Ethereum Yet To Shake Off 2022 Bear Hangover: Glassnode
2023年11月3日 - 8:00AM
NEWSBTC
Data from Glassnode shows Ethereum is still experiencing negative
momentum despite the year-to-date rise that the asset has observed.
Ethereum MVRV Ratio Has Recently Indicated Negative Momentum
According to the latest weekly report from Glassnode, the MVRV
ratio has recently been below its 180-day moving average (MA). The
“Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio” refers to an
indicator that measures the ratio between the Ethereum market cap
and realized cap. The “realized cap” here is a capitalization model
for ETH that assumes the true value of any coin in circulation is
the price at which it was last moved on the blockchain. This is
unlike the market cap, of course, which calculates the asset’s
total value using the current spot price. Since the price at which
each coin was last moved on the network can be assumed to be the
price it was bought, the realized cap can be looked at as a sum of
the total capital that the investors have used to purchase ETH.
Related Reading: Solana Whales Deposit To Exchanges, Selloff
Incoming? As the MVRV ratio compares the value that the holders are
carrying right now (the market cap) against the amount that they
have invested into the cryptocurrency, it can provide us with
information about their profit/loss status. Now, here is a chart
that shows the trend in the Ethereum MVRV ratio, as well as its
180-day MA, over the last few years: The two metrics have gone
through a cross in recent days | Source: Glassnode's The Week
Onchain - Week 44, 2023 When the MVRV ratio is above the 1 mark, it
means that the average investor is sitting on some profits right
now, while it being below the level implies the dominance of loss
in the market. From the graph, it’s visible that the Ethereum MVRV
ratio observed some rise as the rally started at the start of this
year. During this period, the indicator remained above its 180-day
MA. “Periods, where the MVRV Ratio trades above this long-term
mean, indicate investor profitability is increasingly meaningful,
and is often a signal of a rising market,” explains Glassnode. In
the last few months, though, as the Ethereum price has found some
struggle, the metric has gone under its 180-day MA. The analytics
firm notes, “despite the positive market performance for ETH YTD,
by this metric the market is still experiencing negative momentum.”
Related Reading: Analyst Reveals Why Ethereum Is Underperforming
Against Bitcoin As is apparent from the chart, the Ethereum MVRV
ratio has very recently just started to break above this mark,
following the rally towards the $1,800 level. It’s still very early
in the breakout, though, so it’s unclear if it will actually
sustain there. “It seems that the hangover from the 2022 bear is
still being slowly worked through,” says the report. It’s not
something new that ETH is going through a phase like this; as the
graph highlights, the asset has also faced similar periods of
uncertainty in the past. ETH Price At the time of writing, Ethereum
is trading around $1,800, up 1% in the past week. ETH has enjoyed
some bullish momentum recently | Source: ETHUSD on TradingView
Featured image from Kanchanara on Unsplash.com, charts from
TradingView.com, Glassnode.com
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