47% OF VOTERS APPROVE OF HARRIS' PERFORMANCE AS
VICE PRESIDENT BUT 52% APPROVE OF JOB TRUMP DID AS
PRESIDENT
NEW
YORK and CAMBRIDGE,
Mass., Sept. 9, 2024 /PRNewswire/
-- Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the
September Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration
between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.
The presidential horse race now sits at 50-50. Harris'
favorability and job approval ratings remain at 47%, while Trump
holds a 47% favorability rating and 52% job approval rating.
Voters believe Harris would do a better job on abortion, climate
change, and racial equality, while Trump would do a better job on
the economy, immigration, crime, and China. The poll also covers public opinion on
the economy and foreign policy. Download key results here.
"Harris has drawn to dead even but Trump has an edge in the
underlying numbers given his higher job approval and the overall
low approval of the Biden administration," said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS /
Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO.
CONGRESSIONAL AND PRESIDENTIAL HORSE RACES BOTH
NECK-AND-NECK
- The presidential horse race is tied at 50-50.
- Both presidential candidates are winning their respective party
bases: male (50%), white (54%), and rural (59%) voters favor Trump,
while Black (71%), urban (57%), and college-educated (52%) voters
favor Harris. Independent voters are split almost evenly and 33% of
them say they are still weighing their final choice.
- 50% of Hispanic voters say they will vote for Harris, while 43%
say they will vote for Trump — only a 7-point gap. 7% of Hispanic
voters say they are still unsure.
CANDIDATES ARE PERCEIVED AS WIDELY DIFFERENT ON THE
ISSUES
- Major differences emerged between how voters see Trump and how
they see Harris on the issues. Harris is seen more often than not
as favoring open borders, compassionate enforcement of laws, free
healthcare to immigrants, and the switch to electric vehicles.
Trump is seen as a stronger ally to Israel, harsher on China, and more of a defender of free speech
on social media than Harris.
- Trump is seen as favoring a national ban on abortion while
Harris is seen as opposing such a ban.
- 49% of voters say Harris is to the left of them politically,
while 50% say Trump is to the right of them politically.
LESS THAN HALF OF VOTERS APPROVE OF CURRENT
ADMINISTRATION
- Biden approval rating stayed steady at 42% from July. Among
minority voters, 66% of Black voters approve, but only 39% of
Hispanic voters approve.
- Less than half of voters approve of Biden's performance across
all issues, with racial equity his highest (47%) and the
Israel-Hamas conflict his lowest (34%).
- 47% of voters approve of the job Harris is doing as Vice
President, with high approval from Democrats (87%), Black (71%),
and urban (60%) voters.
PERCEPTIONS TOWARD ECONOMY REMAIN PESSIMISTIC
- 63% of voters believe the U.S. economy is on the wrong track
and 62% characterize it as weak, consistent with perceptions over
the past year.
- 42% of voters named inflation as the most important issue
facing the country today, up 5 points from July.
- 48% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting
worse, especially among female (53%), 55-64 year-old (55%), and
rural (57%) voters.
SUPPORT FOR ISRAEL OVER
HAMAS UNCHANGED; YOUNG VOTERS SEEM UNINFORMED ON VENEZUELA ELECTIONS AND MANY FAVOR
MADURO
- 69% of voters say a ceasefire of the Israel-Hamas war should
only happen after Hamas is removed from power and all hostages are
released (ages 18-24: 45%; ages 65+: 84%). When asked to choose
between Israel and Hamas without
the choice to remain undecided, 79% continue to favor Israel while 21% favor Hamas.
- 71% of voters say the execution of six hostages was the fault
of Hamas over that of the Israeli government.
- More than half of voters have at least heard about the
Venezuelan election, but 38% of voters say the Venezuelan election
was not stolen by incumbent President Nicolás Maduro (ages 18-24:
49%; ages 25-34: 48%; ages 65+: 27%).
- 57% of voters say they support the protesters in Venezuela, and 60% support U.S. sanctions on
Venezuela for allegations of
election fraud, but 56% believe the U.S. government
should not engage in another international issue.
The September Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted
online within the United States on
September 4-5, 2024, among 2,358
registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the
Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/
or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast
platforms.
About The Harris Poll & HarrisX
The Harris
Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives
to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders
to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary
areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting
brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media
through public relations research. One of the longest-running
surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked
public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and
is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding
company built to transform marketing.
HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data
analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S.
and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100
companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and
philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster
of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
About the Harvard Center for American Political
Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to
and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.
Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists,
historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences
at Harvard University, CAPS drives
discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all
aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research
using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis,
social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often
cooperates with other Harvard centers
to support research training and encourage cross-national research
about the United States in
comparative and global contexts. More information at
https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.
Contact:
Kara Gelber
pr@stagwellglobal.com
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SOURCE Stagwell Inc.