Red Cat Holdings Inc (RCAT) オプション

According to their latest financial report, sales are down 60%+. the only thing that increased are intangible assets, aka "fairy dust", and debt. they even managed to make a gross loss on purchasing alone. R&D expenses greater than revenues. Marketing expenses greater than revenues. General and administrative greater than R&D and marketing combined, and twice revenues. Overall expenditures 4x of revenues, while having a 60% decline in sales, is so bad it's an achievement in and of itself. All while *checks notes* the CFO was replaced.

And people wonder why the earnings call was short? This is going from hilarious to potentially criminal. No wonder Matus jumped ship.

Partnership with Palantir Technologies:





A closer look shows the OBV bottomed at around $4.50 and presently is in an uptrend.

Let's see if the bounce can hold!

None of the items in isolation are huge red flags. But if they bought these companies for the "tech", then why are they still paying so much to make their drones? Seems like they bought companies that can be repackaged as a story to be sold to investors, while they overpay for actual tech from 3rd parties. Raw material prices are slightly below revenues - hard to make a profit that way.

Just read the financial reports. You'll quickly find it hard to explain your opinion to yourself :)

I appreciate the insight to your views. Companies that get absorbed having their leadership leave isn't a huge red flag, depends if they are buying the company for the team or the tech.

I think the country is shifting towards robotics and drones and it will be the future, not all will succeed but some will and I think RCAT has strong relationships to build that pathway. Are there other drone companies you are looking at as well?

no profits despite revenue growth. it has always been a leadership departure (every company that got bought the owners have departed).

full disclosure: I've always been bearish on this company, and I always said anytime it goes above $1 is a good time to short it. I was wrong for a while, but the fundamentals haven't changed: more debt, more losses, more dilution. this is only going to go one way. and the people running the scam will enrich themselves.

Why do you think its only worth $1? I see a lot of potential in this company and the product they are making.

definitely.

See you at $1 :)

Yeah - its looking like a good time to load some more shares for me!

$RCAT $5.46 +1.46% on watch here.

... like old wine :)

RCAT

I'm more concerned they'll do another R/S. Any information / thoughts on that?

Huh?
What do you mean: "They have Teal on a secondary contract, dilutive.
Sold shares go to shareholders not into company."
What is the secondary contract?
Why is it dilutive?
Who is selling shares?
Why would shares go into company?
Confusing.

RCAT

They have Teal on a secondary contract, dilutive.
Sold shares go to shareholders not into company.
That's why the execs are cashing out.

RCAT chart. Building a higher base.

HHMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM


Red Cat Secures $518K in New Orders for Edge 130 Drones from U.S. Government Agencies
January 23 2025 - 7:30AM
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Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (Nasdaq: RCAT) ("Red Cat" or the "Company"), a drone technology company integrating robotic hardware and software for military, government, and commercial operations, today announced it has secured new orders for its Edge 130 drone from the Army National Guard and another U.S. Government Agency (OGA), totaling $518,000.

FlightWave, a leading provider of VTOL drone, sensor and software solutions was acquired by Red Cat in September 2024. The acquisition brought FlightWave’s flagship drone, the Edge 130 Blue into its family of low-cost, portable unmanned reconnaissance and precision lethal strike systems. FlightWave’s size, weight and vertical take off capabilities makes it ideal for maritime operations and littoral environments.

The combined orders, which amount to 12 Edge 130 drones, reflect Red Cat’s continued momentum in providing advanced drone technology solutions to key defense and security customers. The Edge 130 is known for its robust capabilities, including long-endurance flight times, AI-driven surveillance features, and operational effectiveness in a variety of mission-critical environments.

“These new orders further validate the performance and unique capabilities of the Edge 130 as part of our Family of Systems and reinforce our position as a trusted provider of drone solutions for government and military applications,” said Jeff Thompson, Red Cat CEO. “We are expanding our manufacturing capacity for the Edge 130 to accelerate this momentum and remain committed to supporting U.S. government agencies with the industry’s best technology that enhances their mission capabilities and success.”

The Edge 130 Blue is a UAS-certified military-grade tricopter for long-range mapping, inspection, surveillance, and reconnaissance needs. Designed specifically for government and military applications, the Edge 130 Blue can be assembled and hand-launched in just one minute by a single user to capture high-accuracy aerial imagery with medium-range autonomy. Weighing in at only 1200g, the Edge has a 60+ minute flight time in forward mode, an industry-leading endurance among all other Blue UAS-approved drones available.

About Red Cat Holdings, Inc.

Red Cat (Nasdaq: RCAT) is a drone technology company integrating robotic hardware and software for military, government, and commercial operations. Through two wholly owned subsidiaries, Teal Drones and FlightWave Aerospace, Red Cat has developed a Family of Systems. This includes the Black Widow™, a small unmanned ISR system that was awarded the U.S. Army’s Short Range Reconnaissance (SRR) Program of Record contract. The Family of Systems also includes TRICHON™, a fixed wing VTOL for extended endurance and range, and FANG™, the industry's first line of NDAA compliant FPV drones optimized for military operations with precision strike capabilities. Learn more at www.redcat.red.

About FlightWave

FlightWave Aerospace Systems Corporation is an industry leading manufacturer of dual-use VTOL drones, sensors and software solutions located in Santa Monica, CA. FlightWave designs and manufactures the Edge 130 VTOL drone and payload cameras for the commercial, defense, security, and intelligence markets. The fully-autonomous Edge 130 sUAS has the best flight endurance in the industry and with AI edge compute capabilities, provides superior aerial data capture to both the commercial and defense markets.

Forward-Looking Statements

This press release contains “forward-looking statements” that are subject to substantial risks and uncertainties. All statements, other than statements of historical fact, contained in this press release are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements contained in this press release may be identified by the use of words such as “anticipate,” “believe,” “contemplate,” “could,” “estimate,” “expect,” “intend,” “seek,” “may,” “might,” “plan,” “potential,” “predict,” “project,” “target,” “aim,” “should,” “will,” “would,” or the negative of these words or other similar expressions, although not all forward-looking statements contain these words. Forward-looking statements are based on Red Cat Holdings, Inc.'s current expectations and are subject to inherent uncertainties, risks and assumptions that are difficult to predict. Further, certain forward-looking statements are based on assumptions as to future events that may not prove to be accurate. These and other risks and uncertainties are described more fully in the section titled “Risk Factors” in the final prospectus related to the public offering filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements contained in this announcement are made as of this date, and Red Cat Holdings, Inc. undertakes no duty to update such information except as required under applicable law.

Contacts:

INVESTORS: E-mail: Investors@redcat.red

NEWS MEDIA: Indicate Media Phone: (347) 880-2895 Email: peter@indicatemedia.com

Oh wise one, thank you for your .83 bump up today.

because RCAT was always going to be an exit vehicle, and he got out at the best time. Others are probably selling into this as well. Just look at the financials: their margins don't increase with increasing revenues, they don't invest into infrastructure (which would explain the former), and their balance sheet keeps deteriorating in the most profitable market situation they will ever see. In addition, look into the CEO a bit and his past dealings. That short sell report was extremely superficial and didn't really highlight any of the real problems with RCAT.

to be fair, I've underestimated how far this stock has rallied and I was lucky to not get caught on the short end of it. but the general statement still holds true: the further this deviates from $1, the better the opportunity to short it. If you believe that this is a 600M company, I've got a lot of snake oil that you must buy!

https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20250115298714/en/Palladyne-AI-and-Red-Cat-Announce-First-Successful-Multi-Drone-Collaborative-Autonomous-Flight/?feedref=JjAwJuNHiystnCoBq_hl-cFcUWvK4NSyDWO6DSHmLQqqcp-o_pnudlUwsb5apQ1S4gUE65BTfjH3-pSuqdv0gW3cb3F4oTIgUqCPafFkgu6AeRucmCP4ZHknI_zC0f97

RCAT !! CEO >>> https://preview.redd.it/rcat-ceo-update-on-stocktwits-v0-wze70zbttjee1.jpeg?width=1080&crop=smart&auto=webp&s=f6bcb42eb9a9fd33b1e80f4a1e8b3e5fd6a32b8f

$8.70 ......Red Cat Holdings Wins Major U.S. Army Contract, Partners with ...
....December 16, 2024 - Red Cat secures key military drone contract and Palantir partnership, projects $80-120M revenue for 2025. ..Red Cat Military Projects
Red Cat, a drone technology company, is involved in several significant military projects:U.S. Army Short Range Reconnaissance (SRR) Program: Red Cat’s Teal Drones were selected as the production provider for the U.S. Army’s SRR Program of Record. This selection followed a rigorous test and evaluation process conducted by the Army Project Management Office for Uncrewed Aircraft Systems, the Army Maneuver Battle Lab, the Army Test and Evaluation Command, and the Army Operational Test Center. The Teal Drones, specifically the Black Widow and WEB models, were chosen due to their soldier feedback, technical performance, scalability, and cost.Red Cat Futures Initiative (RFI): Red Cat announced the formation of the RFI, an independent, industry-wide consortium of robotics and autonomous systems partners dedicated to providing advanced and interoperable uncrewed aircraft systems to warfighters. This initiative aims to bridge critical technology gaps for military personnel.Palantir Partnership: Red Cat partnered with Palantir Technologies to integrate Visual Navigation software (VNav) into Red Cat’s Black Widow drones. This collaboration aims to transform autonomous sUAS operations for modern warfare by utilizing Palantir’s advanced AI software, potentially creating a superior Intelligence, Surveillance, and Reconnaissance (ISR) platform.ARACHNID™ Family of Systems: Red Cat’s ARACHNID™ family of unmanned systems includes the Black Widow, which won the U.S. Army SRR contract. These drones are designed for electronic warfare operations and have a modular architecture for swift adaptation to mission requirements, such as short-range reconnaissance.FANG™ Drone: Part of the ARACHNID™ family, the FANG™ drone is the industry’s first line of NDAA compliant FPV drones optimized for military operations with precision strike capabilities.These projects highlight Red Cat’s focus on advancing drone technologies and providing critical situational awareness and enhanced effectiveness and safety for military and security operations.....

RCAT grabbed the $8.60s dip at $9s now definirá a Trump Stargate play along with PDYN

I assume that the recently published misinformation that Red Cat will address has to do with the "Kerrisdale Capital" short report.
I look forward to hearing/reading Red Cat response ... some of the sentiment in that report made me a bit skittish, so I reluctantly lightened up a bit on my RCAT shares, and now waiting to see how things shakes out. If the share price drops much further, the bargain hunter in me will likely cause me to buy back in.

I was not even aware that George Matus departed Red Cat Holdings for a CTO position at Vector ... I wonder why?

https://preview.redd.it/long-weekend-discussion-thread-january-18th-to-20th-v0-ahz5daeitrde1.jpeg?width=1170&format=pjpg&auto=webp&s=ffa1d0ddbe13af70e1190c6f8517d946e6969fb6

RCAT ! SOME FOLKS HAVE AGENDAS ! I get home an see OPT# has a lawsuit as well. Fyi RGT# got one as well the same day as RCAT damn democrats dont quit !! .....if im lying ......im dying !!

Thanks Dennis for the short chuckle. For the past umteenth years, disgrunted nobodies will sue the company with the help of ambulance chasers.

https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/01/16/3011028/0/en/RCAT-INVESTOR-ALERT-Red-Cat-Holdings-Inc-Investigated-For-Securities-Fraud-Block-Leviton-Encourages-Investors-Who-Have-Lost-Money-to-Contact-the-Firm.html

RCAT !! I LIKE -IT !! ALOT !! ....IF IM LYING ...im dying....

Red Cat and Palladyne AI Announce First Successful Multi-Drone Collaborative Autonomous Flight
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/palladyne-ai-red-cat-announce-140000403.html

smart move in hindsight

Anyone see this interview today?

"Do you need to say more?" .... Sure: please say more.
Since I do not believe that your reply answers or addresses my question? Here it is again:
Question: will the more recent announced collaboration with Palantir (PLTR) possibly diminish the extent of the RCAT/PDYN collaboration (since they both involve software to be used on the RCAT drones)?

In other words:
I am curious whether Palladyne will have less to gain/profit from their collaboration with Red Cat, as a result of the subsequent announcement of Red Cat collaboration with Palantir.

I'm a nobody but RCAT is only starting to fire on all cylinders. Need I say more.

Prior to Red Cat SSR win, I read about RCAT & Pallayne (PDYN) collaboration. I bought a little of PDYN, and a lot more of RCAT ... in part because I had done a bit more DD on RCAT, and could not estimate how much the above collaboration might translate to increased revenues/profit for PDYN. I actually sold it after a quick 50% gain, from $2 to $3.
Question: will the more recent announced collaboration with Palantir (PLTR) possibly diminish the extent of the RCAT/PDYN collaboration (since they both involve software to be used on the RCAT drones)?

Drones rule 

Go Red Cat!❤️❤️❤️

Whatever.

Had to take a little profit
What a ride!

GLTA

RCAT.........................https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=RCAT&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p86431144783

Bullish Article on RCAT and military contracts.....
https://www.marketbeat.com/originals/2-drone-stocks-gaining-from-the-media-attention/

Thanks for your reply/DD, Evaluate... 😺 $RCAT

You mention "on pace for $9 million in revs".
Here is from transcript of Earnings Release: "... we upped our guidance from $50 million to $55 million goalposts and we put some kind of wide goal posts out there, $80 million to $120 million.
So that's basically adding what we think SRR-related revenue is going to be to the total.
The wide goalposts are, you know, we're not completely into all the contracting that we need, which will be happening in the next few weeks. We will be probably having an Analyst Day in New York in early January.
We're hoping to pin it down before tonight. So we'll be actually giving an update just in a few weeks after the holidays and we'll be able to give you more detail on all the contracts that we've been signing and maybe firm up those goalposts a little bit for everybody."

I believe the RCAT profit margins will be improving, in part due to much higher production, but also due to increasing margins based on the Palantir collaboration.
With the SRR win, it "paves the way" for possible additional wins such as in Western Europe ... who could see this recent win as a "vetting" of the RCAT platform and technology ... so perhaps some additional big wins could be on the horizon.

I doubt SP will "drop back to $4-5 range". I added when it dropped back to $8-9 range recently, and now heading back up 20+% today ... back over $11.

80M OS x 10 per share = market cap of $800 million.

Think she may be over bought at this time...haven't looked at the 'Subsequent Events' section yet. Better have some blockbuster sales' news coming. $12 million in Inventory. Need to turn that Inventory over every month get revenues up to $140 million per year still giving it a 5-6 price to sales ratio, 5 to 6x sales valuation, which for new tech isn't that high, isn't too high...on pace for $9 million in revs (sales dipped way down Q3 for some reason) and lost a whopping $25 million for the 6 months, $13 million past 3 months...as usual need to cut cut cut the General & Administrative expense line item costing nearly half the operating expenses/losses...unless big sales news...I dunno, look for her to drop back down maybe even to the $4-5 range? JMO Still doing DD on the current events, subsequent events...they should have brought in a ton of cash on their latest offering...that would make "everyone" feel a little better...sell 5 million shares @ 10 = $50 million cash...this is a developing story... 😉 (note: I haven't even read the last PR update...will post later on that. This post is just observations of the last Q's fins)



$RCAT

rcat.........................https://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=rcat&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p86431144783

RCAT NEWS with PLTR https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=RCAT

and ER coming up

CEO was on ABC, talking about the drone mystery…
https://abcnews.go.com/US/video/drone-supplier-ceo-mysterious-drones-faa-lighting-116809131