ProShares UltraShort Lehman 20 plus Year Treasury (TBT) オプション

Yep, funny how that market turns on its own timeline!!!

..took a few years, but here we are.. TBT$...

Bonds are ripe for a major fall... the market will force this correction in a highly manipulated market:

FinViz charts are in the link or in the i-Box...

https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?t=BONDS&p=d1

Another 6.6 million Americans file U.S. initial jobless claims; gold prices higher
Allen Sykora - Thursday April 09, 2020 08:35

https://www.kitco.com/news/2020-04-09/Another-6-6-million-Americans-file-U-S-initial-jobless-claims-gold-prices-higher.html

6.64M unemployed... bonds continue upward.

Monthly chart of long bonds... nothing but up since the late 1990's:

https://www.proshares.com/funds/tbt.html

The hyper bubble is the bond market bar none.

Soon, this fund will outperform nearly everything across every sector...

China don’t want to buy your treasuries, Fed.... better call Belgium again lol

Come on Janet, don't fight the money velocity......embrace it:)

The old silver hag actually has a brain. Go ahead and inject that liquidity into the hands of the consumers

Rate rise and this drops....BS

Keeping a close look here. Maybe just filling yesterday's gap?

Unwind that balance sheet Grandma and raise the rates, then just maybe, we see what holds water

Right now Gold vs. $US. When do we know $US is not safe haven anymore?or when do FED LOSE TRUST FROM INVESTORS WHICH IS ALMOST THERE.

Treasury yields log largest weekly jump in 6 weeks


Treasury prices fell this week, pushing yields up by the largest amount in six weeks, after improving economic data along with a record-setting rally in equities prompted investors to sell government debt.

...Fed policy makers have shown through consistent communications that they “have a bias towards raising rates,” said Jason Browne, CIO at FundX Investment Group.

So, even though headline CPI at 1% “gives [policy makers] an excuse to wait” the current level of historically low Treasury yields “reflect an excess of pessimism on the economy,” Browne said, which suggests yields should continue to move higher in the near future.

http://stream.marketwatch.com/story/markets/SS-4-4/SS-4-114134/

...new recovery high within a potentially larger-developing bottoming formation.

https://www.mptrader.com/middayminute/Elevated-June-PPI-Data-Scares-Some-Treasury-Bond-Longs-and-Adds-Some-Confidence-to-a-Developing-TBT-Bottom-201607143533.html


...Japanese investors who bought an all-time high amount of U.S. debt last week—have been driving prices higher and pushing yields to record lows

...Foreign investors gobbling up relatively richer yielding U.S. debt in a world plagued by ultralow and negative-yielding government bonds

http://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-why-10-year-treasury-may-still-drop-below-1-2016-07-15

...So what's so bad about this acceleration or blow off of the U.S. Treasury bull market? What's so bad is that there is a limit as to how high the Fed can push T-Bonds up (rates down). As with all markets when hitting their limit, it reverses course and there is nothing that can be done to stop the reversed trend. And when there is a blow off top, the reversal can be equally as violent.

So from what I observe, it seems we are getting very, very close now - perhaps only weeks away - from the end to the most phenomenal bull market in history (that being the highly manipulated bull market for U.S. T-Bonds). And that means interest rates may be about to rise and there won't be anything the Fed can do to stop that
http://seekingalpha.com/article/3987744-get-ready-dollar-destruction-end-game?source=marketwatch

Chart 8: IG Corporates and Govt. Bonds Rallied Strongly After 1932

http://seekingalpha.com/article/3987056-u-s-treasury-yield-curve-nulls

....For example, author Russell Napier has written extensively about what happened to various asset classes in the Great Depression (cf. Napier, 2007; Anatomy of the Bear: Lessons from Wall Street's Four Great Bottoms, 2 nd Edition, Harriman House Ltd., Peterfield, Great Britain, 304p). Obviously, stocks sold off catastrophically, but the more interesting asset classes are investment grade corporate and government bonds. Government bonds initially rallied during the period from September 1929 to June 1931. However, once the banking crisis began and the government abandoned the gold standard (note that the modern day equivalent would be the disbanding of the Eurozone), government bonds actually sold off. Bonds finally stabilized once the Reconstruction Finance Corporation was established in January 1932 (Chart 7). Investment grade corporate bonds sold off massively after September 1929, but then recovered and made great gains side-by-side with government bonds from 1932 onwards. Stocks also bottomed in the summer of 1932, rallying strongly until the second dip of the Great Depression began in August of 1937.

...US Treasury yields have been falling as strong demand for Treasurys — a safe investment in volatile times — drove up bond prices. On Wednesday, the 10-year yield fell to a record low.

http://finance.yahoo.com/news/bond-market-throwing-curve-ball-100300125.html;_ylt=AwrC1C659oJXkxUAX9DQtDMD;_ylu=X3oDMTBybGY3bmpvBGNvbG8DYmYxBHBvcwMyBHZ0aWQDBHNlYwNzcg--

Bought 8.... Dec 16 2016.... $28.00 Puts

CHEERS ALL...

WHAT COULD GO WRONG ???

I bought $65 Jan. 2018 call. FED controlled stock market, now stock market controls FED, and they lost control now. Interest rate will go up.

Added $37 Feb 26 puts yesterday. Wish I would have waited until this morning!

The search for yield is on but the trap is that treasuries are still climbing with yields drepressing/compressing further.

TBT is a great way to trade US debt! Eventually the wheels will fall off, but not today in my opinion.

Just bought TBT February 26 $36.50 puts at $0.58. Treasuries catching FIRE with negative interest rates around the world.

In yesterday, Thank you for the heads up Pro!

TBT at record lows but not for long... patience...

30 year bond approaching record high territory today:

Target 53 then 60.

TBT Boolish today!

FOMC may be more hawkish than expected by the "experts".

Whip lash...lol

Out of TBT this afternoon at the top around 50.31,

And good thing with China's slowing inflation number tonight, suggesting more Chinese rate easing.

I'll be back in a week....FOMC MEETING NEXT WEEK.

Good day for TBT and a good week ahead?

Invert the 6 month US Bond chart and see that we are on the right shoulder of a head & shoulder pattern where we could break past the neck line for some big$ with TBT. OCICBW

Bund will be our pre-market indicator on Monday

GOOD LUCK!

$ TBT Hey 12th man ...You think TBT will go to $43.00 soon...?

Trade TBT long with caution in my opinion. Yemen's war keeps our USA borrowing costs down so no reason the FED let's rates go up. They are addicted to easy money!

My TBT target for open tomorrow is $41.50-42.00....

Grabbed TBT $42.50 March 27 puts at close for $0.15 average. Treasuries will ROCK tomorrow on Yemen war in my opinion.

Today's TBT action had the feel of bond short covering.

Wow!

Look out here, 10yr going lower, it's going to shock a lot of people. TBT to the high 40's?...

Descending triple bottom break down. 57.49 is my target.

57 is coming

mention of gold double bottom support hit and bounce today along with bond vigilantes ... but most say gold still bearish and rates have a ceiling Fed can control http://www.cnbc.com/id/101303734?__source=yahoo%7Cfinance%7Cheadline%7Cheadline%7Cstory&par=yahoo&doc=101303734%7CWatch%20Art%20Cashin:%20Two%20key

When FED starts tapering, it will be not enough money in bonds market. Rates has to go up to attract buyers, or nobody still want to buy and more QE will be made instead. When rates start going up, inflation will follow. Something crazy will happen here in coming years. For gold, Bitcoin bothers me. It needs to come down for gold to go up.

as Tepper would say,,, heads I win, tails you lose... Either way rates go up?

Silver and Miners may start an explosive uptrend even if gold waits to break 1k
http://www.marketanthropology.com/


https://www.mptrader.com/sitehistory/middayminute.php?url=

Probably both, but heavily in miners when gold hits around $1,000. I am a Japanese living in California.

gold or short bonds ? That is the question.....

re: "Go in big - soon" --- just to be clear, tia... where are you from btw ?

I made $1,000 to $40,000 with option call. This time, same chance, that's what I am talking about. Easy money coming. You know that I hope.