TIDMDTL

RNS Number : 5236F

Dexion Trading Limited

15 June 2012

Dexion Trading Limited ("the Company")

May Net Asset Value

The net asset value of the Company's Shares as of 31 May 2012 is as follows:-

GBP Shares

 
      NAV        MTD Performance   YTD Performance 
--------------  ----------------  ---------------- 
 133.46 pence        -0.76%            -0.31% 
--------------  ----------------  ---------------- 
 

In calculating the Company's Net Asset Value the Company's Administrator will rely solely upon the valuation of GBP denominated Permal Macro Holdings Limited ("PMH") Class A shares provided by PMH. The Investment Adviser and third party service providers to PMH, rely on estimates of the value of Underlying Funds in which PMH invests, which are provided, directly or indirectly, by the managers or administrators of those Underlying Funds and such valuations may not be considered 'independent' or may be subject to potential conflicts of interest. Such estimates may be produced as at valuation dates which do not coincide with valuation dates for PMH and may be unaudited or may be subject to little verification or other due diligence and may not comply with generally accepted accounting practices or other valuation principles. The Investment Adviser may not have sufficient information to confirm or review the completeness or accuracy of information provided by those managers or administrators. In addition, these entities may not provide estimates of the value of Underlying Funds in which PMH invests on a regular or timely basis or at all with the result that the values of such investments may be estimated by the Investment Adviser. Both weekly estimates and bi-monthly valuations may be based on valuations provided as of a significantly earlier date and hence the published valuation may differ materially from the actual value of PMH's portfolio. Other risk factors which may be relevant to this valuation are set out in the Company's prospectus dated 12th March 2008.

Monthly Portfolio Review

Investment Adviser Portfolio Outlook

Discretionary managers maintain their belief that the US will continue to outperform relative to the rest of the developed world. Those with a more constructive stance feel that the recovery is more self-sustaining than people expect, while those who are more cautious feel that much of the first quarter's strong performance has been a misrepresentation of trend-growth and was in fact driven by seasonal patterns, compounded by the favourable weather in the US. There is a high degree of pessimism regarding the European situation where Spain is starting to resemble Greece with problems in its banking sector, and a general lack of agreement between the Spaniards and the Germans, proves worrisome. With the Spanish economy being roughly five times the size of the Greek economy, should the Spanish situation deteriorate much further then we could be facing a very serious European crisis. While a long-term solution may be reached whereby Spanish banks are re-capitalised and some form of fiscal unification is approved, in the short term the situation remains dire and volatile. Within emerging markets, China is experiencing a dramatic slowdown; however, it has many policy tools which it will deploy if needed. While the US outperformance theme continues to dominate the majority of risk taking within the discretionary allocation, managers have been trading their books much more actively than earlier this year. Some of the more bullish managers have now become more defensive given the deteriorating outlook in Europe, with a number believing that strong US performance may start to fade in the second half of the year. A smaller subset of the discretionary managers remains bearish, but they are looking to participate in short-term rallies prompted by positive news, such as speculation surrounding further quantitative easing.

Market Overview

The European situation continued to deteriorate through much of May. Political events, notably the failure of Greek elections to produce a government, as well as the election of a socialist President in France, prompted concerns about the future of the euro. Towards the end of the month the focus turned to Spain's ailing banking sector with the Spanish government forced to step in to support Bankia and taking a 45% indirect stake. In the US, economic data weakened with job growth slowing more than expected and a downward revision to first quarter GDP figures. On a relative basis, however, the US continued to impress when compared with the rest of the developed world. Chinese data weakened with lower industrial production and retail sales.

Global equity prices fell sharply through the first half of the month, with concerns surrounding the eurozone encouraging investors to flee risk assets. Losses were marginally offset in the second half of the month on the back of positive US home sales figures and reports that China may take steps to boost its economy. Asian equities were among the hardest hit during the month, with the Nikkei 225 falling by more than 10% and Hang Seng dropping 12.6% amid weaker Chinese data. Optimism on the US recovery is expressed via long S&P futures and other sectors of the economy that stand to benefit from a strong US consumer; however, on a global basis, positioning is tactically short as further risk aversion is likely, given the ongoing situation in Europe.

Many government bond yields reached record lows as risk aversion dominated markets. US, German, and UK 10-year bond yields all ended lower due to Europe's mounting political uncertainty and the increased backlash against fiscal austerity. Peripheral European sovereign spreads continued to widen in May. The most pronounced widening was in Greek bonds, driven by the failure to form a government and the rise of the Syriza party with its anti-austerity plans. Although some managers continue to hold short exposure in US treasuries, believing in a continuation of the US recovery story, others have adopted long exposures due to the heightened global growth slowdown concerns. They are conveying their pessimism towards Europe via long positions in German government bonds. Emerging market focused managers continue to express the "lower for longer" theme through long exposure to Brazilian and Mexican government bonds.

The US dollar was significantly stronger against most developed market counterparts during the month, with the exception being the Japanese yen, which ended the month 1.9% higher. The threat of a Greek exit, growing issues in Spain, and a large drop in eurozone economic activity kept the euro under pressure throughout May, with the currency ultimately ending down 6.6% against the dollar. Emerging market currencies suffered amid the indiscriminate sell-off in risk assets, with the Mexican peso and New Zealand dollar facing some of the sharpest losses, declining 9.5% and 7.9% respectively against the US dollar. Most managers continue to exhibit a pro-US bias, with long positions in the US dollar, Canadian dollar and, to a lesser extent, Mexican peso. Their bias is to be short the euro given the disconcerting European situation and short the Australian dollar given the concerns surrounding Chinese slowdown concerns. On the back of improving fundamentals, emerging market focused managers hold long exposures to emerging market currencies, such as the Mexican peso, as well as non-Japan Asian currencies, including the Korean won and the Malaysian ringgit.

The natural resources sector experienced a significant downturn in May, with underlying commodity markets and commodity-related equities falling for a third consecutive month, capping the largest monthly slump since 2008. The energy sector declined sharply. Brent crude oil prices finished down 14.7%, the result of not only Europe's debt crisis and weaker global economic data but also record Saudi Arabian oil production (the highest level for at least 23 years) and news that Iran had agreed to let Western nuclear inspectors into the country, thus easing political concerns in the region. US natural gas prices saw significant advances during the first half of May on news of a smaller than forecast increase in US stockpiles, but fell later in the month due to cooler temperatures throughout the US, ending up 6% for the month. Industrial metal prices sold off significantly, while gold prices fell for a fourth month in a row. Precious metal related equities experienced a sharp fall with many producers reporting larger-than-expected increases in capital spending. Agricultural commodities also sold off heavily on the back of global growth concerns. Commodity exposure is relatively low and is expressed primarily through relative-value trades in the energy and agricultural sectors.

Strategy Overview

Discretionary: -1.30%. Although many managers have shifted to a defensive/risk-off stance over the past few months, several have maintained more pro-risk positions. Those who remained with the risk-on trade suffered in May from long equity positions in both developed and emerging markets, as well as long positions in emerging market currencies. These losses diluted gains from managers who were more bearish and had short positions in the euro and Australian dollar, as well as long fixed income in the US, Germany and some emerging markets, such as Brazil.

Systematic: +2.75%. After a difficult start to the month, the trend-followers performed particularly well in May, with gains primarily resulting from long exposure to US treasuries. These gains more than offset the losses from long positions in energy and equities. Non-trend following managers also performed well, with gains deriving from long positions in US and German bonds and short positions in the euro.

Natural Resources: -7.63%.The losses were widespread across various sectors, with the largest declines coming from long positions in gold equities and oil.

Relative Value Arbitrage: -1.66%.Losses in this sub-strategy came primarily from fundamental-focused managers, where long positions declined more than short ones.

 
                                              Number of 
                              Allocation      Managers as 
                              as of 31 May        of         Performance by 
 Strategy                          %            31 May         Strategy % 
--------------------------  --------------  -------------  ----------------- 
                                                              May      YTD 
--------------------------  --------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Discretionary(1)                 53              21         -1.30    +1.41 
--------------------------  --------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Natural Resources                 8              10         -7.63    -5.22 
--------------------------  --------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Relative Value Arbitrage          5              3          -1.66    -0.44 
--------------------------  --------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Systematic(1)                    29              12         +2.75    +0.77 
--------------------------  --------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Cash                              5              -            -        - 
--------------------------  --------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 Total                            100           45(1) 
--------------------------  --------------  -------------  --------  ------- 
 

(1) Discretionary and Systematic have one manager in common.

Strategy returns are in US$, net of underlying manager fees only, and not inclusive of either Dexion Trading's or PMH's fees and expenses.

Supplementary Information

Click on, or paste the following link into your web browser, to view a full review of the Dexion Trading Limited portfolio.

http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/5236F_-2012-6-15.pdf

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

NAVMMGMVVKMGZZM

Dexion Trading (LSE:DTL)
過去 株価チャート
から 6 2024 まで 7 2024 Dexion Tradingのチャートをもっと見るにはこちらをクリック
Dexion Trading (LSE:DTL)
過去 株価チャート
から 7 2023 まで 7 2024 Dexion Tradingのチャートをもっと見るにはこちらをクリック