DiscoverGold
2年前
Monster Beverage (MNST): One Chart Explains the Mega-Rally
By: Lucas Downey | August 27, 2023
• Monster Beverage Corp. (MNST) shares have jumped 12% in 2023. This uptrend is being powered by mega appetite for the stock.
Monster Beverage Attracts Big Money Inflows
Want an edge in trading? Follow the Big Money.
What’s Big Money? Said simply, it’s when a stock rises due to institutional demand. Top stocks tend to attract savvy investors.
You see, fund managers are always looking to bet on the next outperforming stocks…the best in class. They spend countless hours sizing up companies, reading reports, speaking to analysts…you name it. When they find a company firing on all cylinders, they pounce in a big way.
The YTD action tells the story. Each green bar signals unusual buying volumes in MNST shares, pushing the stock higher:
Source: www.mapsignals.com
Few stocks have charts this strong. Historical green bars suggest healthy demand. But, what about the fundamental story?
Monster Beverage Fundamental Analysis
Next, I want to make sure the fundamental story is healthy too. As you can see, MNST has had positive sales and EPS growth in recent years:
• 3-year sales growth rate (+14.6%)
• 3-year EPS growth rate (+5%)
The company is also expected to grow EPS 16.7% this year.
Source: FactSet
Marrying great fundamentals with our proprietary Big Money software has found some big winning stocks over the long-term.
Check this out. Monster Beverage has been a top-rated stock at MAPsignals. That means the stock has had buy pressure and growing fundamentals. We have a ranking process that showcases stocks like this on a weekly basis.
It’s made the rare Top 20 report numerous times. The blue bars below shows when MNST was a top pick:
Source: www.mapsignals.com
Tracking unusual volumes reveals the power of the MAPsignals process.
Monster Beverage Price Prediction
The MNST rally has been in place for years. Big Money buying in the shares is signaling to take notice. Given the historical gains in share price and strong fundamentals, this stock could be worth a spot in a diversified portfolio.
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Analysts remain bullish on Monster Beverage following shareholder meeting
By: Investing.com | June 23, 2023
Citi and Goldman Sachs analysts reiterated Buy ratings on Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST) after the company held its annual shareholder meeting on Thursday.
Citi analysts also maintained a $67 per share price target on the stock, revealing that MNST offered an update on recent trends in the energy drink category in the U.S. and internationally, results from recent innovation and provided some color on costs and capital allocation.
"We thought MNST's tone was generally bullish, particularly around innovation both in its core energy drinks business (with Monster Zero Sugar, Ultra Strawberry Dreams, and Reign Storm) and in the alcohol segment (with the Beast Unleashed and the newly announced 'Nastea Beast' hard iced tea innovation, which will compete directly with SAM's Twisted Tea in the fast-growing hard iced tea FMB segment)," wrote analysts.
"Net, we reiterate our Buy on MNST with strong topline trends in the U.S. and internationally supported by innovation and a solid gross margin recovery in the balance of the year, although we believe multiple upside is more limited post the stock's strong YTD outperformance."
At Goldman Sachs, analysts said MNST struck an upbeat and constructive tone.
The firm was "most encouraged" that pricing continues to stick with no adverse impact on volumes, recent innovation is performing well post-launch, MNST continues to innovate, the company remains focused on the continued roll-out of its affordable energy brand Predator internationally, and it, broadly speaking, has sufficient inventory to meet current demand levels.
"MNST remains one of our top stock picks as we believe it's one of the most attractive growth stories in broader Staples, particularly given its standout volume-led topline growth," said analysts.
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Bulls Score Big Profit on Monster Beverage (MNST) Stock
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | May 17, 2023
• Monster Beverage stock was on a 10-day heater from April to May
• At the time of our recommendation, MNST options were affordably priced
Last week, Schaeffer's Weekend Trader subscribers doubled their money with our Monster Beverage Corp (NASDAQ:MNST) June 52.50 call. Below, we'll dive into the telling points for this bullish bet on the energy drink giant.
When the recommendation was made on April 2, Monster Beverage stock had broke out of a large four-month basing pattern and found support at the year-to-date breakeven level. The shares were also above the round $50 level, which was the round $100 level prior to the stock's 2-for-1 split on March 28.
MNST saw little call open interest after the 55-strike, which mostly evaporated after April's expiration. Plus, the equity's gamma-weighted Schaeffer's open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.04 has previously been indicative of bottoms in price in the past.
Monster Beverage stock’s implied volatility (IV) also stood out, at a relatively low 13th percentile of its annual reading. This means the security saw attractively priced premiums at the time of the recommendation.
From April 20 to May 3, MNST ripped off a 10-day win streak. The shares opened Monday April 3 trading at $53.58, and finished closed Tuesday May 2 at $57.54, a roughly 7% pop in the span of a month and a half. We closed the position on May 3, allowing subscribers to collect the 100% target profit.
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Monster Beverage (MNST) Shares See Monster Inflows
By: Lucas Downey | May 1, 2023
• Monster Beverage Corp. (MNST) stock has been energized, jumping 10% in 2023.
The beverage firm could rise in the future due to strong financial performance and Big Money lifting the stock once again.
Monster Beverage is a Magnet for Big Money
So, what’s Big Money? Said simply, that’s when a stock presses higher alongside chunky volumes. It’s indicative of institutions betting on the shares.
Unsurprisingly, Monster has many fundamental qualities that are attractive.
This sets up well for the stock going forward. Paying attention to how the shares trade, suggests there could be more upside.
You see, fund managers are always looking to bet on the next outlier stocks…the best in class. They spend countless hours sizing up companies, reading reports, speaking to analysts…you name it. When they find a company firing on all cylinders, they pounce in a big way.
The last year tells the story. Each green bar signals big buying volumes as the stock ramped in price:
Source: www.mapsignals.com
In the last year, the stock attracted more than a dozen Big Money buy signals. Generally speaking, recent green bars could mean more upside is ahead.
Now, let’s check out the technical action grabbing my attention:
• Year-to-date outperformance vs. Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR ETF (+5.94% vs. XLP)
Outperformance is important for leading stocks.
Monster Beverage Fundamental Analysis
Next, it’s a good idea to check under the hood. Meaning, I want to make sure the fundamental story is strong too. As you can see, Monster has had double-digit sales growth, and the future earnings outlook is solid too. Take a look:
• 1-year sales growth rate (+13.9%)
• 3-year EPS growth rate (+5%)
• 1-year EPS growth estimate (+17.8%)
Source: FactSet
Marrying great fundamentals with technically superior stocks is a winning recipe over the long-term.
In fact, MNST has been a top-rated stock at my research firm, MAPsignals, for years. That means the stock has had buy pressure, strong technicals, and growing fundamentals. We have a ranking process that showcases stocks like this on a weekly basis.
It’s made the rare Top 20 report dozens of times since 2014. The blue bars below show when MNST was a top pick:
Source: www.mapsignals.com
Tracking unusual volumes reveals the power of the MAPsignals process.
Monster Beverage Price Prediction
The Monster Beverage rally has been in place for years and recently. Big Money buying in the shares is signaling to take notice. Given the historical gains in share price and strong fundamentals, this stock could be worth a spot in a diversified portfolio.
Read Full Story »»»
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DiscoverGold
2年前
This Energy Drink Monster Beverage (MNST) Stock Has Plenty of Juice
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | April 4, 2023
• The $50 level could be a springboard for MNST
• Monster Beverage stock has options-related support in place
Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST) just broke out of a large four-month basing pattern, after finding support at its year-to-date breakeven level. The shares are above the round $50 level, which was the round $100 level prior to the stock’s 2-for-1 stock split on 3/28.
Monster stock’s gamma-weighted Schaeffer’s open interest ratio (SOIR) of 1.04 has been indicative of bottoms in price in the past. There is little call open interest resistance after the 55-strike, which will mostly evaporate after April’s expiration.
MNST’s 10-day put/call volume ratio of 4.24 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) ranks higher than 92% of readings from the past year, leaving plenty of pessimism to unwind in the options pits. Analyst sentiment could shift following the recent price action as well, since 21 of the 26 in coverage carry a “hold” or worse rating, while the 12-month consensus price target of $55.17 is just a 2.2% premium to current levels.
Furthermore, the security is seeing attractively priced premiums at the moment, as its implied volatility (IV) ranks in the low 13th percentile.
Our recommended June call has a leverage ratio of 9.9, and will double in value on a 10.5% pop in the underlying shares.
Read Full Story »»»
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Tyrus603
2年前
I thought you MNST followers might get a kick out of my citing The Ronald Sacks Hansen/MNST example story in the message board tussle that is going on over on the IFUS board.
# # #
"How many years"? Can take about 10 years for some companies to find their signature product. In fact, any company that hangs a shingle and claims they are going to sell gang busters on their first creation out of the gate, is a company you should be very leery of. But not a company like IFUS that has been through trials and errors. Because that is EXACTLY how you come up with something really great. Keep producing, don't give up, make adjustments and know what the heck you are doing.
Like the nutri-scientists who put together this IFUS Bagasse formula.
Which could very well be a livestock Monster in the making.
Doubt what I'm saying? Take just a few minutes to read this:
# # #
https://www.equities.com/news/small-cap-success-story-monster-beverage/
(article's link above) (text of it pasted below)
Small-Cap Success Story: Monster Beverage
By Jacob Harper
Monster Beverage (MNST) is the undisputed king of American energy drink-makers, occupying 35 percent of the of the entire industry, and coming in second only to the Thai-Austrian company Red Bull. It is somewhat surprising to think that (in the early 1990s) Monster was a natural soda company with only a dozen employees.
While some small caps-turned Wall Street darlings found success by sticking to their guns, like True Religion Jeans, Monster did the exact opposite. A long focus on making esoteric, offbeat, almost deliberately un-commercial sodas under the Hansen Natural Brand gave way to making a decidedly populist energy drink in Monster Energy.
The change in strategy and the company's subsequent success can be traced back to a South African lawyer named Rodney Sacks.
America, Meet Energy Drinks
Sacks came to the US in 1989 and went looking for investment opportunities – he didn’t have a particular industry in mind, only some investors and a desire to make a mark in American business. After some combing, Sacks settled on Hansen, a tiny Southern California soda company, which he purchased in 1992 for $14.6 million.
Hansen was formed in 1935, and more or less stayed low-key and private. Sacks and his group of investors had a different idea.
After purchasing the company, Sacks decided he wasn’t interested in keeping things the same. During a trip to Britain, he took a keen interest in the popularity of a new energy drink called Red Bull and decided that such a drink could be a wild success in America.
Hansen went public in 1995,and launched the first iteration of an energy drink concoction in 1996. In 1997 they launched "Hansen’s Energy" at the same time Red Bull finally hit America. After Hansen Energy found some success, the company decided to considerably amp up the focus on high-octane beverages.
Hansen Energy didn’t make the dent the company had hoped for. It was citrusy and fruity and didn’t appeal to the teenagers they felt were their target market. They decided they needed something with more sugar, more caffeine. More rush.
In April 2002 the company designed the formula, and look, for a new super sweet, super buzzy energy drink. After polling a few teenagers and consulting with a branding executive, Sacks finally settled on a name for this new teen-targeted concoction, a name that was wholly antithetical to Hansen’s easy-breezy hippie roots: "Monster." And it would completely transform the company.
It’s Got What Teenagers Crave
Sacks had a vision for Monster. Through sponsorship agreements, he sought to associate the drink with extreme sports athletes. Motocross bikers, surfers, and race car drivers were all used to define the extra-caffeinated beverage as the obvious choice of thrill-seeking outsiders. “Outsider,” of course, in the most inclusive way possible.
Sacks marketed the energy drink aggressively. Monster became famous for its “ambassadors” who would tour skateboarding competitions and concerts and hand out free samples. The company's hands-on, street-team approach proved effective in creating an image of drink as the natural preference of extreme sports tastemakers, and provided a solid base from which to reach the population at large.
After gaining a cult following in Southern California, the drink grew exponentially in popularity. Very quickly, Monster began outshining all of the company's other offerings, and their history as a producer and purveyor of natural soda was just that.
In 2004 the company’s stock finally climbed above $1 a share. By 2006 it had jumped to over $26, and Hansen’s Natural had gained both a cult following on Wall Street, as well as the typical army of naysayers.
Break Out the Shorts
As with any meteoric rise, Hansen Natural had its doubters. Most of them pegged energy drinks, which by 2006 had grown to a $5.6 billion industry, as a fad that was poised to fold like a cheap leisure suit. In 2005, for instance, Marketwatch columnist Herb Greenberg urged readers to bail on Hansen. Even after skyrocketing through 2006, the company retained an unusually heavy short position all the way through 2007.
Even as the energy drink market continued to become grow, Hansen bears remained unconvinced. When the stock backed off in 2008, Cannacord Adams analyst Scott van Winkle said the company would continue to drop, and eventually be gobbled up by a competitor like Coca Cola Company (KO) , since “all beverage categories are dominated by an oligopoly of drinkmakers.”
After faltering along with the rest of the market in late 2008 though, Hansen began crawling back. Eventually, the shorters started to dwindle, as it became clear that energy drinks were here to stay. The stock ascended steadily, eventually topping $70 a share in 2012.
The Monster at the End of the Small-Cap Success Story
Though the stock has fallen retreated considerably, shares are still priced at an astronomical 60,284 times more than they were at the time of the company's initial public offering.
And their success is pretty much all thanks to that maddeningly sweet big buzz in a can. In a fitting move, in January 2012 the company formerly known as Hansen Natural officially changed their name to Monster Beverage.
# # #
By the way, this article IS outdated, obviously. Because MNST closed at $100.11 per share today. Up from a multiple forward split-adjusted .015 (one and a half cents) per share in April 1996.
I've told my daughter had I invested $100 in her name the year she was born (1996) in MNST (Hansen Energy) that investment would be worth "X" amount... (Which would be $677,000 bucks as of today.) Why didn't you? she asked me. Of course.
Hell, when I finally did get active in the stock market with the advent of online trading in the late 1990s (remember the TD Ameritrade moniker "DATEK" anyone) I STILL could have bought shares in Hansen/MNST for nine cents (.09) per share in either 1999 or 2000 but I was too busy playing the stupid dot com boom, and over hyped and now long defunct tech companies with "super cool" names instead. ("Digital Lightwave" anyone? Enron? How about the Patriots' now Gillette Stadium previously being named CMGI Stadium? For about a year before CMGI crashed and burned. What a joke all that turned out to be)
So, you critics can go ahead and keep on under-estimating what IFUS can do; doesn't bother me. Sideline skeptics and critics come with the territory of any successful product maker, as history shows. You can either yap criticism all day and night,or learn how to spot a potential trial and error proven mini-Monster signature product in the making, and buy the stock, and make some real money.
I choose the latter.
-TYRUS Jan. 24, 2023
P.S. This was a fun lookup too:
The estimated Net Worth of Rodney C Sacks is at least $622 Million dollars as of 7 June 2022. Mr. Sacks owns over 115,682 units of Monster Beverage stock worth over $24,421,961 and over the last 11 years he sold MNST stock worth over $583,692,242.
-- Dec 2, 2022
https://wallmine.com/people/16178/rodney-c-sacks
DiscoverGold
2年前
Monster Beverage 'uber bull case off the table' but still constructive argues analysts
By: Investing.com | January 18, 2023
Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST) held its virtual investor meeting on Tuesday, with analysts at BofA and Wells Fargo maintaining their Buy ratings on the stock.
BofA analysts told investors in its note that the firm is also maintaining its $125 price target on Monster, but raising its FY22 EPS estimate.
"We continue to view the set up for MNST shares in 2023 favorably as scanner remains solid, aluminum prices continue to decline, and the company seems eager to return to repurchasing stock on a more consistent basis," said the analysts. "We raise our 4Q22 EPSe from $0.53 to $0.55 to reflect lowered FX headwinds, better expectations for US scanner data and improved gross margins given the pullback in aluminum."
Wells Fargo analysts maintained the firm's $115 price target on Monster, saying that the meeting didn't cause the story to change much.
"The key debate/opportunity here is margins. We think MNST took the 'uber bull case' off the table (broad cost deceleration), but nevertheless seemed constructive: easing in aluminum, freight (both domestic, international), and packaging, partly offset by running imported cans through COGS, and inflation in sugar and other ingredients- not dissimilar from commentary in November. So, again, constructive albeit not the 'blue sky' margin scenario," said the analysts.
Monster shares have declined 1.4% at the time of writing on Wednesday.
Read Full Story »»»
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Monster Beverage Co. (MNST) Insider Guy Carling Sells 12,256 Shares
By: MarketBeat | December 2, 2022
• Monster Beverage Co. (NASDAQ:MNST - Get Rating) insider Guy Carling sold 12,256 shares of Monster Beverage stock in a transaction dated Thursday, December 1st. The shares were sold at an average price of $102.42, for a total value of $1,255,259.52. Following the sale, the insider now owns 13,645 shares of the company's stock, valued at $1,397,520.90. The sale was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is available through this hyperlink...
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Monster Beverage Co. Insider Sells $3,540,175.00 in Stock
By: Market Beat | November 15, 2022
• Monster Beverage Co. (NASDAQ:MNST - Get Rating) insider Guy Carling sold 36,250 shares of the company's stock in a transaction on Friday, November 11th. The shares were sold at an average price of $97.66, for a total value of $3,540,175.00. Following the transaction, the insider now directly owns 25,901 shares in the company, valued at $2,529,491.66. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the Securities & Exchange Commission, which is available at the SEC website...
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Monster Beverage Co. (MNST) Sees Significant Decrease in Short Interest
By: Market Beat | November 12, 2022
• Monster Beverage Co. (NASDAQ:MNST - Get Rating) was the target of a significant drop in short interest in the month of October. As of October 31st, there was short interest totalling 5,280,000 shares, a drop of 38.7% from the October 15th total of 8,620,000 shares. Based on an average daily trading volume, of 2,480,000 shares, the short-interest ratio is currently 2.1 days. Currently, 1.4% of the company's shares are short sold...
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Monster Beverage Upgraded at JPM On 'Attractive Narrative' into 2023
By: Investing.com | November 1, 2022
Monster Beverage (NASDAQ:MNST) was upgraded to Overweight from Neutral, with its price target increased by $10 to $106 per share by JPMorgan analysts on Tuesday.
The analysts told investors in a note that the upgrade is based on the company's attractive narrative into 2023 while its organic/EPS growth is re-energized.
"We think MNST is well positioned into 2023E from both organic top-line (JPMe: 11%) and bottom-line perspectives (JPMe: +31%). Profitability will likely remain subdued in Q322 and Q422, but with aluminum costs alleviating and more efficient logistics back to clusters, we think the glass is half full ahead," said the analysts.
While JPMorgan acknowledged the risk of inflation deteriorating demand and more entrants to the category, the analysts added that consensus estimates seem low.
"In the short term, we are cognizant that there is some uncertainty and debate on where 3Q22 gross margins will land following successive negative surprises over the past few quarters and timing of flow-through given elevated balance sheet inventory, but we think it is backward looking (MNST reports 3Q22 results this Thursday November 3 AMC). Looking ahead, we feel comfortable that the drivers are in place for margin progression, including incremental pricing actions in US/EMEA that will flow through more fully in 4Q and abating commodity/transportation cost headwinds (although to be fair, some margin pressures may prove sticky)," the analysts explained.
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Monster Beverage Co. (MNST) CFO Sells $1,483,280.64 in Stock
By: MarketBeat | September 13, 2022
• Monster Beverage Co. (NASDAQ:MNST - Get Rating) CFO Thomas J. Kelly sold 16,032 shares of the business's stock in a transaction dated Friday, September 9th. The shares were sold at an average price of $92.52, for a total value of $1,483,280.64. Following the completion of the sale, the chief financial officer now directly owns 19,433 shares of the company's stock, valued at $1,797,941.16. The transaction was disclosed in a legal filing with the SEC, which is accessible through this hyperlink...
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Bear of the Day: Monster Beverage (MNST)
By: Zacks Investment Research | September 1, 2022
The Zacks Consumer Staples Sector currently ranks in the bottom 38% of all Zacks Sectors, undoubtedly a ranking that doesn’t inspire confidence.
Typically, an investor should target stocks within the top 50% of all Zacks Sectors.
Studies have shown that 50% of a stock's price movement can be attributed to the group it’s in, making it crucial to ensure that you target stocks in a thriving sector.
With the Consumer Staples sector residing in the bottom 50% of all Zacks Sectors, it further tells us that conditions are challenging for that sector's business currently, causing the analysts following that group to lower their estimates.
And, of course, investors never want to see earnings estimates go down.
One company in the sector, Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST), currently carries a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) with an overall VGM Score of an F.
Let’s take a look at what’s landed the beverage titan in such an unfavorable ranking.
Growth Estimates
Analysts have been overwhelmingly bearish in their earnings outlook over the last several months, pushing the stock into a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell).
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
The Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate for MNST’s current fiscal year (FY22) resides at $2.29, penciling in a disheartening 11% Y/Y drop in earnings. And for the company’s upcoming quarterly print, earnings are forecasted to slip by nearly 5% year-over-year.
Valuation
Monster Beverage shares carry stretched valuation levels, further bolstered by its Style Score of an F for Value.
The company’s 38.6X forward earnings multiple is undoubtedly expensive, well above its five-year median of 33.1X and reflecting a staggering 92% premium relative to its Zacks Sector.
Image Source: Zacks Investment Research
Earnings Performance
MNST’s bottom-line results have left much to be desired as of late, with the company falling short of the Zacks Consensus EPS Estimate in four of its last six quarters. Just in its latest print, MNST penciled in a steep 25% bottom-line miss.
Bottom Line
Steep valuation levels paired with overwhelmingly negative estimate revisions from analysts paint a grim picture for the company in the short term.
Monster Beverage (MNST) is a Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) and a stock that investors will be better off staying away from for now.
Instead, investors should pivot to stocks that either carry a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) – the odds of reaping considerable gains are much higher within the companies that carry these ranks.
Read Full Story »»»
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DiscoverGold
2年前
Monster Stock Could Be a Scary Pick for Bulls Next Month
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | August 31, 2022
• The beverage stock tends to underperform in September
• The stock suffered a post-earnings bear gap earlier in August
Monster Beverage Corp (NASDAQ:MNST) hasn't been spared by the market's recent selloff. Shortly after the equity touched an annual high of $99.81 in late July, MNST was hit with a brutal post-earnings bear gap. Layers of resistance have formed near the $92 area and 20-day moving average, keeping Monster stock from closing this gap. This could be just the tip of the iceberg for the beverage name, however, as the stock just landed at the top of Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White's list of the 25 worst stocks to own in September, going back 10 years.
According to White's data, the equity has seen negative one-month returns 90% of the time, averaging a 4% loss during this time period. This is good for the third largest monthly loss on the list, and makes Monster stock the only name to see monthly losses nine times out of ten. From its current perch, a move of similar magnitude would put MNST just above the $85 level -- a region it hasn't touched since mid-June.
The security was bombarded with bear notes following its second-quarter profit miss, but there's room for even more downgrades. Of the 14 in coverage, eight consider the stock a "buy" or better, without a single "sell" rating on the books. Plus, the 12-month consensus price target of $101.06 is a 13.4% premium to current levels, sitting just above its aforementioned annual peak.
Options traders, on the other hand, have been piling on their bearish bets. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), MNST sports a 10-day put/call volume ratio of 1.12, which stands higher than 76% of annual readings. This implies puts are being picked up at a quicker-than-usual clip.
With that said, joining these traders could be a prudent play. The equity's Schaeffer's Volatility Index (SVI) of 27% sits higher than just 31% of readings from the past year. In other words, options traders are pricing in relatively low volatility expectations for Monster stock at the moment.
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