NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) オプション

Who gives a crap.

Market sentiment and geopolitical influences are pulling most stock prices down.

This is not something that is unique to NVDA.

We all know its not going to zero. Domination or not, the stock is sliding down. If it drops below $100, which I believe it will, what stops it from sliding into the $80s? Its a legitimate question and I dont see anything preventing that from happening.

It's leadership role in the market and dominance have little to do with market sentiment and geo-political influences, which can contribute to pulling it down further. Thats the logic here.

Nothing stopping it from going to zero with that logic!! Lol 😂 At this time the whole world is depending on this company!! Until someone steps up to challenge them they will continue to dominate!!

If it drops under $100, whats to stop it from continuing to slide down into the $80s?

If it goes anywhere under a hundo go All In!!

Umm the Chinese aren't the only ones making ground on photonics. They have a lot of engineers, so it's not surprising.

Jensen will speak at GTC 2025 on March 18th 2025 at 10:00 AM PT. You can sign up to listen at Nvidia.com. He supposedly will talk about innovations and new products.

Biden's chip restrictions along with Trumps tariffs and possibly more restrictions won't work. China has filed more patents in 2023 than the combined number of US, Japan, and EU. They now have proven a new technology which will increase the speed of processing.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/china-100-ghz-light-powered-141050876.html

A.I. IS ONLY GOOD FOR REPLACING WORD SALAD USELESS WEATHER PEOPLE ON T.V.!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! GET RID OF THE GYMNASTIC ROUTINE TO TELL ME YOUR GOING TO FREEZE YOUR AZZ OFF TODAY!!!!!!!!!!! MUAHHHHHHAHAAAAAAHAHAHAHAHAHAHABALAHAAAAAAAAAAAAAHAHAHA!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I know it's been hard the last few weeks being a long well actually months. Fundamentally good in a bad market, I'm hoping market can settle down before GTC the 17th. I'm not sure if that can be the catalyst, but it is the only near term event. I'm worried that Nvidia stock will not ever have a chance to run, the market always expecting for the other shoe to drop. Lets hang in there 

Descending Triple Bottom Breakdown on 7-Mar-2025. BLTA

I think he means it will continue to gain if NVDA keeps dropping, which he expects.
Anyway...we all adjust acc to conditions.

More like short and strong. NVD is the inverse ticker!!😱

NVD $35.86 + 3% long and strong. NVDA ready to enter $98 zone once $108s don't hold 

Stats the peanut gallery isn't going to like but since they can't read or don't want to, they'll be clueless and call it a lie as usual.
https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/sorry-american-firms-ai-trade-025228513.html

Unfortunately doesn't look that good. Looks like it's headed below 110. I had strong doubts and thought that it wasn't going to happen but it looks like it is with the first GB200 parts arriving this year. which is around $4B but that announcement didn't help the stock.

Before all the tariffs uncertainty, NVDA was on track to return to 120-130. It will now get around to this, beginning today.

Broadcom's shares soared 12% in premarket trading on Friday as the chipmaker's strong revenue forecast helped restore some confidence in AI chip demand after a bruising sector-wide selloff following rival Marvell Technology's bleak outlook.
Big Tech's push to diversify beyond Nvidia's pricey and supply-constrained AI processors has remained a tailwind for Broadcom. It dpesn't take much to make Broadcom jump.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/broadcom-jumps-upbeat-forecast-quells-103948109.html

Their jump in AI isn't all that great at Broadcom but perspective and risk assessment play an important part in how the market feels about a stock

NVIDIA's outlook for the first quarter of fiscal 2026 is as follows: Revenue is expected to be $43.0 billion, plus or minus 2%. GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 70.6% and 71.0%, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.Feb 26, 2025
Source: https://www.shacknews.com/article/143234/nvidia-nvda-q4-2025-gross-margin

$NVDA had the most bearish flow today by far
By: Cheddar Flow | March 6, 2025

• $NVDA had the most bearish flow today by far

$TSLA had less than half of total bearish premium



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PRE-MARKET I PREDICTED LOWER TODAY - END OF DAY DOWN OVER 5%

On SI, i welcomed dissenting views. Often, that was where I got useful and valuable information that I did not previously have. I don’t think I ever had anybody lie or deliberately mislead either myself or any other potential readers.

You win! As soon as I finish this post, you are officially on “IGNORE”.

If one reads all the articles, it boils down to risk. Nvidia and other companies whose future relies on AI adoption are now a higher risk. That risk assessment isn't going to disappear until a significant monetary value is assigned to the achievements of AI. AI will advance when it's worth become evident. That in essence is what's driving the stock down. Beating revs or EPS estimates isn't going to cut it anymore. It also might be the market isn't growing as fast to support the premiums on the SP's.

$NVD $34.14 + 9.28% ...Market trend remains bearish .. As of February 2025, vehicle repossessions are on the rise, surpassing pre-pandemic levels. According to a Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) report..... Mortgage repossessions in the United States saw a significant increase in the fourth quarter of 2024, rising by 61% ....

Broadcom (AVGO) shares increase 9% after earnings report. They beat on top and bottom lines. All the while NVDA shares keep plummeting after substantially beating on top and bottom line. WTF is going on?

So says the blind and deaf peanut gallery. I give my sources. You and your peanut gallery just refuse to read them so you can call me a liar. At least I'm not and idiot like you and your gallery. I read all available articles and post or give my sources. I can understand why pumpers chose to ignore articles and consider anything they don't agree with as a lie or fabrication while fabricating their own. When it comes down to it, the price and trend says it all. I guess you and your gallery can't handle it. You even try to change what my posts state. How sad but I guess you and the peanuts will do or say anything..

But if you deliberately lie or deliberately misinform with your posts, people will just put you on ignore and allow you to waste your time without bothering them

Most already have.

What I reeported is accurate based on her response to a question which was asked her from an analyst during Q3 conference. She stated 70% would be low GM. However, recently there was an article which predicted 70% for Q1 GM. I can't help if you didn't listen to Q&A during the Q3 conference. I also can't help it if you only read select articles. We'll see what the next Q is. Be sure to listen to the end and try reading more articles. BTW, I'm going to predict more downgrades coming this month. We've already had one from a major analyst.

NVDA $110s $NVD $34.50 + 10%. Unfortunately Federal Government layoffs to approach 1million once the purge complete. Auto loan defaults report out at 2009 levels and just the beginning. Mortgage delinquencies approaches 2009 levels also. 
SPY $571 Still has a ways to go down to $525 support will take a few weeks probably as NVDA goes down to $90s slowly ...

NVDA $111s Update on NVD was busy but took position at $31.50s zone. NVDA will remain bearish with a few very small bullish spikes in between. Next zone wil be nasty starting at $108s so we will see $98 to $108 zone and the ultimate bottom should approach $89 zone furrher down the line but will update later 

The amount of misinformation that you continuously spread is amazing. Is English not your first language? … Or even your second or third language?

For your information, following are accurate facts on what Nvidia has reported with respect to the gross margin and what its CFO is predicting for its gross margin for the rest of the year.

You don’t have to like Nvidia. You can continue to bad mouth it. But if you deliberately lie or deliberately misinform with your posts, people will just put you on ignore and allow you to waste your time without bothering them.

Nvidia reported a gross margin of 73% for its Q4 2025 earnings. This figure is slightly lower than the 76% gross margin from the previous year, primarily due to the shift toward more complex and higher-cost systems in its Data Center segment.

Nvidia’s CFO, Colette Kress, has projected that the company’s gross margin will stabilize in the mid-70% range for the rest of the calendar year. The gross margin had peaked at 78.4% in Q1 FY 2025 but has since declined to 74.6%. This slight contraction is attributed to competitive pressures, but Nvidia expects its new Blackwell GPU architecture to help maintain profitability at these levels as production ramps up.

I would say Nvidia's PE ratio will become more in line but not the way you think. Trump doesn't like the fact we gave TMSC billions of dollars to build a plant in US (which won't be operational for 2-3 years and according to one source will not be building advanced chips). There is so much doubt about the chip act, AI being adopted as fast as what's being stated, and potential tariffs on Taiwan along with increased tariffs and restrictions on China. I believe with all the uncertainty Nvidia will continue to decline. The next Q is anticipated the gross margin will drop to 70% which is what the CFO stated was low. Things for at least another 6 months have increased the risk factor of buying Nvidia stock. According to your numbers, based on PE, Intel would be the best investment.

Back in 111.32 can't pass up these cheap shares

Market is concerned about gross margin. So the next Q report should send the stock significantly lower no matter what the rev or share price is. The gross margin is expected to be around 70% which the CFO has stated is low.

Actually, I believe NVDA's current PE is 39.90. That is not bad, considering some of their competitors that have been mentioned here:

AMD's PE is 124.42

AVGO's (Broadcom) PE is 66.18

However, some are indeed lower:

INTC's PE is 1.99

QCOM's PE is 17.64

TXN's (Texas Instruments) PE is 27.68

$NVDA Two years later—$100 higher, same valuation
By: TrendSpider | March 5, 2025

• $NVDA Two years later—$100 higher, same valuation.



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DiscoverGold

cuda-q is a programming platform... goodness.
so it is using programming language/s that might allow browser like functionality in the vmware cloud foundation 9 release? vcf 9 html access they call it.
so you use it to program the gpu/quantum /data servers/accelerators/cpus/switches and routers?
when jensen was talking quantum computers, he might have been referring to stand alone quantum computers with all the other ip represented by nvda, broadcom, etc? so might he discuss this in 11 days or so?
trump wants to invest usa seed money, not give it away... both overseas like israel/ukraine and at home. too much has been spent and lost while the recipients got rich. time for usa tax payers to be rewarded. we can use the quantum advantage now with the quantum simulating classical components until the whole deal is ready.

interesting aside, ionq says the output of deepseek is 75% identical to openai's.........they query if deepseek is just using distillation. but the deepseek guy already told us they were, i thought?

GOING LOWER IMO

Interesting article regarding Trump's budget cuts and how it will affect semiconductor development within US. We may have to rely on physicists from China, Taiwan, or Korea since the budget cuts could make it harder and harder to get qualified researchers within the US. You need physicists and chemists/chem engineers to produce semi's. Getting a PhD is expensive.
https://www.yahoo.com/news/trump-budget-cuts-threaten-ai-191740726.html

NVDA $118 at play next $120

Sentiment is still negative on Nvidia. Moving averages have been dropping. Indications of possibly back to the 90's if resistance levels keep dropping.
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidia-chart-watchers-brace-more-095158132.htmlhttps://finance.yahoo.com/news/nvidia-chart-watchers-brace-more-095158132.html

Huge $11.4 Million ITM $NVDA Put (High Premium)
By: Cheddar Flow | March 5, 2025

• Huge $11.4M ITM $NVDA Put (High Premium)

This was bought to open (Vol>OI) and expires at the end of the month



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SPY 200 day sma if we go towards 590 on Trump saying Canada tariffs reduced or ok ISM numbers at 10am. Have no position for now back out of NVD break even 

Yes market changes all the time neutral to long now on NVDA but with $120 in mind first. Have to scratch a bearish play because Trump will probably cal off tariffs today

I enjoy your price predictions and the manner in which you skillfully play the market. It appears that most of your trades are profitable and show a high degree of accuracy with your price points.

Earlier today you had mentioned going short again. My personal opinion - that may be a risky venture tomorrow, after the televised address to Congress. I believe the markets may trend up and NVDA along for that ride.

No tariffs NVDA set to go back up!!! ….US Futures, Peso, & Loonie Spike After-Hours as Trump Team Hint At Tariff 'Compromise'…

NVDA down or up. ....

Thanks for the response.

I am a swing trader, as well. I have traded Nvidia shares about 5 times all with profits.

I have now few hundred shares with average cost ot $105. I am hoping share price to drop some more.

I follow technical indicators and clues. We shall see how the story unfolds. Cheers & GLTY

It's definitely plausible, Elon did it to $MSFT and Gates did it to $TSLA to the tune of 500 million dollars. In the current situation we are in now, it is essentially no mans land. Half the congress and senate probably do it too. Here is the worse one, George Soros, shorts stocks and ruin Countries and ruin peoples livelihood (disgusting individual) Both Eric and Donald J Trump Jr, or are on the advisory board of $DOMH, talk about no mans land where anything goes.