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2日前
Salesforce (CRM) Stock Could Keep Surging After Breakout
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | October 4, 2024
• CRM broke above above resistance at the $265-$267.50 range
• The 200-day moving average is guiding shares higher
Blue-chip software stock Salesforce Inc (NYSE:CRM) broke above resistance at the $265-$267.50 range late last week, which also coincides with its year-to-date breakeven level. Plus, the shares went on to stage a bounce after a retest of this level.
CRM also just crossed above its 200-day moving average, which is still sloping higher. With these layers of technical support in place, now looks like a good time to bet on the stock’s next leg higher.
In the options pits, Salesforce stock’s 50-day put/call volume ratio of 0.85 at the International Securities Exchange (ISE), Cboe Options Exchange (CBOE), and NASDAQ OMX PHLX (PHLX) sits in the 91st percentile of its annual range, meaning options traders have been much more bearish than usual. The last two rollovers from this area have marked bottoms around it.
Options look like a good way to go when considering CRM, as it’s seeing well-priced premium at the moment. This is per the stock’s Schaeffer’s Volatility Index (SVI) of 24%, which ranks in the low 12th percentile of its 12-month range.
Our recommended November call has a leverage ratio of 11.4, and will double on an 8.9% rise in the underlying shares.
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4月前
Salesforce (CRM) Stock in Freefall After Earnings
By: Schaeffer's Investment Research | May 30, 2024
• Salesforce posted its first revenue miss since 2006, and the stock is suffering
• CRM options volume is running at 35 times the intraday average amount
Salesforce Inc (NYSE:CRM) stock is plunging this morning, last seen 18.5% lower to trade at $221.80, after the cloud software vendor disclosed a disappointing first-quarter earnings report. Salesforce reported its first quarterly revenue miss since 2006, issued weaker-than-expected guidance, and saw budget scrutiny and longer deal cycles for the quarter.
Options traders are flooding CRM in response. So far, 54,000 calls and 59,000 puts have been exchanged, which is 35 times the average daily volume. New positions are being bought to open at 16 of the top 20 contracts, led by the weekly 5/31 220-strike put.
No less than 25 analysts cut their price targets on Salesforce stock, the steepest coming from UBS to $250 from $310. These look long overdue, too, considering the 12-month consensus price target of $306.84 is a 37.7% premium to the equity's current perch.
Now at its lowest level since November 2023, CRM is pacing for its worst single-session percentage drop since 2020. The shares are also trading below their 320-day moving average for the first time since March 2023. Year to date, Salesforce stock is now down nearly 16%.
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