Solana (SOL) Price Rally Over? What The Fundamentals Say
2024年4月12日 - 5:00PM
NEWSBTC
Solana (SOL) has recently become a focal point of discussion among
investors and analysts. After surging from below $22 to a high of
$210 within six months, and currently trading at around $174—a
nearly 700% increase—questions arise about the sustainability of
its price rally. Despite the impressive surge, SOL remains 50% shy
of its November 2021 all-time high of $260. The recent
consolidation pattern over the past four weeks suggests a cooling
off period. As the market looks forward, understanding the
underlying fundamentals becomes crucial. Jamie Coutts, Chief Crypto
Analyst (CMT) at Real Vision, notes in an analysis, “While Solana’s
outperformance has waned in the past month, it is still the
best-performing network in the past 12–18 months by a country mile.
[…] Solana’s price adjustment seems abrupt but is aligned with
fundamental indicators that suggest a stabilizing rather than
diminishing value proposition,” Coutts explains. Solana
Fundamentals Remain Strong Solana’s Daily Active Users (DAUs) have
risen dramatically, up more than 400% over the last nine months.
This growth places Solana in a rarefied group of networks boasting
over 1 million DAUs. Despite not reaching its 2021 peak DAUs, which
may have been inflated by synthetic activities linked to the FTX
exchange, the nature of engagement on Solana has evolved. “The
ecosystem is maturing; the engagement we see today is fundamentally
different—more diverse and significantly more integrated with
real-world applications,” Coutts remarked. He highlighted the
burgeoning sectors contributing to this growth, including
artificial intelligence, decentralized finance, consumer
applications, and the burgeoning memecoin and NFT spaces. Related
Reading: Trading Guru Uncovers This Notable Pattern On Solana:
What’s Next For SOL Investors? With a significant retracement from
its 2021 peak price, Solana’s market capitalization has still
managed to hit new highs this cycle, suggesting a broadening base
of investment and valuation recalibration. “The Network Value to
User (NVU) ratio indicates that while the asset appreciation is
notable, it’s the user growth that provides a compelling story for
Solana,” Coutts notes. At present, Solana’s NVU ratio fluctuates
between 50-100, reflective of a balanced growth-to-value dynamic
when compared with other networks where speculative value often
outstrips user growth. One of the standout metrics for Solana this
cycle has been its fee revenue, which has seen a sixfold increase
in a nine-month period. Daily fees now average $1.8 million, a
fortyfold increase. This surge is largely attributable to the
network’s increasing utilization across various applications.
Related Reading: Analyst Predicts Solana (SOL) Bounce Amid Network
Congestion Problems “Fee income not reaching its peak is a
misnomer; what’s crucial is that the financial underpinnings of the
network—highlighted by fee income—are stronger than ever,” Coutts
emphasized. He also compared Solana’s fee income, which reached
about 20% of Ethereum’s in March, demonstrating its growing
financial stature within the ecosystem. Solana Vs. Ethereum And
Future Outlook While Solana still lags behind Ethereum in terms of
total dApps, its economic indicators are robust. With 134 dApps,
compared to Ethereum’s 2,702, Solana’s dApp cash flow intensity is
second only to Ethereum, indicating a high monetization capability
per application. “Solana’s smaller, more potent suite of
applications is driving economic efficiency that rivals even the
largest networks,” states Coutts. Despite the speculative
components associated with memecoins and airdrops driving part of
the transaction volume, Solana’s adjusted fee growth metric
isolates and highlights genuine economic activity. With a
staggering real fee growth rate of 3,259.7%, Solana leads all
networks in this metric. “While some underlying activities might be
transitory, the intense and growing usage of Solana’s blockchain is
undeniable evidence of its utility and viability,” Coutts
concludes. As Solana continues to develop and expand its ecosystem,
the fundamental analysis underscores a network that not only
maintains robust health and economic vigor but is also poised for
future growth. This paints a picture of a blockchain platform that,
despite market volatilities, remains a leading player in the crypto
landscape, backed by strong fundamentals and promising growth
metrics. At press time, SOL traded at $173.47. Featured image from
Forbes India, chart from TradingView.com
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