Bitcoin Holder Profits Now 121%: How Much Higher Can BTC Go?
2024年11月9日 - 9:30PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin investors are now carrying 121%
profits on average. Here’s whether this has been enough for a top
in the past. Bitcoin Profitability Index Is Currently Sitting
Around 221% In a new post on X, CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr
has discussed about the latest trend in the Bitcoin Average
Profitability Index. The “Average Profitability Index” is an
indicator for BTC that compares the asset’s spot value with its
realized price. The “realized price” here refers to a measure of
the cost basis or acquisition value of the average investor in the
Bitcoin market. This metric’s value is determined using on-chain
data, with the last price at which each coin in circulation was
transacted on the blockchain being taken as its current cost basis.
Related Reading: Bitcoin Sentiment Enters Danger Zone: Investors
Now Extremely Greedy When the Average Profitability Index is
greater than 100%, it means the spot price of the cryptocurrency is
currently higher than its realized price. Such a trend suggests the
average investor is holding a net amount of profit. On the other
hand, the indicator being under this threshold implies the BTC
market as a whole is carrying coins at a net unrealized loss.
Naturally, the index being exactly equal to 100% indicates the
holders as a whole are just breaking-even on their investment. Now,
here is a chart that shows the trend in the Bitcoin Average
Profitability Index over the past decade: As is visible in the
above graph, the Bitcoin Average Profitability Index has registered
a notable increase recently as the cryptocurrency’s run to the new
all-time high (ATH) price has occurred. The indicator has now
reached a value of around 221%, which suggests the investors are in
a significant amount of gains. More particularly, the BTC addresses
as a whole are in a net profit of 121%. Generally, the higher the
profits of the holders get, the more likely they become to fall to
the allure of profit-taking. The current Average Profitability
Index level is high, but it’s uncertain if it’s high enough for a
mass selloff to become a risk. Related Reading: Bitcoin Could Be
Ready For ‘Phase 2’ Of This Historical Bull Pattern In the chart,
the analyst has marked how high the metric went at the time of the
tops of the previous bull runs. It would appear that 2017 peaked at
460%, while 2021 at 395%. So far in the current cycle, the highest
that the index has gone was 272%, which happened during the top
back in March of this year. Given the fact that the indicator is
yet to hit this level, let alone the peaks from the last cycles,
it’s possible that Bitcoin still has sufficient room to run, before
a top becomes probable. BTC Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin
is trading around $76,200, up more than 9% over the past week.
Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from
TradingView.com
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