ViaBTC Capital | After UST’s Fall, Can NEAR’s Stablecoin USN Avoid a Similar Death Spiral?
2022年6月13日 - 9:53PM
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Background In May 2022, UST and LUNA, which once recorded a total
market cap of over $40 billion, collapsed overnight, and plenty of
users suffered huge losses as a result. Following the crash,
algorithmic stablecoins have once again become a popular crypto
topic. USN, a stablecoin native to an emerging public chain named
NEAR, was launched almost at the same time as UST collapsed. The
fall of UST showed this nascent stablecoin how the death spiral of
an algorithmic stablecoin can engulf and destroy everything like a
terrifying black hole, and users also wonder whether USN could
avoid a similar ending in the future. About USN As the first
NEAR-native algorithmic stablecoin, USN is soft-pegged to the US
Dollar and backed by a Reserve Fund that contains collaterals such
as NEAR and USDT. USN is positioned to be an effective way to
bootstrap liquidity in the NEAR ecosystem while adding a new layer
to NEAR’s utility as a token. USN’s core stability mechanisms
consist of on-chain arbitrage and the Reserve Fund based on the
Currency Board principle. Decentral Bank
(https://decentral-bank.finance/), the DAO developing and
supporting USN, manages the smart contracts of $USN and its Reserve
Fund. The DAO can vote to stake the NEAR from the Reserve Fund and
distribute the staking rewards to the users of protocols that
integrate USN. USN’s issuance mechanism The initial supply of USN
is double-collateralized by NEAR and USDT via the Reserve Fund.
Decentral Bank issues the initial supply of USN through
over-collateralization of the initial collateral (NEAR) at a ratio
of 2:1. Subsequently, the new USN will be directly minted with NEAR
or other stablecoins at a 1:1 ratio. In other words, after initial
issuance, users can mint new USD with NEAR or other stablecoins at
a 1:1 ratio, and they can also directly convert NEAR into new USN
in the Sender wallet. However, unlike Terra’s UST minting
mechanism, NEAR used for such conversions is not directly burned
but will be channeled into Decentral Bank’s Reserve Fund.
Meanwhile, when USN is burned, an amount of NEAR that’s worth the
equivalent value will be added, which resembles UST’s burning
mechanism. Pegging mechanism USN’s 1:1 peg to the US Dollar is
secured through on-chain arbitrage and the Reserve Fund. USN
maintains its peg through a smart contract which allows for the
exchange of NEAR for USN with 0 slippage and minimal commissions.
As soon as USN loses its peg, arbitrageurs will exploit the price
difference between NEARUSN and NEARUSD until USN returns to its
peg. At its launch, a part of the USN supply will be deposited into
Ref Finance’s StableSwap to improve the stablecoin’s liquidity
through liquidity mining incentives. Automation of Treasury
Management Automation of Treasury Management is a design unique to
USN. Every USN issued is backed by the corresponding collateral
that’s stored in the Reserve Fund. Decentral Bank, the manager of
the Reserve Fund, manages such collaterals through NEAR-based smart
contracts. These on-chain contracts automatically execute Treasury
Management strategies so that they could perform dynamically
configurable, real-time small-volume transactions to avoid any
severe imbalances in the Reserve Fund. According to USN’s
whitepaper, the primary Treasury Management strategies are as
follows: When the NEAR price rises to the point where the upward
trend slows down, Decentral Bank would sell NEAR to balance the
assets of the Fund. Conversely, it would buy NEAR when the price
drops to a point where the downward trend slows down. With this
design, Decentral Bank plans to sell NEAR to head off the bubbles
when the price becomes overheated and keep the market stable when
the users start to panic due to price drops. Comparison between USN
and other algorithmic stablecoins USN comes with its own unique
features and incorporates the features of some other algorithmic
stablecoins. The initial supply of USN is issued by the Reserve
Fund via the double over-collateralization of NEAR and USDT. This
is slightly different from the issuance mechanism of DAI, which is
minted by collateralizing an amount of ETH that’s worth twice the
value of the DAI to be minted. A controversial aspect of UST is
that the UST minted would be more valuable if the LUNA price soars.
Meanwhile, the LUNA supply would go down, which would drive up its
price, thereby creating an upward spiral. However, once LUNA goes
downhill, redeeming LUNA with UST would lead to a LUNA crash,
giving rise to a death spiral. Unlike the non-collateralized UST,
the NERA spent on minting USN is not directly burned or erased from
circulation but enters the USN Reserve Fund instead. The Reserve
Fund then stabilizes the market in advance through Automation of
Treasury Management to avoid any excessive price impacts that the
USN supply may have on NEAR. Apart from NEAR, USN is also partially
backed by USDT. UST, on the other hand, is backed by Luna
Foundation Guard, which holds reserve assets such as Bitcoin and
AVAX that are highly correlated with LUNA. As such, when the market
declined, Luna Foundation Guard failed to help UST maintain its
peg. From the perspective of collateral, USN is, to a certain
extent, more like FRAX, a fractionally-collateralized stablecoin.
Could USN avoid the death spiral? As of May 31, the USN supply is
worth $108 million, while NEAR features a $4.3 billion circulating
market cap, a $6.1 billion FDV, and a $607 million 24H trading
volume. Compared with NEAR’s market cap and trading volume, the
risk facing USN is still manageable. In addition, when USN is
issued, the Reserve Fund, based on the Currency Board principle,
will receive a corresponding amount of NEAR or other stablecoins.
It automatically balances to maintain a backing of $USN at a rate
greater than 100% at all times. Therefore, under normal
circumstances, a serious USN de-peg is unlikely to happen. However,
as the USN supply expands, users can only mint USN with NERA, which
means that the Reserve Fund may not necessarily have the equivalent
amount of stablecoins. If the Reserve Fund failed to swiftly
respond to a huge price drop of NEAR under extreme circumstances,
then USN could lose its peg, and plenty of holders might find it
hard to redeem their USN: converting USN into the equivalent value
of collaterals. As such, to get prepared for the impact of extreme
circumstances, USN must increase the income of the Reserve Fund via
such methods as minting fees, Automation of Treasury Management,
and NEAR staking revenue. Meanwhile, the supply of USN should be
capped to avoid the generation of excessive bubbles when the market
overheats, bubbles that would be an unbearable burden if the market
turns bearish. Conclusion No algorithmic stablecoin is perfect, and
USN also has its pros and cons. Fortunately, NEAR’s USN witnessed
the historic Terra/UST meltdown during its infancy, which gave a
strong warning to the developers and users of USN. In terms of such
factors as the current supply and collateral reserve, USN is
unlikely to run into a death spiral. However, as stablecoin becomes
more widely adopted, the supply will expand, and the risk of a
death spiral will increase. By then, USN will face more challenges.
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