XRP & Litecoin See Social Media FOMO: Bad Sign For Prices?
2024年7月17日 - 9:00AM
NEWSBTC
Data shows that users on social media are overwhelmingly showing
FOMO towards XRP and Litecoin, something that could be a bearish
sign for their prices. Weighted Sentiment Has Spiked For Both XRP
& Litecoin Recently According to data from the analytics firm
Santiment, LTC and XRP are among the coins that have seen an
improvement in sentiment following the recent price recovery. The
indicator of interest here is the “Weighted Sentiment,” based on
two other metrics: Sentiment Balance and Social Volume. The
Sentiment Balance tells us about the current net sentiment on major
social media platforms. This indicator works by putting
posts/threads/messages related to a given coin through a
machine-learning model to identify whether they are positive or
negative. Related Reading: Bitcoin Hasn’t Reached Bull Cycle Top
Yet, Quant Explains Why Once the metric has found out the number of
posts of each type, it takes their difference to determine the net
situation around the asset on social media. There is perhaps one
flaw in the Sentiment Balance, though, and it’s the fact that it
contains no information about how many users share this sentiment.
Sometimes, discussion around the cryptocurrency can be low, so
whatever the metric would signal would only correlate to what the
few users talking about it think, which may not necessarily relate
to the majority. The Weighted Sentiment fixes this problem by also
incorporating Social Volume data. The Social Volume keeps track of
the degree of talk that any given asset receives on social media
platforms. Thus, the Weighted Sentiment only registers a spike (in
either direction) when not only does the Sentiment Balance have a
high value but also the Social Volume is signaling the presence of
high discussions. Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in this
metric for Litecoin and XRP over the past month: As displayed in
the above graph, the Weighted Sentiment has seen spikes into the
positive territory for both XRP and Litecoin with their recent
price surges. This suggests that many positive posts have appeared
around these coins. Historically, highly positive sentiment has
been a bearish sign for any asset, with tops becoming probable as
investors FOMO. The chart shows that XRP had seen a rise in FOMO
earlier in the month, and the cryptocurrency had set a top
alongside this spike. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bears Crushed: $100M
In Crypto Shorts See Flush As BTC Breaks $63,000 As such, the
latest spike in the Weighted Sentiment may not be ideal for the
recovery runs that XRP and Litecoin have started. “These coins can
continue to rise, but the crowd’s euphoria toward these assets
could make them high-risk, high-reward investments this week,”
notes the analytics firm. XRP Price XRP has enjoyed a rally of
almost 26% in the past week, which has taken its price back above
the $0.54 level. Featured image from iStock.com, Santiment.net,
chart from TradingView.com
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