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7時間前
Alibaba to invest $52.4 bln in cloud & AI infrastructure; shares hit 3-yr high
By: Investing.com | February 23, 2025
Alibaba Group (NYSE:BABA) announced plans on Monday to invest 380 billion yuan ($52.4 billion) over the next three years to boost its cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure, marking its largest technology investment to date.
The move underscores Alibaba’s ambition to lead in AI-driven growth and solidify its position as a global cloud provider, the company said.
Hong Kong-listed Alibaba (HK:9988) shares rose 0.7% to HK$139.40 as of 02:50 GMT to their highest level since November 2021.
In its latest quarterly report released last week, Alibaba reported a 7.6% year-over-year increase in revenue for the December quarter, totaling 280.15 billion yuan, slightly surpassing analysts' expectations.
During the earnings call, CEO Eddie Wu called AI a “once-in-a-generation” opportunity, highlighting Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) as the company’s long-term goal.
Alibaba Cloud, already the company’s fastest-growing segment, saw an 11% year-over-year revenue increase last quarter, with AI-related product revenue posting triple-digit growth for the sixth consecutive quarter.
Wu emphasized that cloud services remain Alibaba’s primary revenue driver in AI, fueled by rising demand for AI hosting solutions.
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4日前
Alibaba (BABA) Stock Surges on Upbeat Quarterly Results
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | February 20, 2025
• The China-based tech name beat expectations for the fiscal third quarter
• Options volume is running at 5 times the intraday average amount
Alibaba Group Holding Ltd - ADR (NYSE:BABA) stock is up 12.8% at $141.92 at last glance, after the China-based tech name saw quarterly profits rise thanks to strong cloud and e-commerce growth, beating estimates. The company also announced a 13% year-over-year sales jump, and surpassed revenue expectations for the fiscal third quarter.
BABA yesterday snapped an eight-day win streak, but is now set to resume gains with its biggest single-day percentage gain since March 2023. Today's surge also places the stock at its highest level since November 2021, and well above all short- and long-term moving averages. In the last 12 months, Alibaba stock added 91%, and already sports a 69% year-to-date lead.
Options traders lean bullish on BABA. This is per the stocks' 50-day call/put volume ratio of 4.66 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), which sits higher than 78% of readings from the past year.
Drilling down to today's options activity, 407,000 calls and 139,000 puts have crossed the tape so far, which is 5 times the volume typically seen at this point. The most popular contract is the February 140 call, where new positions are currently being opened.
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1週前
$BABA Update – Still Running, But Scaling Back
By: Peter DiCarlo | February 16, 2025
• $BABA has been breaking out perfectly, and just like last week, the trading bots are still live, and I still hold a position across all funds.
Still in the trade, but sizing down
Now only trading with 25% of the original position
I’ll let this continue to expand, but at this point, the risk vs. reward isn’t as ideal as before.
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2週前
Alibaba (BABA) Stock Rally Sparks Heavy Options Volume
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | February 10, 2025
• Alibaba stock saw unusually high options volume over the past two weeks
• BABA is already up nearly 30% in 2025
U.S.-listed shares of Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:BABA) are 6.6% higher at $110.47 at last check. The rally comes after the Trump administration delayed the suspension of the de minimis provision, which gives packages valued at less than $800 the ability to enter the U.S. duty-free, mostly benefiting low-cost Chinese shopping platforms.
Looking ahead, Alibaba is set to report earnings before the market opens on Thursday, Feb. 20. The stock hasn’t had the best post-earnings track record, closing lower after six of its last eight reports. Over the past two years, BABA has averaged a 4.2% next-day move, but options traders are now bracing for a larger 8.7% swing, regardless of direction.
Options activity has been buzzing, with Alibaba stock recently landing on Schaeffer's Senior Quantitative Analyst Rocky White's list of equities with the highest options volume in the past two weeks. In the last 10 sessions alone, 4.2 million calls and 1.09 million puts have changed hands. During this time frame, the most popular contracts have been the weekly 1/31 100-strike call and the February 110 call.
Alibaba stock has been on fire to start the year, already up 29.4% year-to-date. Support at its 10-day moving average has helped fuel a 36% surge in just the last month. And zooming out, BABA boasts a 53.6% gain over the past year.
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2週前
$BABA is still setting up for a continued major move, with a potential 15-30% breakout ahead
By: Peter DiCarlo | February 9, 2025
• **$BABA** is still setting up for a continued major move, with a potential 15-30% breakout ahead. Since our $84 entry, we’re already up 25%, and momentum is strong.
BX Trender making higher highs now
Weekly chart turned green – signaling further expansion
Targets: $120 ? $132
Worst-case retracement: $97 (where I’ll look to add more)
This setup looks very strong, and I expect the expansion to continue into the coming weeks.
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3週前
BABA Stock Could Drop 6% After Feb. 12, According to This Wall Street Expert
By: 24/7 Wall St. | February 6, 2025
Alibaba (NYSE:BABA) is among the most notable and important e-commerce stocks globally. The China-based company dominates many markets in Southeast Asia, with its core commerce segment providing both retail and wholesale operations, while the company’s local consumer services division covers delivery platforms like Ele.me and navigation services like Amap. Cainiao handles logistics, and the Cloud segment includes Alibaba Cloud and DingTalk.
In a way, Alibaba is a company I’d probably most equate to an Amazon in the U.S. market. This is a company that’s a cloud computing giant with a massive e-commerce footprint. As such, Alibaba’s fortunes are closely intertwined with overall growth in the Asia Pacific region, and make this company a great option for investors looking for exposure to secular growth trends in this region of the world.
The company is set to report its upcoming earnings on February 12, with analysts expecting significant volatility with BABA stock, considering the company’s historical pattern of performance in and around earnings. There’s a 67% probability of declining and an average swing of ±5.8%, so let’s dive into whether Alibaba has 6% upside or downside from here.
Here’s What Wall Street Expects
Wall Street analysts are expecting a relatively strong quarter from Alibaba, with the Chinese cloud and e-commerce giant expected to report revenue of $39.15 billion which will translate into $2.75 of earnings per share. Indeed, many are touting this report as a key test for investor confidence. Market sentiment leans slightly bearish, reflecting broader concerns about China’s economic landscape.
I think such positioning and sentiment certainly makes sense, given the existing rhetoric around a potential tariff war between Trump and Xi. The Chinese economy is also one that hasn’t been firing on all cylinders of late, so there are certainly reasons why many in the market are taking a somber tone heading into this print.
That said, it’s also true that the consensus analyst price target for BABA stock currently stands at $124.40, implying 35.5% upside over the next year or so. And some analysts are ramping up bullish targets on the company, with Jefferies analysts set a more ambitious $142 target. Analysts at Jefferies have cited Alibaba’s expanding cloud and international commerce sectors as key growth drivers that could propel the stock higher on outperformance.
Beyond its financials, Alibaba’s earnings will serve as a broader economic indicator, offering insights into China’s consumer behavior and business climate. The company has faced slower domestic growth, but analysts are keen to assess whether its e-commerce and cloud divisions can sustain momentum. Strong results in these areas could restore investor confidence, while weaker-than-expected performance may lead to increased volatility.
So, Will Alibaba Trade Higher or Lower in 2025?
There are certainly reasons to believe Alibaba is poised for potential growth in 2025, given the number of growth catalysts underpinning the company’s overall business. Alibaba’s strategic investments in artificial intelligence (AI) remain a major focus, with the launch of Qwen2.5-VL (an advanced AI model) expected to expand Alibaba’s capabilities across multiple industries. These innovations could improve operational efficiency and drive adoption of AI-powered services.
That’s to say nothing of China’s underlying growth trends, with its middle class still growing and overall demand for goods and services (consumption) continuing to rise.
The thing is, Alibaba’s focus on core markets in Asia has been its downfall of late. There are risks to investing in China, simply put. And for U.S.-listed Chinese stocks, these risks remain very high right now.
Accordingly, this is a stock I think investors who aren’t comfortable with volatility may want to steer clear of right now. I do take the consensus view that risks are likely tilted to the downside, at least for now. Accordingly, this is a stock that may be worth considering post-earnings, when investors have a bit more clarity into where Alibaba is headed from here.
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tw0122
3週前
BABA see you in the $50s. 90% of their business small packages. Huge hit by Trump on small packages..
Trump’s executive orders directing 25% levies on Canada and Mexico — plus a 10% duty on China — specify that the “de minimis” exemption for small packages no longer applies. Under the exemption, products below that dollar amount are able to enter the US without tariffs — a boon for China’s e-commerce retailers who ship often cheaper wares directly to consumers in the US.
Regardless, the impact of the change threatens to fall most squarely on China, affecting retailers including Alibaba, JD.com Inc., PDD Holdings Inc.’s Temu and fashion-focused Shein. American shoppers and companies imported about $48 billion worth of shipments from the world under that loophole in the first nine months of last year, according to US Customs and Border Protection estimates.
Approximately a billion packages are estimated to enter the USA under the cover of the de minimis exemption. This is where the enforcement mechanism of the “External Revenue Service” combines with the tariff approach and the “state of emergency.” President Trump imposed the tariffs under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act, a nearly 50-year law that gives the president sweeping power to impose sanctions after declaring an emergency.The de minimis loophole comes from back in the 1930s. The idea back then was, say you went on a vacation to Paris, you shouldn’t have to file customs paperwork or pay taxes if you decided to ship some little Eiffel Tower statues to your friends back home.Congress in 2015 then raised the de minimis threshold from $200 to $800. However, the e-commerce world exploded, and Chinese companies began using the de minimis loophole to ship cheap goods (ex. Temu and Shein) into the USA direct to consumers without paying any customs duty.It was reported last year that the U.S. was on track to receive a billion packages through the de minimis loophole that aren’t taxed and don’t have customs slips saying what they are. Making matters worse, illegal items are slipping through the cracks, including, knockoffs, unsafe items and even chemicals used to make fentanyl. The worst abuser that exploits this de minimis loophole is, by far, China.
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4週前
Alibaba (BABA) Stock Pops on AI Model Performance Claims
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | January 29, 2025
• Alibaba claims its Qwen 2.5 AI model surpassed DeepSeek-V3
• Options volume is running at five times the intraday average amount
Big Tech sold off on Monday after reports that Chinese startup DeepSeek created an artificial intelligence (AI) model that outperformed OpenAI's at a substantially lower cost. Now, Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (NYSE:BABA) is joining the race, claiming its own AI model Qwen 2.5 surpassed DeepSeek-V3.
Options traders are blasting the security in response, with 740,000 calls and 150,000 puts exchanged so far -- five times the overall volume typically seen at this point. Most popular is the weekly 1/31 100-strike call, where new positions are being opened.
Options bulls were targeting the stock before today, too. At the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX), BABA's 50-day call/put volume ratio of 8.66 ranks in the 99th annual percentile. This suggests that calls have been much more popular than usual of late.
BABA was last seen up 2.2% at $98.10 at last glance -- its highest level since October. The security is on track for its seventh win in the last eight days and fourth-straight pop, after yesterday securing its best daily percentage gain since Dec. 9. Plus, BABA sports a 36.2% year-over-year lead.
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