lies in an event that had occurred then: the
fourth Halving. Halvings are periodic events programmed into the
Bitcoin blockchain that permanently slash the BTC block subsidy in
half every four years. With the Issuance being halved during the
latest such event, it makes sense that the Puell Multiple
registered a crash. As BTC’s price has been showing a slow descent
in the months since then, the USD value of the miner revenue has
also been declining, which has naturally been reflected in the
Puell Multiple. With its latest downward move, the indicator is
under the 0.4 level. Historically, the zone below this 0.4 mark has
proven significant for the Bitcoin price. As the quant has
highlighted in the graph, the asset has tended to form bottoms when
the metric has been in this region. Related Reading: Dogecoin Vs
Shiba Inu Vs Pepe: How Do The Top Memecoins Compare In Investor
Profits? The last time Puell Multiple was in this bottoming zone
was when the cryptocurrency had observed its bear market lows in
2022. Given these past examples, it’s possible that the Bitcoin
price would follow and show something similar this time. That said,
the price has generally only reached a bottom after BTC has spent
some time in this zone. As such, it may be a while before the coin
can reach a rebound, assuming the pattern holds. BTC Price Bitcoin
has been trying to move beyond the $58,000 mark during the past
day, but the asset has been unable to gather enough momentum, with
the latest attempt sending the coin to $57,600. Featured image from
Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
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