JD400
10年前
Go SWC Palladium Prices Climb To 13Yr High
September 01, 2014 7:50AM
PALLADIUM closed above $US900 a troy ounce for the first time in more than a decade, extending its recent rally as rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine stoke fears about supply.
PALLADIUM for December delivery, the most actively traded contract, rose $US11.45, or 1.3 per cent, to settle at $US909.55 a troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange. This was the highest settlement price since February 21, 2001.
Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday accused Ukraine and its Western allies of backing peace talks as a cover to continue military operations against pro-Russia militants in Ukraine's east.
Mr Putin shrugged off allegations that Russia is funnelling troops into eastern Ukraine to support the rebels.
Leaders in the US and Europe said they would consider new sanctions against Russia, with the European Union slated to discuss the situation in Ukraine at a summit in Brussels on Saturday.
Palladium prices have rallied 27 per cent since the start of the year, with the escalating conflict prompting worries that supply will be caught in the crossfire of economic sanctions between Russia and the West, with either side holding up access to the metal.
Russia is the world's top palladium producer, contributing roughly 40 per cent of the world's supply.
"If Russia stops shipping, you're talking about a supply-side disaster," said Philip Gotthelf, president of Equidex Inc, a commodities investment management firm
In other markets, gold prices eased from a one-week high as pressure from a stronger dollar prompted some investors to lock in gains on the recent rally.
Gold for December delivery, the most active contract, settled $US3, or 0.2 per cent, lower at $US1,287.40 a troy ounce on the Comex division of the Nymex.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/business/breaking-news/palladium-prices-climb-to-13-year-high/story-fni0xqe4-1227043333991?from=herald+sun_rss&nk=ac9ba97a44652916e8809fce7ccb4589
JD400
11年前
SWC 18.98 HOY Stillwater Mining CEO Mick McMullen Confident in Long-term PGM Demand1
Monday July 7, 2014, 4:15am PDT
By Teresa Matich2+3 - Exclusive to Palladium Investing News4
The long-running Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union strike at South Africa’s platinum6 and palladium mines has ended. However, an increase7 in auto demand combined with news of a strike by another South African union has seasoned investors and analysts worried about platinum-group metals (PGMs) supply. It’s thus unsurprising that Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC8) CEO Mick McMullen is confident in long-term demand for the white metals.
Stillwater’s website states9 that its J-M Reef deposit is currently the only known significant source of PGMs in the United States. Notably, it is also one of very few sources of the metals outside South Africa and Russia, which produce the lion’s share of the world’s platinum and palladium.
Based in Montana, the company has taken a vertically integrated approach. In addition to mining operations, it is engaged in the processing, smelting, refining and recycling of platinum and palladium. Stillwater produces primarily palladium from its mining operations.
Palladium Investing News (PIN) recently had the chance to speak with McMullen about Stillwater and the PGMs markets. In the interview below, McMullen discusses Stillwater’s activities and operations, as well as the significance of the company’s recent agreement with Johnson Matthey (LSE:JMAT11). He also speaks about future demand for PGMs and shares his thoughts on what is important for investors to consider when looking at the PGMs space.
PIN: Just to start off with, I don’t think we’ve covered Stillwater extensively on our network before, so could you tell our readers a bit about your company?
MM: Sure. We’re a large PGMs miner and recycler here in North America. Last year we produced 524,000 ounces of PGMs from our mines, and just over 600,000 ounces from our recycling business as well. So between the two we did a total of about 1.1 million ounces last year. Within the mines, we’re predominantly palladium, with about 78 percent palladium and the rest being platinum. We’re obviously based here in Montana, and we’ve got a very high-grade ore body. It runs about a half an ounce to the tonne of PGMs, and it’s a very large ore body. It’s approximately 40 kilometers long, well over 100 meters deep and it’s complemented by the smelter we have here in Montana — that’s where we smelt our material and also treat recycling material, which is autocatalysts for the most part.
PIN: I see. And about your deposit, what is the geology of the J-M Reef like? Is it entirely contained within the Stillwater Mining complex or does it extend beyond the property? Do you know if there are other companies exploring in the area?
MM: No, we’ve pretty well got the entire ore body. There’s some historical chrome mining in the area, but we own all the claims on top of the ore body, or that have been discovered so far.
PIN: Okay. So you are one of the only primary PGMs producers outside of South Africa and Russia. Those jurisdictions have been problematic in the past, but are the world’s largest PGMs producers. What is the importance of platinum and palladium projects outside of those jurisdictions?
MM: Well, I think obviously the recent strike issue in South Africa and tensions in Russia have really highlighted the strategic nature of our deposit here. We’re finding from our customers that they really are starting to value the local place that we’re in now. Similarly, for our shareholders, we’ve seen our shares have a decent run over the last six months. I think those geopolitical issues and social issues in South Africa have really highlighted the fact that being in the US with the highest-grade ore body, really a world-class deposit here, has got some strategic value.
PIN: That’s excellent. Also, last month, you announced a significant agreement with Johnson Matthey that involves the offtake of a large portion of your mined PGMs production. What is the importance of agreements like that for PGMs miners and for Stillwater in particular?
MM: We think that it’s a very important agreement for us. Johnson Matthey used to have the Anglo American Platinum (OTCMKTS:AGPPY12) offtake in South Africa for many, many years, and they lost that at the end of last year. They are a very big player in the PGMs space, and they produce a lot of autocatalysts, so they needed to know they had security of supply. They, like many people, were very concerned about supply, and they were very keen to lock up some supply with us. So we did a deal with them whereby we will sell the bulk of our mined production to them at spot plus whatever the premium is. There’s usually a premium in the marketplace for our metal. So we haven’t forward sold at a price, it’s just whatever the price on the day is what we receive.
And importantly for us, they will do all of our refining as well. They will pay us faster than we get paid now, which will release some working capital for us, but also they will send us a lot of recycling material. Our facility here in Montana is quite empty, the recycling business, but we have the ability to expand it quite significantly for basically no capital. And we think that this will be a good alliance between us and Johnson Matthey in terms of them sending more material, and importantly for us, we’ve got an out clause, or a break clause, for, in the event that someone wanted to pay us a very high price for our metal, or perhaps wanted to buy the company in order to secure the metal, we could opt out of this agreement with Johnson Matthey. We’d be free to do that. So I think it’s a good deal for us because it gives us lots of flexibility, but it’s a good deal for Johnson Matthey in that it gives them a supply metal, a long-life asset in a really low-risk jurisdiction.
PIN: So you have a mine, a smelter and a recycling operation. You’re very vertically integrated. What is the advantage of that approach for Stillwater?
MM: In the PGMs business, the smelters typically make all the money, so having the smelter means that we’re not giving that value away to someone else, and it can be quite a substantial portion of the value of the mine output that goes to the smelter. Also, the payment pipeline in PGMs is very long. If you’re sending to a third-party smelter, you might not get your money back for six months. So working capital without your own smelter is a huge number, and having our own smelter has been — it’s a lot cheaper for us, it frees up a lot of working capital. The company built the smelter in the mid ’90s, and it really has been a core part of the business in the treating line of production. And because we run the smelter all the time, we then have the ability to bring in some of this recycling material as well, which adds to our bottom line.
PIN: That makes sense. On another note, I was hoping for a comment on the miners’ strike ending in South Africa. How will that affect the PGMs markets?
MM: Interestingly, we’ve seen previously that when rumors of the strike being settled have been out, PGMs have fallen. I noticed this morning though that despite the strike being over, PGMs prices are actually up a bit. Fundamentally, I think that particularly palladium is structurally short, structurally in deficit. Johnson Matthey this year is forecasting a deficit of about 1.6 million ounces of palladium. They’re forecasting that even with the mines in South Africa coming back to work, and they’re forecasting deficits really for the next 10 years of around about a million ounces a year. So I think what’s likely to happen in South Africa is that production will continue to get less and less every year. I don’t think it will fall off a cliff, but I just see production sort of gradually winding its way down in South Africa. The demand side for nickel13 and palladium is very, very strong, so again there’s that gradual deficit position for the next 10 years.
So for us, we’re on a pretty good side. I see, in terms of the prices, palladium probably strengthening relative to platinum, just because of the fundamentals. But both, I think, will go up. With the new wage deal in South Africa, we’re just trying to work out what it means in terms of costs, on a dollar-per-ounce basis, for the South Africans. However, it’s clear to me that the costs will only go up in South Africa, they’re not going down. Overall, the outlook looks pretty good, I think, even with the strike coming to an end, supposedly.
PIN: Finally, given your experience in the PGMs space, what do you think is important for investors to consider when looking at PGMs, or PGMs companies like Stillwater, as compared with other commodities?
MM: I think the big differentiator in the PGMs world relative to say gold14 or copper15 and base metals is that you’ve really got a very narrow investment horizon for people investing for different companies. There are really only three or four big companies in South Africa and us, and of course the geopolitical issues become very important because 42 percent of palladium production is in Russia and about 41 percent is in Southern Africa; there are not a lot of jurisdictions you can go to invest and get your palladium exposure — I mean, in what you would call a low-risk jurisdiction.
Unlike base metals or gold, where you can invest in lots of different places and get that exposure, it’s one of those commodities where you’ll always have the potential for strike action or geopolitical issues. Also, I think that it’s a business where the secondary supply of recycling is becoming more and more important, and you don’t sort of see that in some of the others. Again, unlike copper or iron16 or stuff like that, the secondary supply, or recycling feed, is very important for PGMs.
PIN: Good advice. Was there anything else you wanted to add?
MM: Not really, apart from that as a company we’ve got a strong balance sheet. We’ve got almost half a billion dollars in cash, which I think puts us in a great position, and we’ll maintain a very strong balance sheet.
Mining is a cyclical business, and I think we’re a company that’s in the process of changing. We’re becoming much more focused on profits than just growing production. We won’t grow production just for the sake of growing it. We’re being quite disciplined with how we deploy capital and we’re very focused on the bottom line.
PIN: Yes, I read an article17 in The Wall Street Journal recently where you said you won’t increase production in reaction to supply fears because you see long-term demand for platinum and palladium.
MM: That’s pretty well it. Let’s maximize the free cash flow out of the operation rather than just continually investing and never actually making any money.
PIN: Very responsible of you. Well, thank you for taking the time to talk to us about Stillwater today.
MM: Thank you.
Securities Disclosure: I, Teresa Matich, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.
Editorial Disclosure: Interviews conducted by the Investing News Network are edited for clarity. The Investing News Network does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the information reported. The opinions expressed in these interviews do not reflect the opinions of the Investing News Network and do not constitute investment advice. All readers are encouraged to perform their own due diligence.
http://palladiuminvestingnews.com/7851-stillwater-mining-ceo-mick-micmullen-confident-in-long-term-pgm-
JD400
11年前
SWC Stillwater Mining Company Sets New 12-Month High at $17.80
June 10th,2014
Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC)’s share price reached a new 52-week high during trading on Tuesday , American Banking and Market News reports. The company traded as high as $17.80 and last traded at $17.49, with a volume of 643,043 shares trading hands. The stock had previously closed at $17.42.
Several analysts have recently commented on the stock. Analysts at BB&T Corp. raised their price target on shares of Stillwater Mining Company from $18.00 to $20.00 in a research note on Friday, May 16th. Separately, analysts at RBC Capital raised their price target on shares of Stillwater Mining Company from $15.00 to $17.00 in a research note on Friday, May 2nd. Finally, analysts at CIC Securities cut their price target on shares of Stillwater Mining Company from $20.00 to $19.00 in a research note on Tuesday, April 8th. Two equities research analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating, The stock presently has a consensus rating of “Hold” and a consensus target price of $18.54.
The stock has a 50-day moving average of $16.23 and a 200-day moving average of $14.04. The company’s market cap is $2.113 billion.
Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC) last released its earnings data on Thursday, May 1st. The company reported $0.15 EPS for the quarter, beating the Thomson Reuters consensus estimate of $0.10 by $0.05. The company had revenue of $219.50 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $241.60 million. During the same quarter in the prior year, the company posted $0.12 earnings per share. The company’s quarterly revenue was down 12.4% on a year-over-year basis. On average, analysts predict that Stillwater Mining Company will post $0.56 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Stillwater Mining Company is engaged in the development, extraction, processing, smelting, refining and marketing of palladium, platinum and associated metals (NYSE:SWC)) from a geological formation in south-central Montana, the J-M Reef, and from the recycling of spent catalytic converters.
http://www.americanbankingnews.com/2014/06/10/stillwater-mining-company-sets-new-12-month-high-at-17-80-swc/
JD400
11年前
Russia Buying, Palladium Rising
Wednesday May 21, 2014, 4:00am PDT
Investing News discussed in December6, there has long been suspicion that Russia’s palladium stockpiles are running low. The state metals depository is infamous for refusing to share just how much palladium it has left, but that doesn’t stop analysts from guessing.
Investors got a slightly clearer picture last Friday, when Russia indicated that it will buy domestically produced palladium to grow its stockpiles, Reuters reported7. According to the news outlet, spot prices for palladium reached a height of $815.75 per ounce during trading hours in London following the news. The metal continued to gain on Tuesday as palladium for June delivery on the COMEX in New York rose as high as $830 per ounce and finished the day at $825.85, up $10.10 from the previous session, as reported8 by The Wall Street Journal. Prices were also lifted by the ongoing striking of platinum-group metals (PGMs) miners in South Africa.
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs), too, saw record gains. Bloomberg states9 that physically backed palladium ETFs in South Africa took on 500,000 ounces of the white metal in approximately two months, suggesting that the metal is gaining traction as an investment vehicle.
A prediction from this year’s Thomson Reuters GFMS platinum11 and palladium survey states, “[w]e expect palladium to remain in deep physical deficit (this year) in the order of 1.3 million ounces, metal that will need to be released by investors in order for the market to clear, suggesting that, barring the unlikely event of major disinvestment, prices will remain well bid.”
Gokhran making plans to buy
According7 to Reuters, Andrey Yurin, head of Russia’s precious metals and gems repository (also known as Gokhran), told Interfax, “[w]e’re committed to buy. Our view is that there is sense to buy.” In the past, analysts have estimated that supplies are dwindling due to the fact that Russia has made fewer6 and fewer sales in recent years. Even though Russia plans to buy from domestic suppliers, Gokhran’s switch from buyer to seller is indicative of the depository’s position.
However, Russia’s Norilsk Nickel (MCX:GMKN12), top palladium producer and preferred source for the state’s imminent purchases, did not comment on the news, Bloomberg reported13. The publication references an article from April 24 in which Norilsk CEO Vladimir Potanin is quoted as saying, “[p]alladium is not a gold14 and currency reserve. It should be sold rather than bought by the state.” Potanin went as far as to say, “I myself as a businessman would be interested to buy” if Russia sold its remaining stockpiles.
Shortage intensifying as South Africa drags on
As Bloomberg notes15, PGMs shortages are slated to be the biggest in over 30 years in 2014. Auto producers are driving demand and an ongoing strike in South Africa shows few signs of letting up. Though Russia accounted for roughly 40 percent of palladium production last year, according to the publication, South Africa is also a significant producer. The Wall Street Journal states that analysts at Citigroup (NYSE:C16) estimate that supplies of the white metal will be able to meet global demand for only 14 more weeks.
David Meger, director of metals trading at Vision Financial Markets, told the Journal, ”[w]ith the ongoing strikes in South Africa, supply constraint has definitely become an issue in this market.”
Anglo American Platinum (LSE:AAL17), Impala Platinum (JSE:IMP18) and Lonmin (LSE:LMI19) were hopeful that the strike would end after some workers responded directly to wage offers, skirting the Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union. However, the strike turned violent as those attempting to cross picket lines were attacked20, and the impasse continued.
Company news
Wellgreen Platinum (TSXV:WG21,OTCQX:WGPLF) released results last Wednesday from recent assays at its PGMs-nickel22-copper23 project in Yukon, Canada. The results indicate extended mineralization over roughly 2.5 kilometers from the far east zone of the Wellgreen resource to the far west zone. Mineralization at the Wellgreen project includes platinum, palladium and gold in addition to significant nickel, copper and cobalt24.
On Friday, Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC25,TSX:SWC.U) secured a five-year contract for the refining and sale of PGMs with leading autocatalyst manufacturer and precious metals refiner Johnson Matthey (LSE:JMAT26). Under the terms of the agreement, the refiner will purchase all palladium mined by Stillwater in addition to a significant amount of the platinum it mines. Stillwater will use Johnson Matthey for its refining and recycling needs for its platinum and palladium under competitive terms, and Johnson Matthey will provide proprietary PGMs market analysis services to Stillwater Mining.
Finally, NovX2127 (TSXV:NOV28) reported yesterday that suppliers of catalytic converters in Europe and North America have sent materials to Novx21's plant for processing. NovX21 sees the provision of these supplies as an indication of commitment by catalytic converter suppliers to meet new environmental standards. The company aims to secure long-term supply agreements in the future.
http://palladiuminvestingnews.com/7673-palladium-price-rising-russia-buy-stockpiles-lo.html
JD400
11年前
Palladium falls before weekend, but more gains seen
May 23 2014, 17:14
LONDON — Palladium fell on Friday as the dollar firmed and investors squared positions before the weekend, but more gains are expected on worries that an extended strike could drag on even longer in major producer South Africa.
Platinum and palladium were on track for a second straight weekly gain, with gold headed for a flat week.
Palladium shed 0.6% to $827.25 an ounce by 2.00pm GMT as the dollar gained against the euro, making dollar-priced commodities more expensive for Europeans.
The euro dropped to a three-month low against the dollar after a soft German business sentiment survey added to expectations the European Central Bank would ease policy next month.
The dollar hit a six-week high against a basket of currencies in the wake of upbeat US data.
Palladium’s weakness, however, was seen as only a pause in a rally that has pushed it up 16% this year on worries about the impact of the miners’ strike in South Africa. It touched $837.40 an ounce in the previous session — its highest since August 2011.
Traders attributed some of the decline to investors taking profits and squaring positions before the Memorial Day long weekend in the US and Britain’s spring bank holiday on Monday.
"The longer the strike goes on, we are now at the point where people are asking the question about when dwindling stocks will start to have an effect," said Ole Hansen, head of commodities research at Saxo Bank.
"Even though palladium is a smaller market, there’s good flow into ETFs. So there’s basically a good fundamental investment story." Commerzbank said in a note that over the past two days of trading, 19,000 ounces had flowed into palladium exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
"Inflows since the start of the quarter amount to 670,000 ounces. ETF holdings now total just shy of 2.8-million ounces, and thus exceed the annual production of Russia, the world’s biggest producer country." Palladium was set to gain 1.9% this week and platinum 1.6%, the second straight weekly rises for both.
The four-month miners’ strike in South Africa could last much longer, the chief executive of Impala Platinum told Reuters on Thursday, adding that feedback from initial court-mediated talks with the world’s biggest producers and main mining union was lukewarm.
The strike is the longest and costliest industrial action in the mining history of South Africa, the biggest producer of platinum and the second-biggest producer of palladium.
GOLD Spot gold dipped 0.1% to $1,291.94 an ounce and was headed for a largely flat week.
"Gold has been trapped in a very compressed range for well over a month, but we suspect that we could see a substantial move in the days ahead once the Ukrainian elections are over," INTL FCStone said in a note.
Lessening tensions in Ukraine weighed on gold, seen as a safe-haven asset. The metal has been buoyed by the crisis between the West and Russia, gaining about 7% this year.
Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday he wanted better ties with the West. His deputy defence minister said Russia would pull back all forces deployed to regions near its border with Ukraine "within a few days", a move that could ease tensions before Ukraine’s presidential election on Sunday.
Reuters
Have a good weekend (~:GOSWC:~)
JD400
11年前
SWC Flood of buying pushes Montana PGM miner to near 3-year high
Frik Els | May 21, 2014
Stillwater Mining (NYSE:SWC) shot up on Wednesday, as investors look for alternative suppliers of PGMs amid predictions of a the largest market deficit for the precious metals in more than 30 years.
In early afternoon dealings the Billings, Montana-based company was changing hands for $17.24, up 3.3% on the New York Stock Exchange, after earlier in the day hitting a near-three year high of $17.22.
Some 2.6 million shares in the $2 billion counter were traded by 2:25EST, more than the usual daily average. Stillwater shares are up 40% since the start of the year.
Cash-flush Stillwater is the only platinum and palladium producer in the US and accounts for 6% of global palladium production and 2% of the world's platinum supply from its two producing mines.
Stillwater boasts more than 22 million ounces in PGM reserves, 80% of it palladium. Last week the company signed a 5-year sales agreement with refiner and autocatalyst manufacturer Johnson Matthey that also resulted in a $17-22 million cash injection.
A prolonged strike in South Africa, rising tensions between Russia and the West and the launch of two new physical palladium-backed ETFs have pushed the palladium price up nearly 16% this year.
Platinum is up close to 7%. Between them Russia and South Africa control 83% of world palladium and supplies 70% of its platinum.
Industry consultants Johnson Matthey Plc said yesterday platinum consumption will beat supply by 1.22 million ounces while the palladium shortfall will widen to 1.61 million ounces, from 371,000 ounces last year and the eighth year in a row of deficits.
Bloomberg reports that would constitute the largest market deficits ever, based on Johnson Matthey data going back to 1975 for platinum and 1980 for palladium:
“Supply-side issues are common to both platinum and palladium,” Peter Duncan, general manager, market research at Johnson Matthey, said yesterday. “We do expect auto demand to keep rising. In the medium term, this is mainly to do with emissions legislation in the case of platinum, and mainly growth in vehicle production in the case of palladium.”
Palladium futures trading on the Nymex in New York rose to $830 an ounce on Wednesday, the highest since March 2011 and up 16% since the start of the year.
Platinum continued to underperform its sister metal however and July delivery contracts are up $1,475 an ounce.
http://www.mining.com/flood-of-buying-pushes-montana-pgm-miner-to-near-3-year-high-53999/
JD400
11年前
SWC Stillwater Mining Company Sets New 52-Week High After Analyst Upgrade (SWC)
May 19th, 2014
Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC) reached a new 52-week high during trading on Monday after BB&T Corp. raised their price target on the stock from $18.00 to $20.00, Stock Ratings News reports. The company traded as high as $16.94 and last traded at $16.80, with a volume of 2,513,747 shares traded. The stock had previously closed at $16.29.
SWC has been the subject of a number of other recent research reports. Analysts at RBC Capital raised their price target on shares of Stillwater Mining Company from $15.00 to $17.00 in a research note on Friday, May 2nd. Separately, analysts at CIC Securities cut their price target on shares of Stillwater Mining Company from $20.00 to $19.00 in a research note on Tuesday, April 8th. Finally, analysts at Zacks downgraded shares of Stillwater Mining Company from an “outperform” rating to a “neutral” rating in a research note on Monday, March 24th. They now have a $16.70 price target on the stock. Two analysts have rated the stock with a hold rating, The stock presently has an average rating of “Hold” and an average target price of $18.54.
The stock’s 50-day moving average is $15.54 and its 200-day moving average is $13.35. The company’s market cap is $2.010 billion.
Stillwater Mining Company (NYSE:SWC) last announced its earnings results on Thursday, May 1st. The company reported $0.15 earnings per share for the quarter, beating the analysts’ consensus estimate of $0.10 by $0.05. The company had revenue of $219.50 million for the quarter, compared to the consensus estimate of $241.60 million. During the same quarter last year, the company posted $0.12 earnings per share. Stillwater Mining Company’s revenue was down 12.4% compared to the same quarter last year. On average, analysts predict that Stillwater Mining Company will post $0.56 earnings per share for the current fiscal year.
Stillwater Mining Company is engaged in the development, extraction, processing, smelting, refining and marketing of palladium, platinum and associated metals (NYSE:SWC)) from a geological formation in south-central Montana, the J-M Reef, and from the recycling of spent catalytic converters.
http://www.americanbankingnews.com/2014/05/19/stillwater-mining-company-sets-new-52-week-high-after-analyst-upgrade-swc/