Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) オプション

Filings come next week, the following week we will dwarf $68.00.

$68 is an area that can trigger a break out

after filings get completed...

Around $66 is next open gap to fill on

chart or about 38% above $48...

Around $55 is up about another 15%

from $48 which would complete mirroring

of previous November to December up move...

$46 to $48 buying accumulation could happen

over days before completing the $55 move...

That is looking at charts technically...


SMCI may have more intrinsic value as an

integral partner with NVDA in bringing the

newer Ai chips and products to market...

Hard to put a P/E limit on valuing that...

DELL has bigger worry than SMCI competition

in the low margin biz sector and stumbles if

they lose higher margin share biz...

Each has to choose their own comfort zone

of approaching hold risk in anything...

SMCI guiding for 5 billion to 6 billion of

revenue in current quarter is probably

grounded with orders in hand to complete...

Trend should be higher in next quarter to

reach the 23.5 billion to 25 billion revenue

target for fiscal year 2025 ending 06/30/25...

Hard to push a lot more chips on the table

to increase revenue over a quick time period

even if new, big orders fly in...

Takes time to build complex hardware support

systems for more demanding Ai systems...

We have seen worse days than Friday was...



so we watch...LJ

Already some people on SMCI board working on sowing doubt and saying the PE shouldn't be higher than DELL and we know now where they are coming from.

Doomberg front runs gossip like DELL pump

on Friday to help slow the squeeze

on shorts in SMCI...

Doomberg also front run gossip on INTC

for quick pump and dump gains in the

past week...TSM rules the roost in fast

AI chips and isn't likely to let U.S. gov't

snooping near their protected internal info...

Always said that penny stock pumpers

learn from the big company pumps...

SMCI shorts need to cover...

19th is nearer...


so we watch...LJ

Up another $1.00 after hours, opening should be interesting on Tuesday.

Always and forever retail is the last to know, the only way an astute retail will ever know, is the tape and how they run the tape. This was all a game between Hindenburg, Ernst and Young and Cramer, the timing of these three scums of the Earth was not coincidental. SMCI is on path to run to 300 billion market cap and with time if they execute on their promises half a trillion dollar company and with the right position this is generational wealth, such as $TGLO with the right size position, but in reality all one needs is 50,000 shares to make handsome return when that merger hits the wires, by no means $TGLO is a flip stock if you are trying to make ends meet.

19th is nearer,,,interesting info to peruse...

https://investors.evercore.com/static-files/fdc87dec-6f2c-44f9-87e6-4dee612802e3

Financial Reporting Process
15. In consultation with the independent auditors, management and the Internal Audit Group, review the integrity of the corporation’s financial reporting processes, both internal and external. In that connection, the Committee shall, prior to the filing by the corporation of its annual report and at such other times that the Committee deems appropriate, obtain and discuss with management and the independent auditors reports from management and the independent auditors regarding:

i. all critical accounting policies and practices to be used by the corporation;

ii. analyses prepared by management and/or the independent auditors setting forth significant financial reporting issues and judgments made in connection with the preparation of the financial statements, including all alternative treatments of financial information within generally accepted accounting principles related to material items that have been discussed with the corporation’s management, the ramifications of the use of the alternative -6- disclosures and treatments, and the treatment preferred by the independent auditors;


Found it to be inciteful reading...

Someone always knows more than

the peons watching...

so we watch...LJ

The set up is identical to $CVNA.

Excellent super bullish close. Next week after 52-53 blue sky breakout.

Getting close to your prediction!

of course, SMCI and DELL both set up

in Memphis for new Xai factory...

but only DELL gets a sniff article on

potential new biz today...

looks like sign of short weakness...

next week is only a long holiday weekend

ahead for folks to come back rested,

if new filings come out?...



so we watch...LJ

Schwab showed adding many shares in 4th quarter

of 2024...

https://fintel.io/so/us/smci/schwab-charles-investment-management

Very big add from peon view...

so we watch...LJ

Not out of woods yet until the fat lady sings and when that happens to whole arena will be lit with fireworks.

You definitely show conviction. I am a fan of selling off my cost basis and riding the rest so "conviction" is just a convenience.
This stock struck lightening the first time.....I rarely see it strike the same place twice, but who knows?

Hindsight is always 20/20, I always had the conviction, but not enough conviction to bet the farm, just calculated risk, was just fortunate to buy the dip and average down and I seldom do that.

WOW! The break through resistance this morning. Now, if it just finishes the week above around $47 I'll be convinced.

Very good song, unfortunately songs like that and singers like that are not around anymore. Regardless, I listen to great singers of all genres, except for rap or hip hop. I also love Amy Winehouse.

That's a great song!

"Where do I begin" when this hits triple dollars.

TheDane, this is going to play out like $CVNA, one that sneak up slowly and steady, one that if you are not watching for days, weeks and many months and it is already sitting at triple dollars.

$48-$52 today

HOD $47.33 so far. Is a squeeze happening? 38 million traded already.

Intelligent post.

$48-$52 today

It has nothing to do with "coming back to this" or right or wrong. There is an intelligent way to invest and a dumb way, and putting $100k into a stock that doesn't know how to file would fall into the crazy category.
I prefer to be correct more often. Better to lose opportunity than money

Seems to me the risk of not filing (and subsequent delisting) is approaching zero.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/topstocks/nvidia-stock-investors-just-got-great-news-from-tsmc/ar-AA1z2wQt?ocid=windirect&cvid=7d13458e734b44e2ac8671559e0b528a&ei=8
and NVDA just got some good news, might start moving again after drifting for awhile here.

In due time when this pays off, we will come back to this post yours. I don't let anyone sway my trading decisions, whether to buy or sell any stock.

Robinhookers are running SMCI.

We are golden next week and beyond.

SMCI has a mind of its own. Almost 65,000 watcher on ST, by June should be well over 75,000 watchers. Waiting to see if this will play out like $CVNA, they don't run in one day or weeks, once it is marinated and prepped it will run its course. Not when we want it, but when we least expect. "So we watch"

65.63 is next gap down that was left

open during long drop period...

from 07/30/24 daily low...

https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/SMCI/interactive-chart

Very simple approach to looking at

the chart gaps for me...

15% to 30% up day on Friday may hint

that squeezers are making a move

prior to any filing release...

Or will they offer lower prices for folks

to keep adding cheap?...


so we watch...LJ

Ask not what others can do for you to find a rare pearl, ask what you can do for yourself to find that rare pearl. In this arena I am solo, never asked for anyone's help nor did anyone help me find a rare pearl.

You must be one of the proud boys.

No squeeze bud, SMCI is stair stepping in similar pattern as $CVNA. If you are proud of your position then hold.

Will SMCI do a squeeze until February 19th?...

The Amendments are expected to be effective, and
the Subscription is expected to close, on or about
February 20, 2025, subject to customary closing conditions.

Doesn't closing new debt need up to date

audited financials prior to closing?...

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/supermicro-announces-pricing-private-placement-041200955.html

https://www.sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1375365/000137536525000001/convertiblenotes992.htm


Interesting thesis to ponder...

unless thou are short...

so we watch...LJ

You're gonna have a lot of posts here by 2027

Surprised me too, but I like it. Either way I am in this for longterm horizon. Early 2027, two years out, will skim position slowly early 2026.

strength has surprised me today...

so we watch...LJ

This will likely move up toward $50 while people anticipate Feb. 25. Hopefully we don’t get the same dump after. Either way, in for a Penny…

Looks good today.

I was just kidding. Of course they’re everywhere. Looking back on the lead up to the business update shows how many there are. People played that one time event.

Everyone is different, not everyone thinks like you nor me, after all that what makes the market. Some stocks, I don't hesitate on, while others do. I firmly believe one that hesitates is lost (not you of course).

Well of course.
That doesn't change the narrative though.
My typical buy is $100k worth. There's no way I'd put that much into this one.

The only that matters at the end of day is what I think will happen and the consequences, good or bad, I live with it, no one else.

LOL...I think you just described the word "gamble". Many who picked the Chiefs probably said the same.
If you aren't a skeptic, you're only looking at half the story. But I've looked into some of your other "gambles" and must admit, you're not bad at it.


Taking chances on my educated guess and I like my chances.

60-80 mid March IMO


$SMCI

It's only a gamble, if one is skeptic. Taking chances on my educated guess and I like my chances.

Yes absolutely, I made a reference a while back about this may happen.

Looking over the numbers is interesting.
Earnings projections look really big until 2027 when it shows a flattening.
Price moving up, but so is the short interest.
Analysts have this rated a hold overall
Mutual Funds are not selling

It's like visiting Yellowstone, seeing how beautiful and peaceful it is.......and knowing one day it will turn into a Super Volcano!
Plain and simple, this stock is currently a gamble. The problem with gambles is you don't want to hold enough to matter if you're wrong.