Bitcoin Bullish Signal: NVT Golden Cross Suggests BTC Oversold
2024年7月17日 - 3:00PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin Network Value to Transactions (NVT)
Golden Cross is currently at a level that could suggest BTC to be
underpriced. Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross Has Been Inside Oversold
Region Recently As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant
Quicktake post, the cryptocurrency could enter into a recovery
phase based on the NVT Golden Cross reading. The “NVT ratio” is an
indicator that keeps track of the ratio between the Bitcoin market
cap and the network’s transaction volume (both in USD). Related
Reading: XRP & Litecoin See Social Media FOMO: Bad Sign For
Prices? When the value of this metric is high, it means that the
cryptocurrency’s value (that is, its market cap) is high compared
to its ability to transact coins (the transaction volume). Such a
trend could imply the asset is overpriced right now. On the other
hand, the indicator assuming a low value implies the market cap
isn’t overinflated compared to the transaction volume, so the coin
could have room to see a surge. In the context of the current
topic, the NVT ratio itself isn’t of interest, but rather a
modified version called the NVT Golden Cross. This metric compares
the NVT ratio’s short-term trend against its long-term trend to
identify the indicator’s tops and bottoms. The 10-day moving
average (MA) represents the short-term trend, while the 30-day MA
corresponds to the long-term trend. Now, here is a chart that shows
the trend in the NVT Golden Cross for Bitcoin over the past few
years: In the graph, the quant has highlighted two historically
important regions for the Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross. In the zone
above 2.2, the asset may be considered overvalued and due a
correction. Similarly, the region below the -1.6 line is where
bottoms have occurred, as the coin becomes underpriced here. The
chart shows that the indicator’s value has recently declined in
this latter zone. The last time the NVT Golden Cross declined into
the undervalued zone was during the market downturn that had
followed the spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval at the start
of the year. This drop was succeeded by the cryptocurrency’s rally
towards a new all-time high (ATH). Thus, it’s possible that Bitcoin
could also end up enjoying a rally this time. The surge may also
have already begun, as the coin has recovered beyond the $64,000
level since its plunge under $54,000. Related Reading: Bitcoin
Hasn’t Reached Bull Cycle Top Yet, Quant Explains Why Despite this
rally, the NVT Golden Cross still has a value of -1.8, within the
undervalued zone. If this indicator is anything to go by, the run
could still have room to go. BTC Price At the time of writing,
Bitcoin is trading at around $64,900, up 13% in the past week.
Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from
TradingView.com
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