Prior to publication, the
information contained within this announcement was deemed by the
Company to constitute inside information as stipulated under the UK
Market Abuse Regulation. With the publication of this announcement,
this information is now considered to be in the public
domain.
Deltic
Energy Plc / Index: AIM / Epic: DELT / Sector: Natural
Resources
30 April 2024
Deltic
Energy Plc ("Deltic" or "the Company")
Pensacola
Update
Deltic Energy Plc, the AIM-quoted
natural resources investing company with a portfolio of operated
and non-operated exploration and appraisal assets in the UK North
Sea, provides the following update in relation to its Pensacola
Discovery on Licence P2252 in the Southern North Sea in which
Deltic holds a 30% interest.
Well Planning and Timing
Following commitment to the
appraisal well in December 2023, operational planning for the
Pensacola appraisal well has continued to progress according to
plan.
In anticipation of drilling the
Pensacola appraisal well, long lead items have been ordered, the
geophysical site survey over the proposed well location has been
completed and the final geotechnical site survey is scheduled to
take place in May/June 2024.
The rig contract was entered into in
February which secured the Valaris 123 heavy duty jack-up drilling
unit to drill both the Selene exploration well and Pensacola
appraisal well, with the Pensacola well due to be drilled
immediately following completion of Selene operations.
The rig is currently operating in
the Central North Sea following which it will move to Selene.
Subject to the timing of the completion of Selene, the Pensacola
well remains on track to be drilled in Q4 2024.
Farm-out Process
The feedback from Deltic's Pensacola
farm-out process has indicated that the continual tinkering with
the Energy Profits Levy and resultant fiscal uncertainty created by
the current government, along with recent rhetoric emanating from
the Labour Party, have had a severely negative effect on the
ability of UK Exploration and Production (E&P) companies to
commit to long term investments in the North Sea. This has
resulted in many operators diverting capital away from the UKCS or
delaying investment decisions, especially with respect to new
large-scale opportunities like Pensacola.
Against this hostile political
environment, and despite the Company's best efforts, Deltic have
not yet been able to secure a farm-out partner for Pensacola and
although there are a number of live discussions with respect to a
way forward on Pensacola, there is a risk that a farm-out may not
be secured before the end of May 2024. We remain of the view that
Pensacola represents an excellent value-driven opportunity for the
right partner and would be willing to engage with any additional
potential partners.
Equity Capital Markets
The recent difficult state of UK
equity markets, especially for smaller companies, has been well
publicised. This, coupled with the impact of the political and
fiscal regime on UK E&P company valuations and investor
sentiment means that the Board believes that accessing traditional
equity capital, as the Company has successfully done in the past,
is unlikely to be a viable option to allow Deltic to meet its 30%
share of the Pensacola well (currently estimated to be roughly
GBP£15 million net to Deltic).
Alongside its ongoing farm out
process, Deltic will continue to consider alternative sources of
capital and non-traditional funding structures to mitigate costs
and/or secure its equity position in the Pensacola well.
However, there is no guarantee that such capital will be available
or available on acceptable terms. It is particularly frustrating
for the Company as a recently commissioned Competent Person's
Report by RPS Energy assessed Pensacola as having a 2C NPV10 of
approximately USD$200 million net to Deltic, representing a
multiple of the Company's current market capitalisation.
Potential for Licence Withdrawal
If an industry and/or funding
solution is not in place by the end of May 2024, being the
point at which Deltic will be required to demonstrate its
capacity to fund its share of costs, Deltic will be required to
take steps to ensure the Company is not exposed to further
expenditure on the Pensacola well if there is no reasonable
expectation that the Company will be able to meet those additional
liabilities which will be incurred going forward.
In such circumstances, Deltic will
be required to withdraw from the Pensacola licence and transfer its
interest in Pensacola to the Joint Venture partners.
Graham Swindells, Chief Executive of Deltic Energy, commented:
"The struggle to find a way forward on a project like
Pensacola, which is one of the largest discoveries in the North Sea
in recent decades, is a real-world consequence of our political
leadership using the nationally important oil and gas industry as a
political football at a time when energy security is of paramount
importance.
Given the impact of fiscal and political uncertainty on
investment decisions we have seen a shift away from investment in
larger standalone projects, like Pensacola, towards more
affordable, lower risk opportunities which defer decommissioning or
increase infrastructure life such as Selene, and the Company's
Syros prospect in the Central North Sea, where we have seen an
enhanced level of interest.
We
look forward to the start of drilling operations on the high impact
Selene exploration well, in which Deltic is fully carried for the
estimated cost of the success case well, which remains due to spud
in July 2024. In the meantime, we will continue to pursue all
avenues to progress Pensacola and will update the market in due
course."
**ENDS**
For further information please
contact the following:
Deltic Energy Plc
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7887
2630
|
Graham Swindells / Andrew Nunn /
Sarah
McLeod
|
|
Allenby Capital Limited (Nominated
Adviser)
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20 3328 5656
|
David Hart / Alex Brearley
(Corporate Finance)
|
|
Stifel Nicolaus Europe Limited (Joint
Broker)
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7710 7600
|
Callum Stewart / Simon Mensley /
Ashton Clanfield
|
|
Canaccord Genuity Limited (Joint Broker)
Adam James / Ana
Ercegovic
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7523 8000
|
Vigo Consulting (IR
Adviser)
|
Tel: +44 (0) 20 7390 0230
|
Patrick d'Ancona / Finlay Thomson /
Kendall Hill
|
|
About Pensacola
·
Licence P2252 - 2nd Term extended until
September 2028
·
Shell (65% & Operator), Deltic (30%) and
One-Dyas (5%)
·
Hydrocarbons discovered in Zechstein aged, oolitic
Hauptdolomite
·
RPS Energy Competent Person's Report confirms P50
hydrocarbons in-place of 326 MMboe (P90-P10 Range of 127.5 to 638.5
MMboe) following discovery well in January 2023
·
RPS assessed two unoptimised development scenarios
and estimated a 2C Post Tax NPV10 of USD$205M net to Deltic
(combined oil and gas development) and USD$199M net to Deltic (gas
only development)
·
These net 2C NPV10 project valuations equate to
approximately 169p - 174p per Deltic share
·
Recent well results from analogous structure
demonstrated commercial flow rates in excess of 25 MMscf/day from
same oolitic reservoir reservoir at Crosgan
·
Potential for Pensacola to form the basis of a new
production hub targeting what Deltic estimates is >2 TCF of
recoverable gas, both discovered and prospective resources across
multiple Zechstein prospects
Reporting Standard
Estimates of resources have been
prepared in accordance with the PRMS as the standard for
classification and reporting.
Competent Person's Review
Andrew Nunn, a Chartered Geologist
and Chief Operating Officer of Deltic, is a "Qualified Person" in
accordance with the Guidance Note for Mining, Oil and Gas
Companies, June 2009 as updated 21 July 2019, of the London Stock
Exchange. Andrew has reviewed and approved the information
contained within this announcement.
Glossary of Technical Terms
1C:
|
represents the low case estimates of
Contingent Resources as defined by PRMS
|
2C:
|
represents the best case estimates
of Contingent Resources as defined by PRMS
|
3C:
|
represents the high case estimates
of Contingent Resources as defined by PRMS
|
Contingent Resources:
|
those quantities of petroleum which
are estimated, on a given date, to be potentially recoverable from
known accumulations, but which are not currently considered to be
commercially recoverable, as defined by PMRS
|
MMboe or million barrels of oil
equivalent:
|
million barrels of oil equivalent.
Gas is converted at a conversion rate of 6,000 Scf per
boe
|
MMstb:
|
million stock tank
barrels
|
MMscf:
|
million standard cubic
feet
|
P90 resource:
|
reflects a volume estimate that,
assuming the accumulation is developed, there is a 90% probability
that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the
estimate. This is therefore a low estimate of
resource
|
P50 resource:
|
reflects a volume estimate that,
assuming the accumulation is developed, there is a 50% probability
that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the
estimate. This is therefore a median or best case estimate of
resource
|
P10 resource:
|
reflects a volume estimate that,
assuming the accumulation is developed, there is a 10% probability
that the quantities actually recovered will equal or exceed the
estimate. This is therefore a high estimate of
resource
|
PRMS:
|
the June 2018 Society of Petroleum
Engineers ("SPE") Petroleum Resources Management System
|
Prospective Resources:
|
are estimated volumes associated
with undiscovered accumulations. These represent quantities
of petroleum which are estimated, as of a given date, to be
potentially recoverable from oil and gas deposits identified on the
basis of indirect evidence but which have not yet been
drilled
|
Scf:
|
standard cubic feet
|
Stb:
|
stock tank barrel
|
STOIIP:
|
stock tank oil initially in
place
|
TCF:
|
trillion standard cubic
feet
|