Verde AgriTech Plc (TSX: “NPK”) (OTCQB: “AMHPF”)
("
Verde” or the “
Company”) is
pleased to announce the conclusion of the Market Study (the
“
Study”) that will underpin the preparation of the
New Pre-Feasibility Study announced by the Company on March 01,
2021 (the “
PFS”).
The Study calculated the potential Brazilian
agricultural market for potash (“Potassium Oxide”
or “K2O”),
sulphur (“Sulphur”), and the micronutrients zinc,
boron, copper and manganese (the “Micronutrients”
or “Zn, B, Cu and Mn”). Sulphur and Micronutrients
are added to Verde's multinutrient potassium fertilizer K Forte®
(the “Product”) to produce BAKS®, a product
launched by the Company on December 15, 2020, which has a higher
selling point. The additional elements contained in BAKS® allow
Verde to meet the specific demands of different crops and soil
conditions, thereby boosting the overall Brazilian market
serviceable by the Company's products.
The Study was conducted between May 2021 and
March 2022 and will be an integral part of the PFS. The PFS will
contemplate a scenario of total annual production of up to
50,000,000 tonnes per year (“tpy”) of Verde’s
Product, equivalent to 63% of the total Brazilian potash
consumption in 2021. The PFS will update the market information
included in the Cerrado Verde Project (the
“Project”).
The Pre-Feasibility Study completed in December
2017 (“2017 PFS”) evaluated the technical and
financial aspects of total annual production of up to 25,000,000
tpy of Product. The 2017 PFS assumed that a railroad connection was
needed to distribute the 25,000,000. Now, based on further and more
recent studies for the PFS, the Company has determined the
viability of using road haulage for distribution logistics of up to
23,000,000 tpy. A rail spur will only be necessary for logistics of
production exceeding such amount, therefore postponing the
construction of a railroad access and its related capex.
The PFS contemplates three distinct production
scenarios, each modelled in light of the latest Study:
- Scenario A:
Annual production of 10Mtpy.
- Scenario B:
Annual production of 23Mtpy.
- Scenario C:
Annual production of 50Mtpy.
The Company has a combined measured and
indicated mineral resource of 1.472 Mt at 9.28% K2O and an inferred
mineral resource of 1.850 million tonnes at 8.60% K2O (using a 7.5%
K2O cut-off grade)1. This amounts to 295.70 million tonnes of
potash in K2O. In 2021 Brazil’s consumption of potash in K2O was
7.92 million2.
“We find ourselves at a key juncture in the
Company’s journey, we need to choose between the path of safe
expansion or blitzscale to a massive production that supplies the
majority of Brazil’s potash consumption. The latter is a more
ambitious approach that prioritizes Brazilian farmers’ need for a
reliable and clean potash source, to help them feed the world. We
will choose not what is easier, but rather the route that is most
aligned to our very purpose: to improve the health of all people
and the planet,” said Cristiano Veloso, Verde’s Founder and
CEO.
Market Study: Pricing
Potash
The value of the Product's potash content was
calculated based on the cost of KCl, considering the applicable
logistic costs from its arrival at Brazilian ports to its final
customer. The price for KCl CFR Brazil port adopted for the Study
was estimated at US$368.65. The average delivered cost to the
farmer was calculated at US$539.16. Table 01 shows the breakdown of
KCl cost per tonne delivered to the farmer.
Table 01: Breakdown of KCl cost per tonne delivered to the
farmer
Description |
Brazil’s Weighted Average |
Amount in US$ |
Amount in R$ |
CFR Brazil Port Price |
368.65 |
1,768.35 |
Brazil Port costs3 |
25.07 |
132.87 |
Demurrage |
6.00 |
31.80 |
AFRMM4Tax |
8.75 |
46.38 |
Cost of transportation from Brazil Port to distributor |
37.21 |
197.22 |
Average margin added by distributor |
81.82 |
433.64 |
Average transportation cost from distributor to farmer |
12.00 |
63.60 |
Total |
539.16 |
2,857.57 |
Source: Tec-Fértil.
Despite the Product's inherent qualities as a
multi-nutrient product, the calculation of its price per tonne was
based on its K2O content equivalent, without contemplating the
additional nutrients and benefits that it delivers. KCl has 60% K2O
whereas the Product has 10% K2O. Therefore, considering the
concentration of potash in the Product, a farmer will pay
approximately 6 times less per tonne of Product than per tonne of
KCl. As result, the farmers would pay US$89.86 per tonne of Verde's
Product as a source of K2O.
For the purposes of the Study, the Company
assumed pricing of the Product's K2O content at a 5% discount to
conventional KCl as part of its market strategy to accelerate
Product trial and adoption across an expanding Brazilian
market.
Sulphur
The value of the Product's sulphur content was
calculated based on the sale price of sulphur from S-bentonite, a
widely available source of sulphur. The price for the Study was
estimated at US$ 410.40 per tonne of S-bentonite. The feedstock
purchased and beneficiated by Verde to produce fertilizer grade
sulphur is elemental sulphur. The price for the Study was estimated
at US$ 263.97 per tonne for the feedstock.
Table 02: Long-term price of the feedstock and
similar source of sulphur
Description |
Feedstock product |
Similar product |
Material |
Elemental sulphur |
S-bentonite |
Concentration of nutrient (%) |
99 |
90 |
Price (US$ / per percentage point per tonne of fertilizer,
“ppt”) |
2.345 |
4.566 |
Source: Tec-Fértil.
Micronutrients
The Micronutrients’ pricing was based on the
average individual amounts of each Micronutrient, in kilograms per
hectare, as applied for different crops in different regions of
Brazil based on fertilization needs and alternatives. Crops that
use the largest amount of Micronutrients are Soybeans, Corn,
Coffee, Cotton, Reforestation, and Sugarcane.
Table 03: Micronutrients’ feedstock sources for
Verde's Product
Description |
Zinc |
Boron |
Copper |
Manganese |
Feedstock |
Zinc Oxide |
Ulexite |
Copper Oxide |
Manganese Oxide |
Concentration of nutrient (%) |
20 |
10 |
20 |
55 |
Cost (US$/ppt)7 |
17.14 |
40.00 |
111.76 |
10.70 |
Source: Tec-Fértil.
Table 04: Long-term cost of similar sources of
Micronutrients including soil application cost
Description |
Zinc |
Boron |
Copper |
Manganese |
Concentration (%) |
10 |
10 |
20 |
10 |
Price (US$/ppt)8 |
40.00 |
113.00 |
135.00 |
12.00 |
Source: Tec-Fértil.
The amount paid by the farmer per tonne of
Product as a source of K2O plus sulphur and micronutrients varies
according to the intended concentration of each nutrient. A
weighted average price for this Product being a source of K2O plus
sulphur and micronutrients delivered to the farm was assumed at
US$109.19 per tonne.
Market Share
Future demand estimates for nutrients relied on
parameters of total planted area, crop and productivity. In
addition, the Study accounted for the percentage of producers that
apply each nutrient, in light of crop requirements, supply and
fertilization alternatives. These criteria were used to calculate
the demand for potash, sulphur, and micronutrients on a
state-by-state basis across Brazil.
Potash
The Study detailed the Brazilian market share
for potash that the Project will be able to supply. Table 05
presents Brazil's historical consumption of K2O from 2000 to 2020,
and the projected consumption up to 2070, with the equivalent
amount of K Forte demand.
Table 05: Historical and projected Brazilian K2O
consumption and K Forte® equivalent
Year |
Brazilian K2O Consumption (tonnes) |
Equivalent amount of Verde’s Product 10% K2O (tonnes) |
2000 |
2,713,562 |
27,135,620 |
2010 |
3,999,706 |
39,997,060 |
2020 |
6,810,773 |
68,107,730 |
2030 |
8,358,971 |
83,589,710 |
2070 |
12,499,412 |
124,994,120 |
Sources: ANDA (potash consumption from 2000 to 2020) and
Tec-Fértil (potash demand forecast up to 2070)
Sulphur
According to the Study, the Project would be
able to supply 11.66% of the Brazilian sulphur market in Scenario
A, 27.28% in the Scenario B and 53.78% in Scenario C. Table 06
presents an estimated consumption value for sulphur in 2020, and
the projected consumption up to 2070 according to agribusiness
growth forecast.
Table 06: Brazilian sulphur consumption
Year |
Brazilian sulphur Consumption (tonnes) |
2020 |
1,794,297 |
2030 |
2,239,164 |
2070 |
3,348,286 |
Source: Tec-Fértil, 2022 (Calculation of sulphur
consumption in 2020 and sulphur demand forecast for 2070)
Micronutrients
The Study detailed the Brazilian market share
for Micronutrients that the Project will be able to supply under
the three scenarios of production, as shown in Table 07:
Table 07: Targeted market share for Zn, B, Cu
and Mn in Brazil
Micronutrient |
Zinc |
Boron |
Copper |
Manganese |
Market share |
Scenario A (10M tpy) |
12.97% |
17.61% |
12.53% |
8.66% |
Scenario B (23M tpy) |
29.43% |
37.87% |
30.46% |
24.68% |
Scenario C (50M tpy) |
55.73% |
62.68% |
54.77% |
56.06% |
Source: Tec-Fértil, 2022.
Table 08 presents an estimated consumption value
for zinc, boron, copper and manganese in 2020, and the projected
consumption up to 2070 according to agribusiness growth
forecast.
Table 08: Brazilian Zn, B, Cu and Mn
consumption
Year |
Brazilian Consumption (tonnes) |
Zinc |
Boron |
Copper |
Manganese |
2020 |
25,315 |
26,831 |
5,382 |
10,310 |
2030 |
31,967 |
34,301 |
6,793 |
13,265 |
2070 |
47,801 |
51,291 |
10,158 |
19,836 |
Source: Tec-Fértil, 2022 (Calculation of
micronutrients consumption in 2020 and micronutrients demand
forecast for 2070).
“It is hard to overstate the importance of the
Market Study because it underscores Verde's potential market growth
in what is the world's fastest expanding agricultural producer:
Brazil. More than ever, we will continue working to improve our
technologies and to ramp-up our production, aiming to establish
Verde's Products as a major brand in Brazil’s agricultural scene,”
concluded Mr. Veloso.
About Tec-Fértil
The Market Study was done by Tec-Fértil, a
leading agricultural consulting company, founded in 1997 by José
Francisco da Cunha.
Mr. Cunha holds an agronomist degree from the
School of Agriculture of the University of São Paulo ("ESALQ", from
Escola Superior de Agricultura da Universidade Luiz de Queiroz),
and postgraduate degrees in Marketing and Finance, with extensive
experience in fertilizers, soil fertility, research,
commercialization of inputs and technical support in the
agricultural sector since 1979.
Mr. Cunha’s work is committed to the environment
and focused on sustainable agriculture and the efficient and
responsible use of fertilizers.
About Verde AgriTech
Verde is an agricultural technology company that produces
fertilizers. Our purpose is to improve the health of all people and
the planet. Rooting our solutions in nature, we make agriculture
healthier, more productive, and profitable.
Corporate Presentation
For further information on the Company, please view
shareholders’ deck:
https://verde.docsend.com/view/ey7n8ndafmgts2dz
Investors Newsletter
Subscribe to receive the Company’s updates at:
http://cloud.marketing.verde.ag/InvestorsSubscription
The last edition of the newsletter can be accessed
at: https://bit.ly/InvestorsNL-March2022
Cautionary Language and Forward-Looking
Statements
This news release contains “forward-looking information” and
“forward-looking statements” (collectively, “forward-looking
statements”) within the meaning of the applicable Canadian
securities legislation. The Cautionary Language and Forward-Looking
Statements can be accessed at this link.
For additional information please
contact:
Cristiano Veloso, President,
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Tel: +55 (31) 3245 0205; Email:
investor@verde.ag
www.investor.verde.ag | www.supergreensand.com |
www.verde.ag
1 As per the National Instrument 43-101 Standards of Disclosure
for Mineral Projects within Canada ("NI 43 -101"), filed on SEDAR
in 2017.2 Union of the Agricultural Fertilizers and Correctives
Industry, in the State of São Paulo (“SIACESP”, from Sindicato da
Indústria de Fertilizantes e Corretivos Agropecuários, no Estado de
São Paulo).3 The costs of ports and transport from the port to the
distributor are represented by the weighted average considering the
demand in tonnes for each one of the ports in Brazil.4 Additional
Freight for the Renewal of the Merchant Marine. This is an
additional charge on freight levied by Brazilian and foreign
shipping companies operating in Brazilian ports based on the bill
of lading and the cargo manifest.5 Taxes and logistical costs
already included in the feedstock acquisition value. Long-term cost
per tonne of elemental sulphur = US$ 263.97.6 Sulphur is
predominantly applied as an additive to macronutrient formulations
(such as N, P and K). Therefore, the nutrient’s logistical and
application costs are considered in the formulations of the
products in which they are found. Long-term cost per tonne of
S-Bentonite = US$ 410.40.7 Long-term cost per tonne of feedstock:
Zinc Oxide = US$ 342.80; Ulexite = US$ 400.00; Copper Oxide = US$
2,235.20; and Manganese Oxide = US$ 588.50.8 Long-term cost per
tonne of similar product including soil application cost:
Granulated zinc = US$ 400.00; Granulated boron = US$ 1,130.00;
Granulated copper = US$ 2,700.00; and Granulated manganese = US$
120.00.
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