Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. (“Saturn” or the “Company”) (TSX.V: SOIL)
(FSE: SMK) is pleased to announce the results of our independent
2018 year-end reserves evaluation conducted by Ryder Scott Company,
LP (“Ryder Scott”) with an effective date of December 31, 2018 (the
“Ryder Scott Report”).
Throughout 2018, Saturn continued to execute our
aggressive growth strategy focused within the prolific and highly
economic Viking play in Saskatchewan. Our 2018 capital
expenditures program totaled $20.7 million and was directed to the
acquisition of 26.3 net sections of land and the drilling and
completion of 18 (17 net) Viking light oil wells, including 15
extended reach horizontal ("ERH") wells. The success of this
program is demonstrated by the significant growth in our reserves
base year-over-year and strong capital efficiencies, which has set
the stage for continued expansion and value creation through 2019
and beyond.
Reserves HighlightsThrough
2018, Saturn achieved record growth in reserves at the fastest pace
in the Company’s history. Following are key reserves
highlights as at December 31, 2018 across various reserves
categories:
Proved Developed Producing (“PDP”)
- 492% increase over 2017 to 557.1 thousand barrels
(“Mbbls”)
- 320% increase on a per share (basic) basis
- 853% growth in net present value discounted at 10% (before tax)
(“NPV10 BT”) over 2017
- Replaced 497% of 2018 annual production
- Achieved Finding, Development and Acquisition (“FD&A”)
costs of $44.78/bbl including change in Future Development Capital
(“FDC”)
- Generated a recycle ratio of 0.94x based on 2018 average
operating netbacks of $42.18/bbl
Total Proved (“TP”)
- 323% increase over 2017 to 2,190.6 Mbbls
- 200% increase on a per share (basic) basis
- 769% growth in NPV10 BT over 2017
- Replaced 1,795% of 2018 annual production
- Achieved FD&A cost of $21.17/bbl including change in
FDC
- Generated a recycle ratio of 1.99x based on 2018 average
operating netbacks
Total Proved + Probable (“TP+P”)
- 467% increase over 2017 to 4,554.9 Mbbls
- 302% increase on a per share (basic) basis
- 768% growth in NPV10 BT over 2017
- Replaced 4,025% of 2018 annual production
- Achieved FD&A cost of $20.56/bbl including change in
FDC
- Generated a recycle ratio of 2.05x based on 2018 average
operating netbacks
“I am extremely proud of our achievements in
2018, delivering an unprecedented year of reserves growth across
all categories,” stated John Jeffrey, Chairman & CEO.
“These results highlight the depth of our high value, light oil
Viking portfolio in Saskatchewan where we continue to expand our
presence. With a strong balance sheet and excellent capital
and operating efficiencies to support our inventory of development
opportunities, Saturn is in a strong position to continue creating
value for our shareholders in 2019 and beyond.”
Reserves SummaryYear-end 2018
reserves were evaluated by independent reserves evaluator Ryder
Scott in accordance with the definitions, standards and procedures
contained in the Canadian Oil and Gas Evaluation Handbook (“COGE
Handbook”) and National Instrument 51-101 Standards of Disclosure
for Oil and Gas Activities (“NI 51-101”). A reserves committee,
comprised of a majority of independent board members, reviews the
qualifications and appointment of the independent reserves
evaluator and reviews the procedures for providing information to
the evaluators. The reserves evaluation was based on Ryder Scott
forecast pricing and foreign exchange rates. Reserves included
herein are stated on a company gross basis (working interest before
deduction of royalties without inclusion of any royalty interests)
unless noted otherwise. Additional reserves information will be
included in Saturn’s NI 51-101 Forms regarding Statement of
Reserves Data and Other Oil and Gas Information which will be filed
on SEDAR on or before April 30, 2019.
The following tables outline Saturn’s reserves
as at December 31, 2018. No provision for interest, risk management
contracts, debt service charges and general and administrative
expenses have been made and it should not be assumed that the net
present values of the reserves estimated by Ryder Scott represents
the fair market value of the reserves.
Summary of Corporate
ReservesThe following is a summary of the Company’s
estimated corporate reserves as at December 31, 2018, as evaluated
by Ryder Scott.
Reserves Category |
Light and Medium Oil |
Heavy Oil |
Natural Gas Liquids |
Conventional Natural Gas |
Barrels of Oil Equivalent |
Liquids Ratio |
(bbls) |
(bbls) |
(bbls) |
(Mcf) |
(bbls) |
(%) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
Producing |
557,080 |
- |
- |
- |
557,080 |
100 |
Developed
Non-producing |
- |
63,598 |
- |
- |
63,598 |
100 |
Undeveloped |
1,285,293 |
284,632 |
- |
- |
1,569,925 |
100 |
Total
Proved |
1,842,373 |
348,231 |
- |
- |
2,190,603 |
100 |
Probable |
1,989,976 |
374,393 |
- |
- |
2,364,369 |
100 |
Total Proved + Probable |
3,832,348 |
722,624 |
- |
- |
4,554,972 |
100 |
Reconciliation of Reserves
FACTORS |
Total Proved (bbls) |
Total Probable (bbls) |
Total Proved + Probable (bbls) |
As of December 31,
2017 |
517,800 |
|
285,700 |
|
803,500 |
|
Acquisitions (1) |
1,568,430 |
|
1,854,600 |
|
3,423030 |
|
Dispositions |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Drilling
(Extensions and Improved Recovery) |
487,000 |
|
355,300 |
|
842,300 |
|
Discoveries |
- |
|
- |
|
- |
|
Technical
Revisions |
(330,678 |
) |
(132,531 |
) |
(463,209 |
) |
Pricing
(Economic Factors) |
2,300 |
|
1,300 |
|
3,600 |
|
Production (2) |
(54,249 |
) |
0 |
|
(54,249 |
) |
As of December 31, 2018 |
2,190,603 |
|
2,364,369 |
|
4,554,972 |
|
(1) Positive additions are comprised of remaining
reserves assessed on acquired lands, and account for production
occurring between the closing date (August 2018) and evaluation
effective date.(2) Excludes production on lands acquired
during 2018
Net Present Value of Future Revenues Before Income
Taxes
The following table is a summary of the
estimated net present values of future net revenue (before income
taxes) associated with Saturn’s reserves as at December 31, 2018,
discounted at the indicated percentage rates per year, as evaluated
in the Ryder Scott Report.
Reserves Category |
0% |
5% |
10% |
15% |
20% |
(M$) |
(M$) |
(M$) |
(M$) |
(M$) |
Proved |
|
|
|
|
|
Developed
Producing |
31,354 |
|
25,038 |
|
21,039 |
|
18,353 |
|
16,440 |
|
Developed
Non-Producing |
2,231 |
|
1,810 |
|
1,516 |
|
1,307 |
|
1,152 |
|
Undeveloped |
52,767 |
|
35,637 |
|
24,793 |
|
17,598 |
|
12,576 |
|
Total
Proved |
86,352 |
|
62,485 |
|
47,348 |
|
37,258 |
|
30,169 |
|
Probable |
103,925 |
|
65,381 |
|
44,021 |
|
31,118 |
|
22,727 |
|
Total Proved + Probable |
190,276 |
|
127,866 |
|
91,369 |
|
68,376 |
|
52,896 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Future Development Capital
The following table provides a summary of the
estimated FDC required to bring Saturn’s TP and TP+P non-producing
and undeveloped reserves to production, as reflected in the Ryder
Scott Report, which costs have been deducted in Ryder Scott’s
estimation of future net income associated with such reserves.
|
Total |
Total Proved |
Future Development Costs (M$) |
Proved |
+ Probable |
2019 |
24,500 |
31,475 |
2020 |
10,361 |
34,652 |
2021 |
549 |
10,992 |
2022 |
- |
- |
Remainder |
- |
- |
Total FDC undiscounted |
35,410 |
77,119 |
Net Asset Value (“NAV”)
The following table sets out a calculation of
NAV based on the estimated before-tax estimated net present value
of future net income (discounted at 10%) ("NPV10 BT") associated
with our PDP, TP and TP+P reserves, as evaluated in the Ryder Scott
Report.
|
PDP |
TP |
TP+P |
NPV10 BT (M$) |
21,039 |
|
47,348 |
|
91,369 |
|
Estimated long-term debt, less cash collateralized letters
of credit (unaudited) (M$) |
(9,603 |
) |
(9,603 |
) |
(9,603 |
) |
Net Asset Value (M$) |
11,436 |
|
37,745 |
|
81,766 |
|
|
|
|
|
Basic shares outstanding (M) |
227,963 |
|
227,963 |
|
227,963 |
|
Estimated NAV/share ($) |
0.05 |
|
0.17 |
|
0.36 |
|
Price ForecastThe following
table summarizes Ryder Scott’s commodity price forecast and foreign
exchange rate and inflation rate assumptions as at December 31,
2018, as applied in the Ryder Scott Report, for the next five
years.
Year |
Exchange Rate |
WTI @ Cushing |
Canadian Light Sweet 40º API |
Western Canada Select 20.5º API |
$C/$US |
(US$/bbl) |
(C$/bbl) |
(C$/bbl) |
2019 |
0.740 |
55.50 |
68.24 |
52.77 |
2020 |
0.776 |
63.00 |
74.72 |
58.84 |
2021 |
0.779 |
66.00 |
78.29 |
62.17 |
2022 |
0.783 |
70.00 |
82.99 |
66.58 |
2023 |
0.785 |
72.00 |
85.33 |
68.77 |
To learn more about Saturn Oil & Gas Inc.,
please visit www.saturnoil.com.
About Saturn Oil & Gas
Inc.
Saturn Oil & Gas Inc. (TSX.V: SOIL) (FSE:
SMK) is a public energy Company focused on the acquisition and
development of undervalued, low-risk assets. Saturn is driven
to build a strong portfolio of cash flowing assets with strategic
land positions. De-risked assets and calculated execution
will allow Saturn to achieve growth in reserves & production
through retained earnings. Saturn's portfolio will become its key
to growth and provide long-term stability to shareholders.
Investor & Media Contact:
Saturn Oil & GasJohn Jeffrey, MBA - CEO Tel: (306) 955-9946
www.saturnoil.com
Neither TSX Venture Exchange nor its
Regulation Services Provider (as that term is defined in the
policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for
the adequacy or accuracy of this release.
Unaudited financial
informationCertain financial and operating information
included in this news release for the quarter and year ended
December 31, 2018, including finding, development and acquisition
costs, are based on estimated unaudited financial results for the
quarter and year then ended, and are subject to the same
limitations as discussed under "Forward-looking information" set
out below. These estimated amounts may change upon the completion
of audited financial statements for the year ended December 31,
2018 and changes could be material.
Disclosure of Oil and Gas Reserves Data
and Operational InformationThe reserves data estimates
contained herein are estimates only and there is no guarantee that
the estimated reserves will be recovered or that the related
estimates of future net income will be realized. There can be no
assurance that the forecast prices and cost assumptions applied by
Ryder Scott in evaluating the Company's reserves will be attained,
and variances between actual and forecast prices and costs could be
material. Actual reserves may be greater than or less than
the estimated volumes provided herein, and it should not be assumed
that the estimates of future net income presented herein represent
the fair market value of the reserves. Estimates in respect
of individual properties may not reflect the same confidence level
as estimates of reserves and future net income for all properties,
due to the effects of aggregation. The Company's belief that
it will establish additional reserves over time with conversion of
probable undeveloped reserves into proved reserves is a
forward-looking statement and is based on certain assumptions and
is subject to certain risks, as discussed below under the heading
"Forward-looking information".
This news release discloses certain metrics
commonly used in the oil and natural gas industry – namely
""finding, development and acquisition costs", "net asset
value" and “reserve life index” – that do not have standardized
meanings or methods of calculation under applicable laws,
International Financial Reporting Standards, the COGE Handbook or
other applicable professional standards. Accordingly, such
measures, as determined by the Company, may not be comparable to
similarly defined or labelled measures presented by other
companies, and therefore should not be used to make such
comparisons. These metrics have been included herein to provide
readers with additional information to evaluate the Company's
performance but should not be relied upon for comparative
purposes. Management uses oil and gas metrics for its own
performance measurements and to provide shareholders with measures
to compare Saturn’s operations over time. Readers are cautioned
that the information provided by these metrics, or that can be
derived from the metrics presented in this news release, should not
be relied upon for investment or other purposes.
Finding, Development and Acquisition
costs (“FD&A costs”)"Finding, development and
acquisition costs" or "FD&A costs" are calculated by dividing
the sum of all exploration and development capital expenditures for
the year inclusive of the net acquisition costs and disposition
proceeds (in dollars) by the change in reserves within the
applicable reserve’s category inclusive of changes due to
acquisitions and dispositions (in bbls). FD&A costs, including
FDC, includes all capital expenditures in the year inclusive of the
net acquisition costs and disposition proceeds as well as the
change in FDC required to bring the reserves within the specified
reserves category on production.
FD&A costs take into account reserves
revisions and capital revisions during the year. The aggregate of
the costs incurred in the financial year and changes during that
year in estimated FDC may not reflect total FD&A costs related
to reserves additions for that year. FD&A costs have been
presented in this news release because acquisitions and
dispositions can have a significant impact on Saturn's ongoing
reserves replacement costs and excluding these amounts could result
in an inaccurate portrayal of its cost structure. Management
uses FD&A as measures of its ability to execute its capital
programs (and success in doing so) and of its asset quality.
Net Asset Value (“NAV”)"Net
asset value" is calculated by taking each reserve category future
net income per the Ryder Scott Report, on a before tax basis,
discounted at 10% and adding undeveloped land value and proceeds
from stock option exercises and subtracting decommissioning
obligations, discounted at 10%, and net debt. Management uses
this to measure the relative change in net asset value over a
period of time.
Forward-Looking Information and
StatementsCertain statements contained in this release
include statements which contain words such as "anticipate",
"could", "should", "expect", "seek", "may", "intend", "likely",
"will", "believe" and similar expressions, relating to matters that
are not historical facts, and such statements of our beliefs,
intentions and expectations about development, results and events
which will or may occur in the future, constitute "forward-looking
information" within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities
legislation and are based on certain assumptions and analysis made
by us derived from our experience and perceptions. Forward-looking
information in this release includes, but is not limited to:
expected cash flow provided by continuing operations; future
capital expenditures, including the amount and nature thereof; oil
and natural gas prices and demand; expansion and other development
trends of the oil and gas industry; business strategy and outlook;
expansion and growth of our business and operations; and
maintenance of existing customer, supplier and partner
relationships; supply channels; accounting policies; credit risks;
and other such matters.
All such forward-looking information is based on
certain assumptions and analyses made by us in light of our
experience and perception of historical trends, current conditions
and expected future developments, as well as other factors we
believe are appropriate in the circumstances. The risks,
uncertainties, and assumptions are difficult to predict and may
affect operations, and may include, without limitation: foreign
exchange fluctuations; equipment and labour shortages and
inflationary costs; general economic conditions; industry
conditions; changes in applicable environmental, taxation and other
laws and regulations as well as how such laws and regulations are
interpreted and enforced; the ability of oil and natural gas
companies to raise capital; the effect of weather conditions on
operations and facilities; the existence of operating risks;
volatility of oil and natural gas prices; oil and gas product
supply and demand; risks inherent in the ability to generate
sufficient cash flow from operations to meet current and future
obligations; increased competition; stock market volatility;
opportunities available to or pursued by us; and other factors,
many of which are beyond our control.
Actual results, performance or achievements
could differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by,
this forward-looking information and, accordingly, no assurance can
be given that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking
information will transpire or occur, or if any of them do, what
benefits will be derived there from. Except as required by law,
Saturn disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise
any forward-looking information, whether as a result of new
information, future events or otherwise.
The forward-looking information contained herein
is expressly qualified by this cautionary statement.
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