Space Exploration Technologies Corporation (SPCX)

Yep, never profitable with projections of finally
being able to justify is IPO share price of $135
by around 2029/2030.

IE, what you are paying NOW MIGHT be finally
from a fundamental standpoint, justified in around
3-4 YEARS.

But in todays market where fundamentals are being
ignored, downplayed? Hype/BS is being used to convince
folks no price is too high to pay.

Sad because its destroyed the entity called the STOCK MARKET.
It no longer is little more than a PONZI SCHEME thanks to ignoring
things like the fundamentals for setting s companies valuation, corruption
thru the use of algorithms to conduct high speed trading, ignoring violaions
of the rules/regs for things like naked shorting/insider cheating by members of
Congress, and the creation of the 401Ks that just keeps pumping money automatically
into the market that has to be put to work. And its one of the primary reasons the
fundamentals have to be ignored, and valuations now becoming whatever they want
them to be cause this money has to be put to work in something (which is why we have
ETFs, ETNs, ETFS that bet on just one stock to rise or fall, et al).

Yep, its not the market of just 25 years ago thanks to the explosion of computer based
trading, and the resultant explosion of folks working to write software that allows them
to make money with little give a damn about fundamentals. Nope, all about finding a way
to scalp enough off a fast trade.

And spacx is in a way, and the bending of rules/regs to set it up? Is the sum of all of the
worst in a way that the stock market has become.

SPCX has never been profitable since 2002, right?

How many years from now could that change?

Is profitability an important detail? Or is increasing revenue the most important thing?

Who are the REAL WINNERS?? Called the VENTURE CAPITALISTS
DIsclaimer:: Not sure how accurate the numbers quoted are in this
CHAT GP response, but they are likely damn close. Yep, the real winners
are those that got in years ago when the share price was 'quite small'

How Venture Capitalists Entered SpaceX and Their Returns
Venture capitalists (VCs) who backed SpaceX early on bought shares at very low valuations compared to the company’s current $1.8 trillion market cap, creating some of the largest returns in venture capital history.

Entry points and valuations

Founders Fund (Peter Thiel) invested about $600 million across multiple funding rounds starting around 2008, when SpaceX was nearly bankrupt and valued in the low billions Tech Times+1.

Ron Baron began investing in 2017 through employee tender offers when SpaceX was valued at less than $22 billion CNBC.

Other early backers like Valor Equity Partners (Antonio Gracias) and Andreessen Horowitz also entered during SpaceX’s pre-IPO survival phase, when the company was far from public and had minimal market value Business Insider+1.

IPO price and implied valuation
SpaceX priced its IPO at $135 per share (some reports cite $150 opening) for an offering of roughly 555.6 million shares, implying a valuation of about $1.77–$1.8 trillion Tech Times+1.

Returns for major VC stakes

Founders Fund: 3% stake worth $50+ billion at the IPO price, an ~80x return from a $600M investment Tech Times+1.

Ron Baron: ~$12 billion stake after investing $2 billion over nearly two decades CNBC.

Andreessen Horowitz: reported $10+ billion in value from its SpaceX investment The Financial Express.

Valor Equity Partners: Antonio Gracias’ holdings through the firm are worth $75+ billion at the IPO Business Insider.

Why the returns are so high
VCs got in early when SpaceX was a small, private company with no public market, avoiding dilution and benefiting from compounding growth over nearly two decades. The IPO turned those early stakes into multi-billion-dollar positions, making them among the most profitable venture investments ever recorded Tech Times+1.

In short, VCs bought SpaceX shares at fractions of a cent per share in early funding rounds, and today’s IPO price has turned those bets into tens of billions of dollars in paper value.

So, if you’re asking what SpaceX insiders got their shares at, the answer is $135 per share in the IPO, with some participants buying earlier through the directed share program at the same price and without lock-up restrictions.

As for why would anyone pay $153 or higher to get their hands on shares? That is a GREAT question and
maybe some on here who have openly touted that they did, can answer it for you.

The SpaceX IPO Lifted the Whole Space Economy -- Including the Public Companies Building the Road Back to the MoonJune 27, 2026 5:30 PM
PR Newswire (Canada) Editorial Commentary — Commercial Space SeriesSpaceX's listing drew investor attention to the broader space economy, including lunar infrastructure. Intuitive Machines (Nasdaq: LUNR) has emerged as a leading public name in NASA's commercial Moon program, with record revenue and a US$1.1 billion backlog.VANCOUVER, BC, June 27, 2026 /CNW/ -- American News Group Market Commentary, The public listing of Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (NASDAQ: SPCX) As the most valuable private enterprise in the world arrived on the public market, it reframed the entire space sector as an investable theme — and capital began searching for the listed names attached to each piece of the opportunity. Among the threads that drew fresh attention was one of the most evocative: the return to the Moon. Get our free Orbital Economy Signal Brief for plain-English intelligence on the commercial-space sector, delivered as it moves. Key TakeawaysThe SpaceX IPO reframed space as a public-market theme, and reporting noted a broad rally across space stocks tied to lunar and Moon-base initiatives.Intuitive Machines (Nasdaq: LUNR) reported record Q1 2026 revenue of about US$186.7 million, nearly triple the prior year, with a backlog of about US$1.1 billion.Growth was driven by its US$800 million Lanteris Space Systems acquisition and NASA and U.S. Space Force contracts, including selection for the Andromeda IDIQ with a ceiling reported up to US$6.2 billion.Other listed names spanning lunar and space infrastructure include Voyager Technologies (NYSE: VOYG) and Boeing (NYSE: BA) — each distinct, and neither a proxy for the other.From One Mega-IPO to a Sector-Wide Re-RatingReporting around the period noted a rally across space stocks tied to NASA's lunar ambitions and Moon-base planning. SpaceX itself is central to that story — its Starship is integral to NASA's Artemis program — but the lunar economy is being built by a wider set of companies, several of them already public. The one that has moved most decisively into that role is Intuitive Machines.Intuitive Machines: A Lunar Pioneer Turning Into a Space PrimeIntuitive Machines (Nasdaq: LUNR), based in Houston, first drew headlines as a lunar-lander company — its Nova-C spacecraft became the first U.S. vehicle to soft-land on the Moon since Apollo. But its 2026 story is one of transformation from a single-mission lunar specialist into a vertically integrated, multi-domain space contractor. In the first quarter of 2026, the company reported record revenue of about US$186.7 million — nearly triple the prior-year period — alongside positive adjusted EBITDA of US$2.7 million and a contracted backlog of roughly US$1.1 billion.The leap was powered by its roughly US$800 million acquisition of Lanteris Space Systems, which broadened the company well beyond landers, plus a run of government awards. Management described a revenue mix split across commercial, civil, and national-security customers, and pointed to milestones including a NASA Commercial Lunar Payload Services task order for its IM-5 mission and selection for the U.S. Space Force's Andromeda IDIQ, a space-domain-awareness program with a ceiling reported as high as US$6.2 billion. The company reaffirmed full-year 2026 revenue guidance of US$900 million to US$1 billion.As ever, the counterweight matters. Intuitive Machines carries concentrated exposure to government contracts and their appropriations timing, integration risk from rapid acquisitions, and the simple reality that lunar missions are difficult — its earlier landing famously tipped on touchdown while still returning data. The backlog provides visibility; it does not eliminate execution risk.Why the Lunar Economy Is Suddenly an Investment CategoryThe deeper shift the SpaceX IPO helped surface is that "going to the Moon" has become a procurement program, not just an exploration goal. NASA's Artemis effort and its associated Moon-base planning are designed to be executed substantially through commercial contracts — landers, terrain vehicles, communications relays, and surface infrastructure bought from private companies. That converts a national ambition into a recurring revenue opportunity for the firms positioned to win the work, and it is why a lunar-services company's backlog and contract wins now read like those of any other government-exposed growth business. Intuitive Machines has leaned directly into that, expanding from landers into space-to-Earth data relay through planned acquisitions of ground-station assets, building toward the kind of integrated infrastructure the program will need for years. Tracking how this sector is being repriced in real time? Join the free Orbital Economy Signal Brief to follow the shifts as they happen.The Wider Lunar-and-Infrastructure FieldA couple of other listed companies frame the broader infrastructure landscape around the lunar and space-services theme — each distinct, and neither a proxy for the other. Voyager Technologies (NYSE: VOYG) is a space-and-defense technology company working across propulsion, precision systems, and space-infrastructure programs, and has been awarded a series of defense and space contracts as it builds out its platform. Boeing (NYSE: BA) anchors the large-cap, incumbent end: a diversified aerospace-and-defense prime with deep space heritage spanning human spaceflight, satellites, and major NASA programs. It is the steadier, established route into the same broad theme, with none of the pure-play torque — or the pure-play risk — of a smaller name. Together they show a lunar-and-space-infrastructure trade that runs from focused specialists to century-old primes, all drawn closer to the spotlight as SpaceX's listing re-rated the category — though each remains tied to its own contracts and execution.Another Name in the Space-Access FieldAmong the smaller, specialized names in the field is Starfighters Space, Inc. (NYSE American: FJET), referenced here purely for context and not as a recommendation. Over recent months the company has announced a series of partnership and development steps, including engaging Integrated Launch Solutions (ILS) to support mission design and range integration for its STARLAUNCH pathway, joining the NSF-proposed C-STARS research consortium at the University of Florida, and expanding a partnership with Mu-g Technologies on microgravity research. The company has said it is targeting a STARLAUNCH II space-demonstration flight over a roughly 18-to-24-month window, subject to regulatory approvals and execution. These are the company's own publicly stated plans.The Bottom LineSpaceX's arrival on the public market turned the space economy into a theme investors feel they must understand — and the road back to the Moon is one of its most tangible pieces. Intuitive Machines has positioned itself as a leading public name in that build-out, with record revenue, a billion-dollar-plus backlog, and a deliberate pivot from lunar lander to multi-domain space prime. The opportunity is real and contract-backed; so are the risks of government timing and acquisition integration. For investors drawn to the lunar story the SpaceX IPO helped illuminate, the names are now public and the milestones are now scheduled — with the data, as always, still to be delivered. To keep a closer eye on the launch, satellite, lunar, and space-data economy as it develops, sign up for the free Orbital Economy Signal Brief.SIGNAL OVER NOISESignal over noise. Space, lunar, and defense headlines move fast — and the crowd often moves first. Eagle Eye is a real-time investor signal-intelligence platform that surfaces sentiment shifts, news flow, and trending tickers as they happen, so you see the move forming instead of reading about it later. See it at eagle-eye.dev.CONTACTAmerican News Group
info@americannewsgroup.comSOURCES[1] Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX), Form S-1 registration statement (proposed Nasdaq symbol SPCX), May–June 2026, sec.gov; contemporaneous reporting on space-sector reaction.
[2] Intuitive Machines, Inc. (Nasdaq: LUNR), Q1 2026 financial results (record revenue, US$1.1B backlog, Lanteris, Andromeda IDIQ, IM-5), May 2026.
[3] Voyager Technologies, Inc. (NYSE: VOYG), corporate and contract disclosures, 2026.
[4] The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA), corporate and space-program disclosures, 2026.
[5] Starfighters Space, Inc. (NYSE American: FJET), company press releases (Integrated Launch Solutions engagement; C-STARS; Mu-g partnership; STARLAUNCH II demonstration timeline), 2026.DISCLAIMERIMPORTANT — PLEASE READ: This article is editorial commentary and was NOT paid for, requested, commissioned, reviewed, or approved by any of the companies named in it, nor by Creative Direct Marketing Group ("CDMG"). No company mentioned in this article paid for or had any involvement in its preparation or publication. The disclosures that follow are provided in the interest of full transparency regarding our broader business relationships, even though they do not apply to this specific article.Nothing in this publication should be considered as personalized financial advice. We are not licensed under securities laws to address your particular financial situation. No communication by our employees to you should be deemed as personalized financial advice. Please consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decision. This publication is neither an offer nor a recommendation to buy or sell any security. We hold no investment licenses and are thus neither licensed nor qualified to provide investment advice. The content in this report or email is not provided to any individual with a view toward their individual circumstances. American News Group is owned and operated by Market IQ Media Group Limited, a company incorporated under the laws of Ireland ("MIQL"). As part of its ongoing business, MIQL has been paid fees by CDMG for advertising and digital media for Starfighters Space, Inc. (NYSE American: FJET) in connection with separate, paid campaigns; those paid materials are distinct from this article, which is unpaid editorial. This relationship constitutes a potential conflict of interest as to our ability to remain objective in our commentary regarding Starfighters Space, Inc., and readers are strongly encouraged not to use this publication as the basis for any investment decision. MIQL and its owner/operators do not own shares of Starfighters Space, Inc. or of any other company named in this article in connection with this piece, but reserve the right to buy and sell securities of any company mentioned at any time without further notice. While all information is believed to be reliable, it is not guaranteed by us to be accurate. Individuals should assume that all information contained in our publication is not trustworthy unless verified by their own independent research. Always consult a licensed investment professional before making any investment decision. Be extremely careful, investing in securities carries a high degree of risk; you may likely lose some or all of the investment.FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS: This publication contains forward-looking statements concerning the companies referenced and the commercial-space sector, including statements regarding the proposed initial public offering of Space Exploration Technologies Corp. ("SpaceX") and its reported terms, which are based on third-party reporting and SpaceX's own filings and remain subject to change until and unless finalized; product development, launch and mission timelines; contract awards and backlog; and broader market conditions. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future results and are subject to risks and uncertainties — including execution, regulatory, financing, competitive and macroeconomic risks — that could cause actual results to differ materially, as detailed in each referenced company's filings with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission at www.sec.gov. References to SpaceX are for thematic and contextual purposes only; SpaceX is a separate company with no affiliation to the publisher, and nothing herein is an offer to buy or sell, or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell, securities of SpaceX or any other company. Figures attributed to named companies are drawn from those companies' public disclosures. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which speak only as of the date made; the publisher undertakes no obligation to update or revise them except as required by applicable law.  View original content to download multimedia:https://www.prnewswire.com/news-releases/the-spacex-ipo-lifted-the-whole-space-economy--including-the-public-companies-building-the-road-back-to-the-moon-302812547.html Original: The SpaceX IPO Lifted the Whole Space Economy -- Including the Public Companies Building the Road Back to the Moon

On Monday, if the Nasdaq falls 1% or more, the SPCX will already close the day below $150.

The $150 value is a value like any other.

But what price did the insiders pay for the shares they own?

Are they now going to sell them on the open market like the others who paid $135 per share?

Why would anyone be willing to pay $135 in the IPO if the insiders paid less?

Why would anyone even buy shares at the current price of $153??????

If you look at the trading chart for the 1st day? You will see
that approx 62 Million shares went off in the first minute of trading.
And after that, $150 seem to be a 'limit' buy point as every time it
dropped, at $150, someone bought (maybe to prop it up??)

Hard to tell tho how many went off at less than $150.. So its not
surprising at the moment, as I have mentioned, it appears $150 is
a price point they don't want to see breached for very long.

And as far how many the insiders own??

IF my numbers are correct, only 4% of the shares have been released into
the market (out of 13 some Billion). One could say the rest are owned by
the 'insiders'.
Now a better question will be, what % of the 96% or so shares they hold now,
with likely some very nice gains on them. Will they continue to hold after their
lock up for them expires.

All I know is, there is going to be the potential for a lot of shares to be sold into the
market in the next several months.
WIth the question being, will the market absorb these shares and be able to hold the
price line in the process, or will the shares sold overwhelm the buyers and result in a
drop n the share price.

Note, I can see them for as long as they can, working to keep the share price high in order
to keep those with shares 'happy' when it comes their trun to sell.

Disclaimer: got out of my PUTs yesterday in the afternoon. Reason, its looking like $150
is going to be fought for, and the time decay is going to accelerate as the July 17 expiration
day approaches. So going to shift into Aug options, but only after it gives me some better guidance
that its ready to move one way or the other. Cause the chart is hinting that the $150 line could be
held. Good luck

so I pasted those questions in to my browser abr and pressed AI Mode:

Exactly 100% of the shares offered in the initial public offering (IPO) were sold at the set price of $135 per share. [1, 2, 3]
However, because the company only offered a tiny fraction of its total value to the public, those IPO shares represent just 4.2% to 4.3% of the total outstanding shares in the company. Individual insiders and pre-IPO shareholders currently retain a massive 46.5% to 95.8% ownership stake depending on how closely you define insider groups versus early private investors. [4, 5, 6]
## Allocation and Ownership Breakdown

*
* The IPO Shares (4.2% - 4.3%): SpaceX issued 555,555,555 Class A shares to raise roughly $75 billion. All of these specific shares were allocated to institutional and retail buyers at the $135 floor price before public trading officially opened on June 12, 2026. [2, 7, 8, 9]
* Individual Insiders (46.5% - 49%): Core individual insiders retain an estimated 46.5% of the company. Elon Musk alone holds roughly 46.1% to 49% of the total economic equity. [4, 10]
* Voting Power Control: While insiders hold less than half of the total economic shares, structural class differences (where Musk's Class B shares carry 10 votes each) grant Elon Musk 82.4% of the total voting power post-IPO. [6, 7]
* The Remaining Shares (Locked Up): Combined, traditional insiders and early private institutional backers own roughly 95.8% of the total shares. These shares are currently restricted under a standard post-IPO lockup period and cannot be traded on the open market yet. [5]
*

If you are tracking the stock's recent price movements, would you like to look at the lockup expiration schedule or see how the Class A vs Class B voting structure impacts the board's decision-making?

[1] [https://www.cnbc.com](https://www.cnbc.com/2026/06/12/small-investors-scrambled-to-get-in-on-the-spacex-ipo-even-as-some-believe-the-valuation-is-stupid.html)
[2] [https://www.marketbeat.com](https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/SPCX/)
[3] [https://finance.yahoo.com](https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/spacex-goes-public-135-share-080500538.html)
[4] [https://simplywall.st](https://simplywall.st/stocks/us/telecom/nasdaq-spcx/space-exploration-technologies/ownership)
[5] [https://www.theglobeandmail.com](https://www.theglobeandmail.com/investing/markets/stocks/MSFT/pressreleases/3009545/from-135-to-154-tracking-spacexs-stock-volatility-in-its-first-weeks-as-a-public-company/)
[6] [https://spacexchart.com](https://spacexchart.com/ownership)
[7] [https://www.linkedin.com](https://www.linkedin.com/posts/investorie-roy-and-paul-services-b73b622a9_spacexs-set-ipo-price-of-135-means-investors-activity-7471072728893235201-FEuS)
[8] [https://www.fool.com](https://www.fool.com/investing/2026/06/23/spacex-lockup-expiration-will-insider-selling-sink/)
[9] [https://www.fastcompany.com](https://www.fastcompany.com/91563529/spacex-stock-price-drop-gains-retail-traders-wiped-out)
[10] [https://www.indmoney.com](https://www.indmoney.com/blog/us-stocks/twitter-xai-spacex-ipo-elon-musk-exit-strategy-spcx-stock)


The SpaceX (SPCX) lockup expiration schedule does not use a single "cliff" date; instead, it features a staggered early-release structure designed to gradually introduce insider shares to the market. [1, 2]
While employees and early backers can sell a percentage of their holdings in rolling tranches starting this summer, [Elon Musk](https://www.google.com/search?q=elon+musk&kgmid=/m/03nzf1#sv=CBwS1wMKpQMSogMK4gJBSmlUNHRMVndJdzFYZ20yQktjUEEzZHpZSU9QaWhLVzRsOGdYbExuRmFQWjROOXNWcWczWmlySUM0bzNpRjhPcHhsSGE5clZXSk1fOXFJRkNEZHRkSWNRSEU0bDk5TGJNbFM5SVpTRnVpOWp0c0J2cVNZMXA2SFBBQ3ZHOEtKWXV1UWtEQXVIUjFiVlM1T25fNEZGdEQ3QjBtR2NGTndqNGE5WTdyS1lJczFhUkZORHZvY21LaUZ4U3pQdHFKclNIWUdGZm8wSFR5MzZiMV9BRUZreHJpMG1pOXNTNnAtVmtQR3M3MHdXb3BITG9kSUtoV3h4Snh0UFdDdXdOS2pqQ2h1R1M4TzEwUU9JTlE1Um5TQUN2MkZ1eUNmc1dOWHNiRDFha3Z5LWJwc2pndUVQS1dkNXZhVFB0RzAzakEyMGo1QzBhNV81MUg2R0NWWGdjbGZaVjZiSm1XeGRXZkJDaFESF2llY19hdG1vSWRDcDVOb1ByWmVxa1FzGiJBRHNyOWZSczJObmhjZXdKaFlRSXZESHEyY1J0VGFGdlpBEgQ3ODU0GgEzIg4KAXESCWVsb24gbXVzayISCgVrZ21pZBIJL20vMDNuemYxKAAYRSDRseyWDA) and major core block holders are locked out from selling until June 2027. [3, 4]
## Staggered Insider & Employee Unlock Timeline
The first year post-IPO follows a strict calendar countdown tied to company earnings and trading days:

| Target Date / Trigger | Milestone Structure | Portion of Eligible Insider Float Unlocked |
|---|---|---|
| Late July / Early August 2026 (2 trading days post-Q2 Earnings) | Q2 Earnings Release Base early-incentive unlock for employees and pre-IPO backers. | 20% |
| Price Condition Trigger (Can combine with Q2 unlock) | Performance Bonus Unlocks only if SPCX closes at or above $175.50 (+30% from IPO) for 5 out of 10 consecutive trading days. | +10% (Conditional) |
| August 21, 2026 (70 days post-IPO) | Time-Based Tranche 1 Staggered release to minimize market impact. | 7% |
| September 10, 2026 (90 days post-IPO) | Time-Based Tranche 2 Automated employee option release. | 7% |
| September 25, 2026 (105 days post-IPO) | Time-Based Tranche 3 Automated employee option release. | 7% |
| October 10, 2026 (120 days post-IPO) | Time-Based Tranche 4 Automated employee option release. | 7% |
| October 25, 2026 (135 days post-IPO) | Time-Based Tranche 5 Final partial employee option release. | 7% |
| Early November 2026 (2 trading days post-Q3 Earnings) | Q3 Earnings Release Secondary seasonal performance window. | 28% |
| December 8 / 9, 2026 (180 days post-IPO) | Standard Lockup Expiry The standard 180-day regulatory boundary clears out all remaining employee/early Class A limits. | 100% of Early Release Pool |

## The "Founder's Lockup" (Elon Musk)

*
* June 13, 2027 (366 days post-IPO): Elon Musk's personal holdings—which encompass his massive Class B multi-vote shares totaling roughly 42% to 46.1% of the overall company value—are under a separate, absolute one-year founder restriction. [3, 4, 5]
* The Impact: He is legally barred from executing public market distributions or personal equity sales of his core stake until this calendar year concludes. [3]
*

If you are tracking how these supply waves could impact volatility, would you like to explore how historical tech mega-caps handled staggered unlocks, or review the exact price action targets that could alter this timeline?

[1] [https://x.com](https://x.com/SawyerMerritt/status/2057225920641962251)
[2] [https://darrowwealthmanagement.com](https://darrowwealthmanagement.com/blog/spacex-ipo-employee-lockup-release-dates/)
[3] [https://www.investing.com](https://www.investing.com/analysis/spacex-lockup-countdown-when-shares-may-become-safer-to-buy-200682574)
[4] [https://tokenomist.ai](https://tokenomist.ai/stock/spcx)
[5] [https://www.reddit.com](https://www.reddit.com/r/dataisbeautiful/comments/1u94vxg/oc_spacex_share_unlock_timeline_20262027/)

Can you help me?

Do you know what percentage of the total shares were bought at $135 in the IPO?
I want to know what percentage of the shares were bought at $135 in the IPO.

And I also want to know what percentage the insiders currently own.

Yer you got that right !!!! Standing buy to jump in at $120 for another ride !

Yes not for a couple of weeks until it settles.

Interesting company added !

TIMBERRRRRRR !

To me it feels like SPCX wants to go higher.

Still over $2 TRILLION market cap ..:: $153.23/share

Could SPCX just acquire Rocketlab (RKLB)?
The latter just won 3 more @NASA science mission launches and they are currently churning out 1 rocket every 11 days.
Nothing like the heavy lifters SPCX does, but RKLB also has the medium lift Neutron rocket coming out and even builds some spacecraft (Photon spacecraft) / satellites themselves.

In the next few days, the price will probably close below $150

What percentage of the total SPCX shares do insiders own?

Approximately what price did insiders pay for these shares?

Why will they sell them once they are unlocked?

as long as they hold the share price up? Those already in
the RED will hold on, hoping its as low as it goes.

Why I suspect $150 is the line that someone(s) have decided
has to be held..

And if they can? They can hold off a surge in selling..

When will the SHORT quantity be released?

If it's a high value, does that mean the trend is downward?

At the moment it is, question is WHY?

AKA, =end of the qtr window dressing by big boys?
=mandatory adding to index related funds?
-wall street decided they will defend the $150
initial buying price to hold off a wave of selling??

Few more days till the end of the 2nd qtr.

See what happens once July rolls around.

Volume pretty steady, wonder how many are selling what
they paid a pretty penny for on the way up to $225??

Share price stabilizing around $152 - $155s.

SPACEX BUYERS ARE ABOUT TO GET WIPED OUT
Right now, buyers are trading on only 4% of total supply.
The other 96% is sitting behind a lockup agreement.
That changes on August 6.
Q2 earnings drop.
20% of insider shares unlock instantly.
Then every 2 weeks after that, another chunk hits the market.
By September, insiders can dump 44% of all shares.
The float goes from 4% to nearly 10x almost overnight.
Think about what that means:
For every 1 share trading today, 10 more are about to show up.
Facebook did this in 2012.
IPO at $38.
Lockups expired.
Supply showed up.
Buyers ran out.
Six months later, it was trading at $18.
Not because Facebook was dead.
Because the market got flooded with shares.
$SPCX
is the same movie.
Just on a much bigger screen.

NASDAQ 100 imminent?

And bought after first confirming a bottom was 'in' and it could
justify a higher market cap (vs priced to premium/overvalued at the
time)

Course in todays thing called a market? Valuation is what they can
convince folks it 'chould/should' be vs what can be justified.

Isn't it. Which is whats creating some very lofty peaks..

Good luck

Make money by selling stock at the peaks, like TSLA and AMC

Short report


going to look ugly ...imho

Eli coming ... soon

Sure looked like it was going to crack on the open

But immediately 'rescued' to hold the $150 line..

But clearly some pressure to the downside..

Got to be a lot of folks wondering....WHY this isn't going the way
they expected.

Especially those that paid $175+...Especially those that are
starting to realize the ending of the lock ups are still to come..

Consider Raising Cash While Markets Remain ResilientJune 26, 2026 7:00 AM
IH Market News If the U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding remains intact and the Strait of Hormuz reopens as planned, risk assets such as equities, industrial metals and gold may continue to benefit from positive momentum over the coming weeks. In that environment, investors may want to consider using market strength as an opportunity to gradually increase cash holdings and reduce overall portfolio risk. While this approach could result in some missed upside if markets continue to advance, it would also provide greater protection against a potential correction and leave investors better positioned to take advantage of future buying opportunities. Selling into strength can often make it easier to redeploy capital when valuations become more attractive. Liquidity Conditions Remain a Key Concern The broader challenge facing financial markets is that liquidity appears to be weakening at a time when inflation remains high enough to limit the ability of central banks to aggressively ease monetary policy. Several major central banks are either maintaining restrictive policies or continuing to tighten financial conditions. At the same time, signals from both gold and cryptocurrency markets have been pointing to a gradual deterioration in global liquidity trends. Another factor drawing liquidity away from financial assets is the growing wave of large-scale capital spending and public offerings. Capital Is Moving From Financial Assets to Real-World Investment Large IPOs and infrastructure spending programmes effectively redirect capital away from financial markets and toward physical investment. One example is the SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) initial public offering, which transferred approximately $75 billion from investors to the company. Those funds are expected to be deployed into projects such as data centres, launch systems and other infrastructure. A similar dynamic is occurring across the technology sector as companies including Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL), Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META), Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) prioritise AI-related capital expenditures over share repurchases. As a result, money that might otherwise have supported financial asset prices is increasingly being directed toward real-economy investment. Markets May Already Reflect an Optimistic Middle East Outcome Another consideration is that investors may have largely priced in a favourable outcome regarding tensions in the Middle East. If that is the case, markets could be more vulnerable to negative surprises than positive ones, particularly if geopolitical developments fail to progress as expected. Long-Term Commodity Outlook Remains Positive While caution may be warranted in the near term, the outlook for industrial commodities over the next one to two years remains constructive. An often-overlooked aspect of the U.S.-Iran agreement is the potential creation of a privately funded $300 billion development programme aimed at rebuilding Iran and accelerating its integration into the global economy. If implemented, the initiative could generate substantial new demand for a wide range of industrial commodities. Although this part of the agreement has attracted criticism in some quarters, supporters argue that increased trade, investment and economic integration could help reduce the likelihood of future conflict by strengthening ties between Iran and the broader global economy. SpaceX stock price Microsoft stock price Alphabet stock price Meta stock price Oracle stock price Amazon stock price The post Consider Raising Cash While Markets Remain Resilient appeared first on US Editors. Original: Consider Raising Cash While Markets Remain Resilient

Its really fighting to hold onto $150.. isn't it..

Again, suspect if it drops below $150, it could trigger
some selling as that would put everyone(??) post the IPO in the red.

$153 is a gift here . Easy $175 next week for cutting edge American Company .

Pulled this off x.com Hard to call this guy 'wrong' isn't it
Only question is, whats the share price going to be before Aug 11th
arrives.

On August 11, the supply of SpaceX shares jumps from 5% to 25% in a single day.

That's 5 times more shares hitting the market overnight, from insiders who bought in years ago at a fraction of today's price.

This is what happened to Facebook in 2012.

After their lockup expired,… https://t.co/03zQfaDMpD pic.twitter.com/1GNb5N8VBH— Felix Prehn 🐶 (@felixprehn) June 25, 2026

On August 11, the supply of SpaceX shares jumps from 5% to 25% in a single day.

That's 5 times more shares hitting the market overnight, from insiders who bought in years ago at a fraction of today's price.

This is what happened to Facebook in 2012.

After their lockup expired, the stock fell about 50% in just a few weeks. The business was growing fast at the time. The drop came purely from supply hitting the market faster than buyers could absorb.

Most people holding SpaceX have no plan for August 11.

Three steps to prepare for it now:

1. Print the unlock schedule and know every date new shares hit the market.
2. Check if SpaceX is more than 10% of your portfolio.
3. Decide your exit price now, before emotion kicks in.

“Its got the POTENTIAL to put pressure on the share price, with the
question being, how many will choose to hold on, hoping for more“

Well an LLC holding Gigafund interests (which would be Musk pre-IPO buddies) just sold $440 million worth of share equivalents for $105 a share.

They actually took a 30% haircut to market price to get around the lockup.

When they float only 5% of the stock in an IPO at 100X revenue it would be colossally stupid to not take advantage of being able to sell every share that unlocks in the tranche.

And that equates to 1200% increase in the float in six months.

Can it hold that valuation? I don’t think it will.

Time will tell. Never underestimate the markets ability to go against logic and good sense.

I have no idea what Musk is 'planning' to do. Only thing
I am aware of is whats being reported now. That Starlink
is a money maker, that the rest have the intentions to one day
do the same.
That some say, it MIGHT take until 2029-2030 before it can
even justify its IPO price.

IE< what you are paying now for a share, you hope to see
justified 3-4 years from now. Let alone anything above the
$135 IPO price

Course, to far too many in this thing that still claims to be a
stock market? The 'story/hype' easily overrides something
called the FUNDAMENTALS that used to be the way a share
price was assessed against.

PS: nice buying surge this afternoon.. Go figure (smile)

Can you tell me what the most important things are that Elon Musk intends to do in the future with SPCX?

Is he building any Gigafactories like Tesla?

Elon Musk says 1T revenues until 2030 can happen.
He has a big pipe dream?

Be nice if it could justify its current market cap in say
the next 5 years..

by real results vs 'projections' of what could be...

Making its 4th run at $150 today??

Can see wall street going, fire the money cannons.
Can see some in the retail sector yelling, buy
buy, buy, its a great deal now..

Cause ita almost at the price it started trading at the day it
went public. (mercy)

So how many times will the tension to break below $150
be repulsed?? Before...

But are you thinking of buying it again?

even 100 would be enough. I sold my 545 Monday. Glad I did

I would like to buy 500 shares and hold them for 10 years, but I only buy below $100

I want to do something similar to what Warren Buffett did

Can you imagine what SPCX will be like in 10 years?

Nope, the lockdowns end in waves. See below in RED for
the unlock schedule

Its got the POTENTIAL to put pressure on the share price, with the
question being, how many will choose to hold on, hoping for more
vs those saying, I want to lock in at least some of the gains I have.

Will also be interesting to see how its 'managed', and will wall street
continue to absorb the shares and stick them into retail accounts..IE, will
there be an effort to try and prop up the share price.

SpaceX is implementing a staggered lock-up schedule after its June 12, 2026 IPO, allowing insiders and employees to sell shares in multiple tranches over the first 180 days.
Key Dates and Structure
SpaceX’s IPO lock-up is not the standard 180-day cliff; instead, it uses a staggered release system tied to both time and performance milestones:

Initial Unlock: Up to 20% of eligible insider shares become tradable after SpaceX publishes its April–June quarterly earnings.
Performance-Based Unlock: An additional 10% may unlock if the stock trades 30% above the IPO price for 5 of 10 consecutive trading days.
Time-Based Tranches: Shares are released in five tranches at 70, 90, 105, 120, and 135 days post-IPO, each freeing approximately 7% of eligible shares.
Second Earnings Unlock: Around the July–September quarterly earnings, another 28% of shares become available.
Final Unlock: The remainder of shares is released at the end of the 180-day period.
Exclusions: Elon Musk is subject to the full 180-day restriction and is not included in the accelerated schedule
Yahoo
Yahoo
.

Yep, said it wasn't going to break $150 easily.

And as expected, the buy the 'dip' crowd has shown up to help
stave off the slide thru $150. See how much buying power
they have.

Again, may have to wait till after July 1st IF these buyers are
big boys with deep pockets needing shares before the end of the qtr.
Cause I doubt the retail sector has the fiscal horsepower to buy
shares in the volume taking place lately..

Surprised some on here are telling us they are now buying... hmmm

Doesn't the lockdown end in 8 December?

Yep, the battle to hold $150 is 'ON'

Thats all going to depend on how many with shares
unlocking decide to sell, whether or not the smart money
decides to wait patiently for the lockups to end. Cause I
don't see the retail sector being able to absorb the selling
pressure yet to come.

Although at some point, if the price gets too 'low', those with
shares to sell might decide to wait to see if it can rebound to
a higher price.

Don't think anyone can answer this question with any sense
of validity until the lows are reached.

Which is why it will likely pay to be really patient to just watch this play out
over into at least the Sept lock up ends

Has that feeling to it doesn't it.

and if it does? It could get interesting, but
its not going to go easily, without a fight.

Think the next catalyst for a more serious movement
will be the ending of this quarter..

Any chance to SPCX down to $60 ~ $50 level a share until end of the 2026?

Or is that a very unlikely scenario to happen?