TheHappyVulcan
2月前
Ok, all you satellite folks, on 4/30 the FCC is almost 100% going to upgrade some policies that relate directly to NGSO and GSO platforms and it's going to be a very, very good thing.
If you don't have your positions ready now, you've got about 3 weeks. I say Gsat and Bksy are going to be among the big winners. There are a number of others , so pick your favorites accordingly.
GLTA
THV
BottomBounce
2月前
Globalstar has surged on hype around satellite-to-device connectivity and its partnership with Apple, but the stock trades as if execution will be flawless, competition won’t intensify, and revenue growth will accelerate meaningfully. The reality is far more fragile. With customer concentration, limited spectrum monetization, high capital needs, and brutal competition from LEO giants, $GSAT carries meaningful downside risk if expectations cool.
1. Extreme Dependence on Apple Is a Structural Weakness
Globalstar’s biggest catalyst — and biggest risk — is its reliance on Apple for satellite SOS and future connectivity features. This creates:
customer concentration risk
pricing power imbalance
uncertainty around contract renewals
limited control over product rollout timelines
If Apple changes strategy, shifts to another provider, or builds its own LEO network, Globalstar’s revenue outlook collapses.
2. Revenue Growth Has Not Justified the Valuation
Despite the hype, GSAT’s revenue base remains:
small
slow-growing
heavily dependent on legacy services
The stock trades like a high-growth tech company, but the financials still look like a niche satellite operator. That disconnect is a classic bearish setup.
3. Competition From LEO Giants Is Brutal
Globalstar operates a mid-band satellite network that cannot match the performance of low-Earth-orbit (LEO) constellations. Competitors include:
Starlink (SpaceX)
Iridium
AST SpaceMobile
Lynk Global
These companies offer:
lower latency
higher throughput
broader coverage
faster innovation cycles
Globalstar risks being technologically outclassed.
4. Capital Expenditure Requirements Are Enormous
Satellite networks require:
expensive launches
constant maintenance
periodic fleet replacement
regulatory compliance
Globalstar’s balance sheet is not built for endless capex cycles. Any delay or cost overrun becomes a major financial strain.
5. Spectrum Monetization Has Been Slow and Uncertain
GSAT owns valuable spectrum, but monetizing it has been:
slow
inconsistent
dependent on regulatory approvals
tied to a small number of potential partners
Investors often price GSAT as if spectrum monetization is guaranteed. It isn’t.
6. Profitability Remains Weak
Even with the Apple partnership, Globalstar struggles with:
thin margins
inconsistent cash flow
high debt service
limited operating leverage
A company with weak profitability shouldn’t trade at a premium multiple.
7. Overbought Technicals After a Massive Rally
The stock has surged — as shown in the live snapshot — but the rally is sentiment-driven, not fundamentally driven. When a low-profit, high-risk satellite company rallies this fast, it becomes vulnerable to sharp reversals.
Crowded trades unwind violently.
Bottom Line
Globalstar is a speculative satellite-communications play trading at a valuation that assumes flawless execution, sustained Apple dependence, and rapid growth in satellite-to-device connectivity. With customer concentration, weak profitability, heavy capex needs, and fierce competition from LEO giants, $GSAT carries meaningful downside risk if expectations reset.
BottomBounce
7月前
$GSAT Globalstar Inc. (GSAT) has undergone a reverse stock split on February 11, 2025, at a ratio of 1-for-15. In practical terms, shareholders received 1 new share for every 15 shares they previously owned.
Reverse splits like this are often used when a company’s stock price drops too low. By consolidating shares, the company can raise its share price—sometimes to meet exchange listing requirements or to present a stronger image to investors.
📊 GSAT Reverse Split Snapshot
Date: February 11, 2025
Split Ratio: 1-for-15
Drum-Roll Call
8月前
I am asking you please to rewrite your article and Due Diligence on Globalstar $GSAT and pay close attention to what just happened to EchoStar within the last month, and that Starlink & Space X paid them for the Spectrum they owned in a $17 Billion +/- deal. What is $GSAT worth overall with all of their Spectrum, SATCOM Infrastructure assets they own, Software, Subsidiaries, & Regulatory Filings completed.
I hope that Starlink or Amazon buys Globalstar because Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos and Andy Jassy would Pivot them ASAP to a Hardware + a Software Powerhouse!
Globalstar is NEXT IN LINE to get bought by a powerful Fortune 500 Company. Their CEO Paul Jacobs has the Wall Street & Silicon Valley connections to bring them to the Next Level. $GSAT needs new Board Members like Elon Musk or Jeff Bezos.
9Coastal
10月前
👠
I truly believe investors ..
and analysts alike
often forget "good news" ..
anything over a month or two old..
Again... this wasn't.... "just news'!
It was a fact. Not hype.
You can't get better than a fact.
An investor cannot ask for more than that 🥳
And just for yucks.. I inquired as a cross check on Google.. and asked:
DID... Apple pay Globalstar up to $1.1 billion to fund a new constellation and invest $400 million in a Globalstar LLC that will own the new constellation, for a 20% equity stake..?
Result:
(of course it's in the SEC filing anyway..)
Yes,
Apple is investing significantly in Globalstar to expand iPhone satellite services. According to (SEC) filings from Globalstar, Apple will pay Globalstar up to $1.1 billion to fund a new satellite constellation and invest $400 million in a Globalstar LLC (a special purpose entity that will own the new constellation) for a 20% equity stake.
Continued -
... a good reminder ➡️
Additionally,
The funding will be used by Globalstar to expand its network capacity, purchase new satellites, and expand its ground infrastructure, according to CNBC. Notably, Globalstar has committed to allocating 85% of its network capacity to Apple's services within the new constellation.
...do you notice it didn't say the funds will be used for "general purposes"..
Apple has doubled down on its partnership with Globalstar.
You Go Global !!!
9
StockLogistics
4年前
“It will require Globalstar to allocate 85% of its "current and future network capacity" to support the service,”
With projections of 300 million revenue by 2026 at 1.8 billion OS do the math, basically no current way to grow the company if 85% is allocated to Apple, and no phone call ability, just texts. Cool if it works but 300/1800 is not 10 dollars a share imo, 1.8 billion revenue at 300 million OS might get it there. GSAT should take out a huge billion dollar loan and use half of it to buy another company, then do a reverse split, then dilute the stock down to 1’again, take that money and buy another company to create two more revenue streams. Banks would likely provide major loans to them for acquisitions now that Apple basically backing them. Apple is keeping them afloat with the deal, more would be required to grow the SP imo, hence the mention of Goldman Sacs to raise funds for them.
StockLogistics
4年前
The fact that Globalstsr didn’t get paid billions up front to dedicate their satellites to Apple shows that Apple didn’t care about this tech, doesn’t respect it and could have waited or gone with another company easily, asking GSAT to raise money via Goldman is embarrassing for Apple, for a Trillion dollar company to ask that makes Apple look terrible, the GSAT Shareprice should have graduated to major stock having a deal with Apple, and yet it’s under 2 dollars, Apple is dealing with a penny stock for its Satellites, laughable, SP will decrease on fundraising news and on that rumor until it is completed imo.
StockLogistics
4年前
10 dollars a share x 1.8 billion OS is almost a 20 billion dollar company, nope, not at 230 mill revenue a year and new satellites not due till 2026, P/E ratio would have to be 100:1, shareholders got screwed over by the us deal because GSAT had stars in its eyes when talking to Apple’s negotiators who could have used anybody, Shame on Apple too. Should have been an upfront licensing payment of 10 billion to GSAT or no deal. Apple has the money, drop in the bucket their shareholders wouldn’t have cared they wanted the tech. Apple embarrassed itself leaving GSAT as a penny stock makes Apple look bad. Apple making GSAT raise funds ? What a joke. Trillion dollar Apple taking advantage of a small company, shareholders as of the date of the deal should sue Apple for 10 billion to be distributed to shareholders as of that record date. By the way, that is only an 5 to 13 per share dividend.