Analysts Unfazed By Bitcoin (BTC) Drop, But Should We Fear October 5?
2024年10月3日 - 1:00PM
NEWSBTC
Despite the green September close, Bitcoin (BTC) and the rest of
the market faced another bloodbath as October started. The flagship
crypto saw a 7% decline, fueling a bearish sentiment among
investors. However, most analysts remain optimistic about BTC’s
performance in the next three months. Related Reading: Bonk ‘In
Prime Position For Turbo Green Week’ As Price Recovers Key Level Is
This The ‘Shakeout Before Breakout’? The market began the month of
October, popularly known as “Uptober” by the crypto community, with
the first shakeout of the quarter, losing 6.5% of its market
capitalization. Most cryptocurrencies in the top 100 saw a
considerable price drop, registering green numbers in the daily and
weekly timeframes. The bleeding was led by Bitcoin, the largest
cryptocurrency by market cap, as its price nosedived below the
$61,000 support zone, a range not seen in nearly two weeks.
Geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East seemingly fueled the
downturn, as the drop followed the news of an Iranian missile
strike on Israel. The news spiked an investors’ selloff, which
ended the BTC spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) 8-day inflow streak
and triggered the liquidation of over $526 million in leveraged
positions in the last 24 hours. Nonetheless, many industry watchers
remain unfazed by the market shakeout, noting that the month has
just started. In a series of X posts, crypto analyst Jelle pointed
out that Bitcoin started its second leg higher during October in
the past bull years. He explained that BTC’s price historically
breaks out in the second or third week of the month, so the first
week retrace could be the “final shakeout before new highs.”
Moreover, he highlighted that the flagship crypto recently made the
first higher high in 6 months and reclaimed the key resistance
level above $60,000. Jelle also noted that BTC made a higher low on
October 1, holding the $60,000 support zone and retesting its
strength above the $61,000 mark. The analyst considers that “It’s
time for this descending broadening wedge to start playing out,”
reasserting his previous target of $90,000. Analyst Warns About
Bitcoin ‘Fifth-Day Plunge’ Other analysts also shared their views
on the market shakeout. Altcoin Sherpa highlighted that “the last
time we saw this much compression with 1d EMAs was September 2023,
right before the market skyrocketed.” Meanwhile, DonAlt expressed a
more cautious approach, stating that Bitcoin could look “much
worse” considering the circumstances, but suggested waiting for the
weekly close would be best to conclude. Nonetheless, trader Daan
Crypto Trades pointed out that Bitcoin has “bottomed/topped at
basically the same time” since June. Per the post, on the fifth day
of each month, BTC’s price has registered a massive correction,
except for September, when it occurred on the sixth day. Related
Reading: SUI Sees 15% Weekly Surge Ahead Of Token Unlock, Can It
Hit New ATH In October? During the Q3 retraces, BTC registered
daily red candles ahead of the fifth-day plunge. The price recorded
a 16.3%, 25%, and 11% decline in July, August, and September from
the beginning of each month until the end of the first-week
shakeout. If the pattern repeated this month, investors could see
BTC’s price dropping below the recently reclaimed $60,000 support
level and test the strengths of lower key support zones. However,
it would also mean that the flagship cryptocurrency would
potentially recover by the start of the second week. As of this
writing, BTC is trading at $61,466, a 2% drop in the last 24 hours.
Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com
Flow (COIN:FLOWUSD)
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