Patswil
5時間前
Investors in mortgage-finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have watched those stocks more than double in 2024 amid hopes that President-elect Donald Trump would end the federal government's conservatorship of the companies when he assumes office.
Fannie (FNMA) and Freddie (FMCC) shares were on the rise again Tuesday after a series of reports that reflect the Republican party's desire to return Fannie and Freddie to the private sector.
Fannie shares were up 3.9% Tuesday, while Freddie Mac stock was up 4%, according to FactSet. The companies are not listed and only trade over-the-counter.
Investors were focused on a new letter from the Congressional Budget Office to Republican House Financial Services Chairman Patrick McHenry , which stated that compared with 2020, selling the companies to the private sector would be easier today.
"Options for recapitalizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac show the [companies] having a higher value to investors than they did in the previous analysis," CBO Director Phillip Swagel wrote, adding there would likely be sufficient demand from private investors to recapitalize them and pay back the roughly $190 billion owed to the Treasury .
Rep. French Hill of Arkansas , a Republican set to lead the Financial Services Committee next year, has also spread the word that he's open to releasing Fannie and Freddie from conservatorship.
He said he "sees a role for Congress " in that process, "but that the process should start with the executive branch," according to a Monday note by Capital Alpha financial policy analyst, Ian Katz .
Another reason for optimism has been chatter on the Hill that releasing Fannie and Freddie from conservatorship could raise money for the Treasury and defray the cost of Trump's planned tax cuts.
"It's an open question whether the Congressional Budget Office would score a release positively - or positively enough to make it worthwhile." Katz wrote.
"There will also be large questions about what would happen to the implied government backstop of Fannie and Freddie," he added. "And there's also the issue of whether President-elect Trump would support the potential risks to the housing market."
Some experts like Christopher Whalen , chairman of Whalen Global Advisors , believe that releasing the companies will raise costs for prospective home buyers.
navycmdr
5時間前
$Booooom ! -- $Fannie, $Freddie stocks on the $Rise as
$GOP takeover $Boosts $Privatization $Hopes
Provided by Dow Jones Dec 17, 2024 12:01pm - By Chris Matthews
Traders are betting on the end of conservatorship is a high-risk, high-reward Trump trade
https://www.morningstar.com/news/marketwatch/20241217102/fannie-freddie-stocks-on-the-rise-as-gop-takeover-boosts-privatization-hopes
Investors in mortgage-finance giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have watched those stocks more than double in 2024 amid hopes that President-elect Donald Trump would end the federal government's conservatorship of the companies when he assumes office.
Fannie (FNMA) and Freddie (FMCC) shares were on the rise again Tuesday after a series of reports that reflect the Republican party's desire to return Fannie and Freddie to the private sector.
Fannie shares were up 3.9% Tuesday, while Freddie Mac stock was up 4%, according to FactSet. The companies are not listed and only trade over-the-counter.
Investors were focused on a new letter from the Congressional Budget Office to Republican House Financial Services Chairman Patrick McHenry, which stated that compared with 2020, selling the companies to the private sector would be easier today.
"Options for recapitalizing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac show the [companies] having a higher value to investors than they did in the previous analysis," CBO Director Phillip Swagel wrote, adding there would likely be sufficient demand from private investors to recapitalize them and pay back the roughly $190 billion owed to the Treasury.
Rep. French Hill of Arkansas, a Republican set to lead the Financial Services Committee next year, has also spread the word that he's open to releasing Fannie and Freddie from conservatorship.
He said he "sees a role for Congress" in that process, "but that the process should start with the executive branch," according to a Monday note by Capital Alpha financial policy analyst, Ian Katz.
Another reason for optimism has been chatter on the Hill that releasing Fannie and Freddie from conservatorship could raise money for the Treasury and defray the cost of Trump's planned tax cuts.
"It's an open question whether the Congressional Budget Office would score a release positively - or positively enough to make it worthwhile." Katz wrote.
"There will also be large questions about what would happen to the implied government backstop of Fannie and Freddie," he added. "And there's also the issue of whether President-elect Trump would support the potential risks to the housing market."
Some experts like Christopher Whalen, chairman of Whalen Global Advisors, believe that releasing the companies will raise costs for prospective home buyers.
"The cost of conventional mortgages is going to go up," he told Housing Wire last week. "Also, the people selling loans to Fannie and Freddie today may become their competitors. Competitively, it's going to be a very interesting situation."
-Chris Matthews
This content was created by MarketWatch, which is operated by Dow Jones & Co. MarketWatch is published independently from Dow Jones Newswires and The Wall Street Journal.
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
12-17-24 1501ET
Copyright (c) 2024 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
navycmdr
8時間前
$Boooom ! - FHFA Releases Update of Enterprise Sales of Non-Performing Loans
The latest report on the transactions by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, intended to
transfer credit risk and improve outcomes for borrowers,
reflects a steady drop in delinquencies since the pandemic !
for immediate release - 12/17/2024
The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) today released a report on non-performing loans (NPLs) sold by by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the Enterprises) through the first half of 2024. The Enterprise Non-Performing Loan Sales Report also provides information about how NPL sales through December 31, 2023, led to better outcomes for borrowers.
Since the program’s inception in 2014, the report shows, the Enterprises have sold 171,333 NPLs with a total (UPB) of $31.4 billion through June 30, 2024.
The loans included in these NPL sales had an average delinquency of 2.8 years and an average current mark-to-market loan-to-value (LTV) ratio of 82 percent.Foreclosure was avoided for borrowers in 40 percent of 165,643 loans sold.
The report shows that the Enterprises sold 2,969 NPLs (defined as loans one year or more delinquent) during the first two quarters of 2024 ending June 30, representing an unpaid principal balance (UPB) of $500 million.
As delinquencies have eased since the COVID-19 pandemic and the implementation of new loss mitigation programs, the volume of NPL sales has also declined and stabilized since 2021, when the Enterprises sold 24,164 NPLs totaling an UPB of $4.1 billion. At June 30, loans one year or more delinquent in Enterprise portfolios totaled 36,700, an 82 percent decline from the 208,147 NPLs in portfolio at the end of 2021.
The Non-Performing Loan Sales program reduces the number of deeply delinquent loans in the Enterprises’ portfolios and transfers credit risk to the private sector. FHFA and the Enterprises impose requirements on NPL buyers designed to achieve more favorable outcomes for borrowers than foreclosure. At Dec. 31, 2023, the Enterprises held 42,667 NPLs in portfolio, of which 7 percent were sold and settled during the first half of 2024.
Highlights of NPL Sales Between 2014 – June 30, 2024:
The average delinquency for pools sold has ranged from 1.1 years to 6.2 years.
Fannie Mae has sold 117,437 loans with an aggregate UPB of $21.1 billion, an average delinquency of 2.8 years, and an average LTV ratio of 79 percent.
Freddie Mac has sold 53,896 loans with an aggregate UPB of $10.3 billion, an average delinquency of 2.7 years, and an average LTV ratio of 88 percent.
NPLs in New Jersey, New York, and Florida represent 39.4 percent of the NPLs sold.
Borrower Outcome Highlights:
The borrower outcomes in the report are based on 165,643 NPLs since the program began in 2014 that were settled by December 31, 2023, and reported as of June 30, 2024.
NPLS that were sold during the life of the program have resulted in fewer foreclosures as compared to similarly delinquent Enterprise NPLs that were not sold.
Of the NPL sales on borrower-occupied homes, 47 percent have resulted in foreclosure avoidance, which exceeded the rates for both non-borrower-occupied (44.7 percent) and vacant (17.7 percent).
NPLs on vacant homes have had a much higher rate of foreclosure (75.7 percent) than that on borrower-occupied properties (28.9 percent) and non-borrower-occupied properties (31.8 percent). Foreclosures on vacant homes typically improve neighborhood stability and reduce blight as the homes are sold or rented to new occupants.
The average UPB of NPLs sold was $183,055.
FHFA will continue to provide reporting on NPL sale borrower outcomes on an ongoing basis.
Read the latest Non-Performing Loan Sales Report. For more information, visit the NPL Sales page on FHFA.gov.
navycmdr
8時間前
$Boooom ! - Five Years Later, the $UMBS is $Paying $Dividends for $Housing $Finance
Corporate | December 17, 2024
Barbara Pak - Freddie Mac Vice President, Single-Family Securitization
As we mark the five-year anniversary of the Uniform Mortgage-Backed Security (UMBS), we reflect on its history, its benefits and our commitment to it in the years ahead.
In 2019, trades of the newly launched UMBS were recorded for the first time. The UMBS market, created in collaboration between Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, borrowed from established market standards but relied on the Enterprises’ expertise to create a single mortgage-backed security that resulted in a more competitive environment and greater market liquidity for investors.
The History of the Uniform Mortgage-Backed Security Market
The concept of a unified mortgage securities market was proposed to increase competitiveness and liquidity in the to-be-announced (TBA) market, where Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae mortgage-backed securities trade. The ultimate goal was to maintain or lower the cost of housing finance, which has potential benefits for homebuyers.
But there was work to be done to turn the concept into a reality.
A single, unified market would not be possible if the securities issued by the Enterprises were valued differently by market participants. To solve for this, we worked to ensure the performance of Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae securities were comparable. This involved two core efforts:
A focus on the loans Freddie Mac purchased: If key characteristics were not aligned between loans pooled by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the resulting security would prepay differently, and prepayment speeds affect the value investors derive from the security. So we began to actively monitor and manage characteristics, including Weighted Average Coupon, loan size and seller mix, to ensure alignment.
A focus on how Freddie Mac packaged its loans: Freddie Mac started pooling loans in larger MultiLender pools with loans from many lenders to manage the prepayment risk present in some single-lender pools. The market approved of this strategy and demand for these large, liquid, predictable and diversified pools increased.
The final hurdle was the maintenance of alignment of UMBS prepayment rates over time. In February 2019, FHFA issued the Uniform Mortgage-Backed Securities Rule to regulate the alignment of prepayment rates through established thresholds and required monitoring and reporting of any misalignment.
This rule, as well as additional regulatory requirements implemented since 2019, have helped address market concerns and allowed market participants to accept the UMBS construct.
UMBS Benefits
Since we introduced the UMBS five years ago, its benefits both to Freddie Mac and the market have been clear. Specifically, markets and investors have benefitted from greater liquidity and less uncertainty around prepayments — factors that have remained aligned regardless of greater economic challenges.
Moreover, this initiative has reduced splintering of the TBA market that was occurring previously. Investors are now less likely to put stipulations, or restrictions, on trades than before UMBS, indicating they do not differentiate between the Enterprises’ UMBS. The reduction in stipulated trading also amplifies the liquidity benefit of the UMBS market.
The UMBS also has eliminated the price differential that previously existed between the securities issued by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae.
What’s more, UMBS performance benefits have been achieved without any disruptions to the market. This could be clearly seen during the refinance wave of 2020 and early 2021, which featured some of the highest levels of sustained prepayment rates ever recorded. Despite this, the divergence between prepayment rates at Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae was much more muted than in previous refinance waves. This result is attributed to work done in support of the UMBS.
Those who are buying a home or refinancing their mortgage benefit from UMBS as well. Overall, the UMBS has increased the liquidity of the Enterprises’ most widely traded security. Greater liquidity lowers the price investors demand when they purchase the security, which potentially helps keep interest rates lower on the home purchase and refinance loans that back those securities.
Our Continued Commitment
As we look ahead, we remain committed to our alignment on UMBS, which is key to the success of the market. But we also expect to innovate, looking for new ways to better serve borrowers, lenders and investors.
In doing so, we will consider potential impacts to the UMBS market because, if the past five years are any indication, the market has become important mechanism for helping Freddie Mac provide liquidity to the U.S. housing market.