SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) オプション

Yen Vs $ --- been advancing since mid Feb--carry trade reaction---Mkt Sell Off !!

Charts: SPX 60 min---14 Days in the Falling Channel ?? VIX--14 Days Bouncing off Da 15 min Red Line ! Not over till VIX can stay below Da 15 min Red Line ?? (233 EMA )

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot 5740----R1--5813----R2--5856----S1--5696----S2--5612-----SPY Pivot 572----R1--580----S1--567----ES Pivot 5733----VIX Pivot 24.34 !!LOL!!

SP 500 ****TOP*****









the QQQs look about the same or WORSE

SPX Current Falling Channel Upper T/l Approx 5814 ---Channel duration 13 Days----ways to go yet for B/O at 5814 ??

Charts: 50% FIB 5664----Base ---8/13---(5119)-----LOD 5666------Good bounce! ( 573C .64--4.31)-----See if She Can Hold ???

Hardly a flesh wound at this point if you pan out 5 years. VIX looking more pre 2015 now. Thanks:)

Let the market decide ?




Couple hours ago ; (pre PPT)












YEST RE Crypto HODLers

lol there they are 
What's that chart forecast?

No PPT.......ha-ha man ;
Were you KIDDING ?

No ppt?
I would think Vix would be higher than it is right now?

Okay I see a doji and a falling star candle 

The options market is wild right now and mm's are shaking the tree every chance they get.

Eastern time

Yes and now look at the 9:55 & 10:00 candles

Okay so your talking about the big red candle engulfing the green candle at 11:35 am central time?

Yesterday's tape showed the trigger at the 11:30 & 11:35 candles. 

Yea, it's like the news is calling this a massive sell off. All you have to do is pan back on a 5 year chart of spy, and say what sell off?? lol 
This is nothing.....GFC had some great intraday swing plays;)

Makes sense.





Figures.....



Now what ?



.

So did reborn Don the car salesman go to church? So many fools. lol.

Seriously lent is a special time of year. We are blessed.

Why are the markets so high? Earnings have been decreasing for most companies, so PE's are crazily overvalued. The CAPE S&P 500 should have PE around 14-16. It is above 36. Market indexes still have another 60% to fall from here!

Well it's lent 
40 days?
Got my ashes:)
I will be buying the dip
Good luck 

ie: SPX Daily---3 flat on CCI-18 now--very unusual----looks like trying to move up--when passes -100 line mkt should take off -----I use the same By/Sig on SPX 5 min for day trades--mkt allways follows CCI ( a leading indicator ) !---Till Fri !!LOL!!

Had to step out for min----Agree--would be interesting to know the #'s on that--When we hit bottom gonna be H of a run up! Bottoms R Quick! Tops Long Rollovers! Watch the CCI-18 on the Daily--When starts bumping up ---diversion --most likely will signal turn !! !!LOL!!

post on Trump Tariffs

Tuesday, October 15, 2024 11:37:58 AM


no, this just part of the TOPPING process

i speak to a trader with 55 years of experience in gann fan and elliot wave trading on regular basis, markets are always forward looking, what is priced in now for stocks, is through mid 2025 minimum

debt to GDP is 150%-200%

buying up here is playing with fire

treasury issuance will be massive in 2025, even Drunkenmiller wants to be extra short US treasuries

GOLD is telling a very rough road is ahead. US DEBT will likely get downgraded in 2025

if Trump wins, tariffs everywhere

if Harris wins, taxes go up up up

both are bad


https://investorshub.advfn.com/boards/read_msg.aspx?message_id=175232342

LOOKS LIKE I WAS 100% ACCURATE

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/03/06/treasury-secretary-bessent-says-the-american-dream-is-not-about-access-to-cheap-goods.html

I agree with bessent:)
Great read
I'd like to know how many billions are shorting VIX right now, preventing circuit breakers is not a good idea. Free market capitalism or bust!

On a recent read---when Gold 50% or greater than S&P---will out perform---Guess will get to see the proof of this theory ??

Like U said tons of $$ kicken around in the MM's-----if rates go down--only game in town !!

Charts: Macro---SPX--Daily Step Ladder Down Support From 11/1---5696------50% Fib 5664 (8/7 Base) ?

Hit 571.04
So next leg down is??
Shit looks weak

571.16 is simple 200 dma

572?

Propaganda

Let's make America great again by stepping on a rake......




That's in frickin' freefall that.
Note the November Election Gap......
Could that be a "Distribution Top" ?







Let's make America great again by stepping on a rake......

Mkt needs Take Out 5 min Red Lines & Hold !!

Out 582C 1.28! Close DD! 2nd 1/2-----Take It at ES & SPY 5 min Red Lines !! Scalp off the VIX !!

Lets go boys--need to get back up to The Pivots !!

Looks like a Tripple Bottom ??

Scalped 1/2 582C 1.08! 50% + Take It !

There She Goes !

DXY down--Cheap Mony---Mkt should advance ??

Back in 582C .67?

Out 582C .66! Reversed

Riddin 582C.62 !

Dxy looks weak

Vix looks weak 

SPX Trading Bracket 5820--5870 !

Pivot Calcs: SPX Pivot 5814----R1--5887----R2--5932----S1--5770----S2--5696-----SPY Pivot 580----R1--587----S1--575-----ES Pivot 5820----VIX Pivot 22.71 !!LOL!!

i have zero conviction in my trades.   Everything is in and out.  Holding till exit points has been to brutal...in and out.   Bias is still bearish all of 2025

Amazing it stuck