US Bitcoin Reserve Will Push Price Above $1 Million, Expert Predicts
2024年11月20日 - 9:30AM
NEWSBTC
In a series of exchanges on X, Adam Back, CEO of blockchain
technology firm Blockstream, projected that Bitcoin could surge
beyond $1 million if the United States were to establish a
Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR) under President-elect Donald Trump.
“If the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve happens, prepare for 7 figure
bitcoin. This cycle. The market is skeptical on meaningful follow
through for now, so that is not at all priced in,” Back stated. if
the US Strategic Bitcoin Reserve happens prepare for 7 figure
bitcoin. this cycle. the market is skeptical on meaningful follow
through for now, so that is not at all priced in. — Adam Back
(@adam3us) November 18, 2024 The bold prediction sparked
discussions among industry experts and enthusiasts. James Van
Straten, a noted crypto analyst, responded, “7 figures? I don’t
think I’m mentally prepared for 6.” Acknowledging the market’s
doubt, Back replied, “That’s a fairly big ‘if’ though. At least if
we infer from market price, the market thinks a US Strategic
Bitcoin Reserve is unlikely. If that becomes real, I’d expect a
rapid repricing.” Can Bitcoin Rise To $1 Million Per Coin? The
conversation highlights the market’s skepticism regarding the
feasibility of the US government accumulating such a significant
Bitcoin reserve. Van Straten, like other experts, suggested that a
nation might consider “front-running” this potential scenario, to
which Back noted, “There’s no good way to buy 1 million BTC other
than very, very quietly. Even then, once it leaks, the entire world
gets FOMO and a price teleport happens.” Related Reading: Is
$135,000 Bitcoin’s Current Ceiling? This Model Says So Portal, a
custodyless interoperability protocol for Bitcoin, weighed in on
the discussion via X: “If the US starts one, surely the rest of the
world will start to follow suit as well.” This sentiment
underscores the potential global ripple effect of a US-initiated
SBR on Bitcoin adoption and valuation. Skepticism was also voiced
by X user AndyLiteMan (@LiteAndy), who critiqued Back’s
astronomical prediction: “As much as that would be exciting, it’s
not going to happen. We hear this every cycle.” Back maintained his
position, emphasizing the conditional nature of his prediction: “I
said ‘if,’ and that market doesn’t believe it so far.” Adding
another layer to the unfolding narrative, Dennis Porter, CEO and
founder of the Satoshi Act Fund—a US nonprofit advocating for
Bitcoin adoption—claimed on November 18 that Donald Trump’s team is
considering an executive order to establish a national SBR, as
Bitcoinist reported. “I’ve heard that the Trump team is considering
an Executive Order for a National ‘Strategic Bitcoin Reserve’ in
order to beat any state from passing it into law first,” Porter
disclosed via X. “I can confirm that US Senate offices are backing
this plan up. Game on President Trump. The race is on.” Related
Reading: Bitcoin’s Market Is Still In An ‘Healthy Growth’ Phase,
Says Analyst—Here’s Why Porter, deeply involved in legislative
efforts surrounding Bitcoin adoption, noted that his information
stems from “private conversations with people familiar” with the
matter and his direct involvement in promoting SBR language across
the United States and internationally. Notably, it is crucial to
distinguish between the proposals being discussed. Porter’s
reference to Trump’s consideration pertains to an executive order
that would establish a national SBR. This contrasts with Trump’s
previous suggestion at the Bitcoin 2024 conference to create a
strategic Bitcoin reserve by retaining all “seized coins” obtained
through law enforcement actions. Furthermore, Republican Senator
Cynthia Lummis has introduced the Bitcoin Act, which proposes the
US government purchase 1 million BTC over five years, allocating
200,000 BTC per year. Addressing this legislative initiative, Back
commented on a Polymarket prediction market screenshot showing a
36% chance for “Will Trump create a national Bitcoin reserve?” He
clarified, “Optimistic IMO and depends on what they mean. ‘Not
selling seized coins’ is very different from Senator Lummis’ SBR
bill to buy 1 million BTC.” The latter could send the Bitcoin price
skyrocketing. Back highlighted the logistical challenges of such a
substantial acquisition: “There’s no good way to buy 1 million BTC
other than very, very quietly. Even then, once it leaks, the entire
world gets FOMO and a price teleport happens.” At press time, BTC
traded at $92,329. Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from
TradingView.com
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