STRATEGIC REPORT
CHAIRMAN'S STATEMENT
The financial year ending September
2024 has been a successful one for your Company's Liquid Endowment
Strategy with the Net Asset Value ("NAV") with debt at fair value
growing by 18.3%. The declared quarterly dividend payments totalled
8.0 pence per share during the year resulting in a NAV total return
to shareholders of 21.5%. The share price traded at an average
discount to NAV of 12.2% during the year and at the end of
September the discount was 17.4%.
Each of the three core strategies
within the Liquid Endowment Strategy, namely External Managers,
Direct Investments and Special Investments, added meaningfully to
the overall returns. The low correlation of performance between the
forty-two holdings in the portfolio has been retained through the
year, giving the Board confidence in the strategy that was approved
by the Shareholders in January 2023.
Markets remained volatile during the
Company's financial year which began with a strong upward move in
global equity indices led by an expansion in the valuation multiple
of a small group of US mega-cap growth stocks. Towards the end of
the year, there were sharp declines in equity prices during early
August led by the Bank of Japan's decision to raise interest rates
to ease the pressure on the Japanese Yen. This was followed by a
rapid recovery in many markets during September following the
Chinese Government 's intervention to stimulate their
economy.
Whilst disparate in nature and
geography, these significant market events during the year typify
the dramatic change, as your Board sees it, to the market
environment which the Company must address. For over twenty years a
key driver has been the downward trend in interest rates which have
been below inflation for much of the time since the 2008 financial
crash. During this period of relatively inexpensive capital,
Governments have run substantial fiscal deficits and companies have
developed long, low-cost supply chains that proved to be
susceptible to geopolitical risk.
These trends appear at least to be
in question and financial market reaction has been volatile and
often driven more by decisions focused on domestic issues in
individual countries than by international consensus. Greater
inflationary pressure and higher cost of capital seem likely
consequences of this dislocation. Whilst both offer opportunities
in financial markets, they may not be consistent with the mean
reversion approach that has been the core of many successful
investment strategies for some time.
A flexible approach that focusses in
detail on specific opportunities which are sufficiently liquid both
to exploit identified situations and to minimise risk of extended
exposure when conditions change for the worse, is consistent with
such a dislocation. At the time of the manager review in late 2022
the Board focused on identifying an endowment style strategy that
would enable the Company to grow over time through strong
performance, developing the Company's culture and clear
differentiation that uses the benefits of the investment trust
structure. The results to date give the Board confidence that the
decision to appoint Marylebone Partners was the correct one for the
current market environment and to deliver on the target of 4% above
UK CPI over five-year periods.
As previously mentioned, the
investment approach includes three complementary strategies
comprising, as a percentage of total assets, at September 2024:
External Managers (63.7%), Direct Investments (23.7%) and Special
Investments (17.0%). The Company also held UK Gilts (5.3%), Cash
(2.3%) and other net current assets and debenture of -12.0%. Whilst
remaining equity‑centric, the drivers of the investments are
fundamental, idiosyncratic and generally not
macro‑predicated.
During the year four Special
Investments, where the underlying
assets are co-investments in the securities of substantial public
companies, have been reclassified from
Level 3 to Level 2 in the Fair Value Hierarchy set out in Note 23
of this report. Whilst the instruments
in which Majedie is invested have restricted liquidity, the
individual investments underlying each of these Projects are single
active listed securities with observable prices on active quoted
markets. The Board has decided that
this is the correct classification of these assets both from a
technical accounting position and to align with the Liquid
Endowment Strategy.
The Investment Manager's report
covers the detail of the investment portfolio and the drivers of
performance. The Board has been encouraged by the relative
consistency of results through the year and by the extent of
research made available on each investment thesis. The relationship
with Marylebone Partners has developed well through this year in
both of its roles as Manager and those under the AIFMD.
It is a core function of an
investment trust Board to bear down on costs where possible. The
Company's Ongoing Charges Figure ("OCF") measured solely on the
costs of running the Company fell from 1.6% in 2023 to 1.4% in
2024. The OCF including the cost of investing in External Managers
was 2.4% in 2024. The Board understands that the skills in those
specialist areas in which the External Managers invest requires
substantial original research work which inevitably incurs
additional cost. Additionally the Board notes that the costs
associated with the External Managers is expected to fall over time
as the exposure to Special Investments grows, as they typically
have lower management fees.
The Company has an outstanding
Debenture of £20.7m with a coupon of 7.25% that is repayable in
March 2025. Following discussion with Marylebone the Board has
concluded that it will not replace this structural gearing. Instead
the Board is negotiating a smaller Revolving Credit Facility to
allow a more flexible approach to employing leverage within the
Company's operations.
Juniper Partners has taken on the
roles of Administrator and Company Secretary seamlessly and the new
Auditors from Johnston Carmichael have ensured an efficient and
timely process to the audit.
Heinrich Merz joined the Board in
March 2024. His deep experience as a leading practitioner in the
absolute return and alternative investment industry has already
made a substantial contribution to the Majedie Board. Otherwise the
Board has enjoyed a year of stability and I am grateful for the
commitment and wise counsel of my colleagues.
Considerable focus has been placed
through the year on the development of the shareholder base to
enable expansion in the future, which was one of the key aims of
the Manager Review in 2022. Significant additions to the
shareholder list have occurred during the year and the Company
remains fortunate in having a supportive Barlow family shareholder
group. The Marylebone team responsible for this activity has grown
and the results from the Investor Day in June 2024, greater
presence on social media and increased marketing through trade
press and retail platforms have been helpful in developing this
important step towards growth.
Whilst equity markets globally are
generally close to all-time highs, bond markets are more subdued
due to the persistence of inflationary pressure. Following the
super‑election year of 2024 in which over 60 countries will have
had polls, geopolitical stability appears no closer. Against this
background there are both significant risks and opportunities
facing financial markets. Majedie's Liquid Endowment strategy will
continue to focus on those investment ideas where the Manager's
analysis has determined the greatest conviction of strong returns,
together with resilience to unforeseen events and low correlation
between portfolio positions.
This year's AGM will be held at The
City of London Club, 19 Old Broad Street, London EC2N 1DS at 12.00
noon on Wednesday 19th February 2025. The Investment Manager will
present the details of the portfolio, its strategy and outlook. My
colleagues and I look forward to welcoming shareholders to that
meeting. Following the AGM the Investment Manager's presentation
will be available on the Company's website for those who cannot
attend.
In the meantime, I thank you for
both trusting and supporting Majedie Investments.
Christopher D Getley
Chairman
20 December 2024
INVESTMENT MANAGER'S REPORT
Investment Strategy
As fundamental active investors, we
believe that markets are not always efficient at discounting the
value of future cash flows that accrue to the long-term owner of an
asset. However, dislocations can sometimes arise as the result of
macro influences, behavioural biases, or because participants
struggle to process new information in real time.
These dislocations create
opportunities for us to add value. Our process is designed to
identify assets that are mispriced relative to their intrinsic
value and take advantage through our team's fundamental analysis
and subjective judgment.
Majedie's investment trust structure
is well suited to an unconstrained, benchmark agnostic mandate.
When we feel strongly about the risk-adjusted return potential of a
situation, we will pursue it with conviction.
Our discipline about what not to
invest in is just as important. We will not allocate to areas or
strategies outside our sphere of competence, nor to situations
where outcomes are predicated on unknowable extraneous variables
such as moves in currencies or interest rates. We do not allocate
to exotic markets, macro-driven situations, quantitative strategies
or complex instruments.
The Liquid Endowment Strategy is
designed to emulate the long-term fundamental mindset that has
driven the success of the elite university endowments in the United
States. With equities at their heart, and minimal exposure to
assets where the return expectations are lower, , these programmes
have harnessed differentiated performance from long-term
fundamental strategies. However, where we differ for Majedie is by
choosing not to allocate to deeply illiquid strategies such as
private equity, venture capital or real estate. We believe it is
possible to achieve superior returns without locking up capital for
multi-year periods or investing in assets where pricing is
subjective.
The closed ended nature of the
investment trust structure enables us to invest for the long-term,
in the knowledge that we will not be forced to monetise invested
positions before they have reached our expectation of fair
value.
We believe in the power of an
actively managed portfolio that combines three strategies, each
fighting for capital.
Grossed up net equity exposure as of 30 September
2024
Regional Exposure
|
North America
|
53.6%
|
Europe
|
35.1%
|
Emerging Markets (inc
Asia)
|
6.5%
|
Asia Pacific
|
3.5%
|
Japan
|
1.3%
|
Sector Exposure >5%
|
Industrials
|
20.7%
|
Information Technology
|
19.7%
|
Materials
|
18.9%
|
Health Care
|
13.3%
|
Consumer Discretionary
|
9.4%
|
Cash & Equivalents
|
5.9%
|
Other
|
12.1%
|
Performance Highlights
The portfolio's net asset value
(NAV) per share total return for the financial year ending 30th
September 2024 was +21.5%.
External Managers led the way, with
the equity-centric component (approximately half of the total)
contributing over +1000bps. The Helikon Long/Short Equity Fund made the
biggest contribution to performance at +369bps. The Praesidium Strategic Software Opportunities
Fund and Paradigm
BioCapital Partners Fund both contributed over
+150bps.
These returns were supplemented by
absolute-return managers, who made a largely uncorrelated
contribution of over 450bps. Each of the six specialist credit
funds within this part of the portfolio performed well, in
particular the Millstreet Credit
Offshore Fund and the Silver Point Capital Offshore Fund.
While the Contrarian Emerging
Markets Offshore Fund was the best-performing
absolute-return manager, contributing over +185bps as various
positive catalysts played out in Latin American
positions.
Although Direct Investments achieved
positive absolute returns, the performance of this part of the
portfolio lagged the markets because we chose not to own any of the
mega-cap growth stocks that led the indices, in our opinion it
makes our current investments even more attractive on a
risk-adjusted basis. Looking forward, we believe many of the most
compelling equity investments lie in quality stocks that have been
largely ignored by the market.
The main contributors were
Westinghouse Air Brake
Technologies Corp at +100bps, Global X Copper Miners ETF at +72bps
and SS&C Technologies Holdings
Inc, which added +59bps. Evolent Health Inc, Basic-Fit NV, Alight Inc and United Health Group detracted from
performance.
The contribution from Special
Investments was positive, despite the fact we have yet to reach our
initial target allocation of 20% of the total portfolio. Partly,
this is because some investments appreciated towards fair value
sooner than expected, so cash came back to us faster than
anticipated. More significantly, we have been - and will remain -
highly selective when making special investments. We turn down five
ideas for every one that makes the grade.
In recent months we monetised our
investment in a co-investment in the public equity of Shack Shake Inc for an internal rate of
return (IRR) of 50% and a 1.5x multiple of invested capital (MOIC)
over 18 months. We exited a co-investment in Metro Bank Plc Senior Non-Preferred
MREL-eligible Bonds for an IRR of 19.8% and a MOIC of 1.3x.
An investment in the public equity of Alkami Inc. was also realised for a
strong gain. A co-investment in the public equity of Concentrix Corp. was the only
meaningful detractor.
The
Portfolio
External Managers
We have been identifying and
evaluating funds managed by exceptional fundamental investors for
over two decades. Each manager we select for the Majedie portfolio
has undergone a rigorous quantitative and qualitative selection
process and is a specialist in a sector, region or style category
that we consider structurally inefficient and, therefore,
opportunity rich. We do not invest in managers who pursue a
generalist approach. Most of our managers pursue equities
strategies, but the portfolio also has a significant allocation to
specialist credit strategies.
We believe alignment of interests
and motivation are important and we tend to favour managers who
operate within boutique, owner-operated firms. As they are
investment led, their strategies are sometimes capacity constrained
and Majedie can therefore be a way to access otherwise closed
funds. The managers that feature in the Majedie portfolio rarely
feature in the portfolios managed by our peers.
External Managers
|
Allocation Range
|
30%-60%
|
Portfolio Allocation GBP
|
96.6m
|
Current Allocation
|
63.7%
|
Number of Holdings
|
14
|
Distinguishing Features
|
Global Network of leading specialist
funds
|
Owner operated boutiques, no
products
|
Capitalising on structural
inefficiencies
|
Fundamental strategies, skill-based
returns
|
Absolute Return
|
Specialist
Credit1
|
29.1%
|
Equity Centric
|
Regional
Specialists2
|
12.8%
|
Sector
Specialists3
|
9.4%
|
Style
Specialists4
|
5.9%
|
1. Specialist
Credit: an investment strategy that focuses on specific segments of
the credit market, utilising specialist knowledge and expertise in
specific credit sectors with the aim of achieving higher returns
than traditional fixed income investments.
2. Regional
Specialists: an Investment Manager who focuses on investment
opportunities within a specific geographical area or
region.
3. Sector
Specialists: an Investment Manager that focuses on investment
opportunities within a specific industry or sector of the
economy.
4. Style Specialist:
an Investment Manager who focuses a particular style of investing.
Examples include a focus on market capitalisation (small-cap.
mid-cap or large-cap), or a growth versus value
orientation.
Source: Marylebone Partners LLP, as
of September 2024
The Portfolio held 18 funds managed
by leading investors in their respective niches over the year. At
the year end the Portfolio held 14 funds.
External Managers with an
equity-centric profile have added value through their stock picking
in areas that include mid-cap Biotechnology (Paradigm BioCapital Partners) and
Software (Praesidium Strategic
Software Opportunities Fund). It is notable that the
Perseverance DXF Value Feeder
Fund - a specialist in Greater China - performed well in
what were wildly diverging conditions for local markets over the
course of the year.
Largest Five Equity Centric External Manager Holdings as of 30
September 2024
|
Security
|
Position Size
|
Expertise
|
Geography
|
Style
|
Helikon Long Short Equity
Fund
|
6.2%
|
Special Situations
|
Europe
|
Long bias
|
Praesidium Strategic Software
Opportunities Offshore Fund
|
5.5%
|
Software
|
United States
|
Long bias
|
Paradigm BioCapital Partners
Fund
|
5.4%
|
Bio Tech
|
U.S. - centric
|
Long bias
|
Castleknight Offshore Fund
|
4.9%
|
Special Situations
|
U.S. - centric
|
Long bias
|
Perserverance DXF Value Feeder
Fund
|
4.7%
|
Greater China
|
Asia
|
Long only
|
Alongside the equity-centric
managers, we have allocated 50% of the External Manager
sub-portfolio to specialist credit funds, with an emphasis on
process-driven stressed and distressed debt. Not only do we believe
the potential returns are greater here than from passive credit
strategies, but the managers can drive outcomes through their
actions, making this a higher quality and lower risk way of
investing in the current credit environment.
Despite much tighter spreads on
corporate credit than this time a year ago, we continue to see
positive risk adjusted return potential from our managers in this
area.
Largest Five Specialist Credit External Managers as of 30
September 2024
|
Security
|
Position Size
|
Expertise
|
Geography
|
Style
|
Silver Point Capital Offshore
Fund
|
6.5%
|
Stressed/Distressed
|
Global
|
Absolute Return
|
Millstreet Credit Offshore
Fund
|
6.4%
|
High Yield
|
U.S.
|
Absolute Return
|
Contrarian Emerging Markets Offshore
Fund
|
6.4%
|
Emerging Market Credit
|
Emerging Markets
|
Absolute Return
|
CQS Credit Multi-Asset
Fund
|
4.5%
|
Liquid Credit
|
Global
|
Absolute Return
|
Eicos Fund
|
4.3%
|
High Yield
|
Europe
|
Absolute Return
|
We added three new managers last
year, exiting other lower conviction positions to make room.
Strategic Capital's Japan-Up
Fund was the most recent addition, the culmination of a
year-long search for an exceptional country specialist manager.
Strategic Capital is regarded as a pioneer of shareholder activism
in Japan. We believe they have the tools and resolve to unlock
value from a handful of entrenched small and midcap companies. They
have been doing so to great effect since 2012, regardless of the
direction in which Japan's macro winds are blowing. In addition, we
added two specialist credit funds: CQS Credit Multi-Asset Fund and Context Partners Offshore
Fund.
Case Study: The Helikon Long/Short Equity
Fund
Fund Launch
|
2020
|
Firm AUM Euro
|
3.6bn
|
Strategy AUM Euro
|
3.6bn
|
Helikon Investments manages a
European 'special situations' fund, launched in 2020. The firm is
London-based with a research office in Milan. Under CIO Federico
Riggio, the same team ran a successful strategy when at Kairos, a
part of Julius Baer. The team has been together since
2008.
Helikon's investment philosophy is
consistent with our own. Riggio and his team will look through the
short-term noise and volatility created by other market
participants and seek to take advantage of it. Their competitive
advantage comes from investing with a business owner's mindset in
high-quality businesses, at what they see as a significant discount
to intrinsic value. The fact that European markets are
characterised by ongoing dislocations between price and
fundamentals creates an enduring opportunity for an investor like
Helikon.
Each of the fund's investments can
be described as a 'special situation', with idiosyncratic drivers
and an identifiable reason for the mispricing. The fund invests
across the market capitalisation spectrum, with a focus on some of
the less glamorous sectors such as Financials, Utilities,
Materials, Real Estate and Energy. The strategy is long-biased
(with targeted shorting of bad businesses that do not need to
exist), and capital is concentrated on 'best ideas'
only.
Performance
Annualised since inception
|
46.5%
|
Standard deviation
|
27.8%
|
Beta (ACWI MSCI)
|
1.1
|
Correlation (Euro Stoxx
600)
|
0.8
|
Source: Marylebone Partners
LLP
Direct Investments
We are long-term direct investors in
a small number of rigorously researched stocks, with attractive
growth, profitability, and quality characteristics. Our team seeks
situations where a company's earnings potential, positive change or
strategic value is not appreciated by the markets and valuation
plays an important part of our assessment. Once again, the
composition of our Direct Investments book looks very different to
major indices, or the portfolios managed by our peers.
There is no structural or style or
factor bias to our direct investments, although companies must
exhibit attractive growth, profitability and quality
characteristics. We seek nonconsensual situations representing
unappreciated earnings potential, misunderstood change or
strategic value.
Direct Investments
|
Allocation Range
|
10%-30%
|
Portfolio Allocation GBP
|
35.9m
|
Current Allocation
|
23.7%
|
Number of holdings
|
12
|
Our research focuses on evaluating
four building blocks:
Four
building blocks
|
Revenue Growth
|
Economic Profitability
|
Valuation
|
Business Quality
|
Our direct investments in public
equities exhibit the characteristics we believe drive
outperformance, namely good top-line growth prospects, excellent
levels of business profitability, and strong management teams with
a history of accretive capital allocation. We also pay close
attention to valuation, which has led us towards an eclectic group
of stocks that look very different in profile to the main
components of the market indices.
When investing in equities - whether
directly or through external managers - our main purpose is not to
outperform an index, but to deliver high-quality absolute returns
that exceed inflation. We are confident that if they fulfil their
potential, the return outcomes will look very favourable when
compared to other options.
A lot has been written about the
highly concentrated stock market rally of the past 18-24 months,
led by the impact of generative Artificial Intelligence ("AI") and
the growth expectations accompanying it. The development of AI is
still in its early stages, and, at this stage, there is little
comprehension of the ultimate shape it will take, or who will
monetise it. We believe the investment decisions made by the
datacentre/cloud computing 'hyper-scaler' companies are based not
so much on a conventional "return on capital" calculus but on their
leaders' vision of the future.
Given that (a) one recognises that
the AI phenomenon is 'for real' but (b) there is tremendous
uncertainty about how it will play out, we believe the most
responsible approach is to seek out opportunities that are
attractive on their own merits but have an underappreciated AI
kicker. Selectively, we also want to invest in compelling yet
unfashionable fundamental situations that have either been left
behind by the popular recent narrative or are unfairly seen as
having their business models compromised by AI. After the recent
frenzy, many of the best opportunities may be found outside the
mega-cap hyper-scalers.
The valuations of our direct
investments are undemanding, on a weighted-average basis, they have
a 2025 Free Cash Flow yield of >6% and a forward P/E ratio of
16x (a modest 1.2x our projected earnings growth rate).
Largest Five Direct Investment Holdings as of 30 September
2024
|
Security
|
Position Size
|
Sector
|
Price/Earnings (2025e)
|
Global X Copper Miners
ETF
|
4.6%
|
Commodities
|
12.8x
|
KBR Inc
|
2.5%
|
Industrial
|
14.8x
|
Computacenter plc
|
2.2%
|
Business Services
|
11.6x
|
Weir Group plc
|
2.2%
|
Industrial
|
16.9x
|
SS&C Technologies Holdings
Inc
|
2.0%
|
Software
|
13.2x
|
Source: Marylebone Partners LLP
September 2024, Factset
Case Study: Westinghouse Air Brake Technology Corporation
("Wabtec")
Wabtec represents an opportunity to
invest in a high-quality business undergoing positive change at a
valuation discount to its industry peers. The company is a leading
global provider of parts, components, equipment, and services to
the Rail industry. Its Freight division manufactures locomotives,
components and parts for freight cars, whilst its Transit division
provides parts and equipment for passenger rail services, e.g.
local city metros. Both divisions also provide after-market
services.
Company Information
|
Stock price US$
|
188.8
|
Market capitalisation US$
|
32.5bn
|
Enterprise value US$
|
26.6bn
|
Thesis points
Wabtec represents an
under-appreciated transition story as rail companies shift away
from cost-cutting, towards greater efficiency. Consensus does not
recognise the company's secular growth potential. As transport
continues to decarbonise, Wabtec provides the technology and
software solutions to minimise fuel usage and improve efficiency.
Wabtec is the first to develop a fully electric battery line-haul
locomotive. Near-term cyclical growth as rail freight volumes
improve along with demand for components, equipment, repairs,
upgrades and (high margin) services.
What we like
An opportunity to invest in a
high-quality business undergoing positive change, at a valuation
discount to its industry peers.
The potential for upward revisions
to consensus earnings estimates, driven by margin improvements and
top line growth.
On a forward price-to-earnings
multiple of 20x, Wabtec trades at a discount to railroad operators
and we model over 20% upside to our base-case estimate of fair
value.
Revenue US$
|
10.5bn
|
Net profit margin
|
14.2%
|
Net Income US$
|
1.5bn
|
Earnings per share US$c
|
7.9
|
Special Investments
Special Investments are an
opportunity to participate alongside some of the world's best
investors, in their highest conviction ideas. Sourced through our
global ideas network, they comprise co-investments, special-purpose
vehicles and thematic situations. Because they can be somewhat
volatile over shorter periods and require a degree of patience, we
have ambitious return targets for Special Investments.
Special Investments
|
Allocation Range
|
10%-40%
|
Initial Target
|
20%
|
Current Allocation
|
17.0%
|
Portfolio Allocation GBP
|
25.8m
|
Number of holdings
|
16
|
Co-investments
|
Thematic Funds
|
Special Purpose Vehicles
|
One degree of separation
|
12-36-month time horizon
|
Priced at least quarterly
|
Over the financial year, we made ten
new Special Investments, which took the portfolio weighting from 9%
to 17%.
Amongst the most recent is a
co-investment in the public equity of Orizon Valorizacao de Residuos SA, a
leading waste-management business in Brazil. Hix Capital, the
idea's sponsor, believes the company's EBITDA can double by 2030 as
assets mature and new revenue sources are monetised, alongside the
benefits of an accretive bolt-on M&A strategy. Within the same
investment tranche is a co-investment in the public equity of
CVS Health Corporation, a
U.S. healthcare company with significant turnaround potential.
Glenview Capital, the idea sponsor, points to a more disciplined
pricing within the insurance business, substantial cost-cutting and
end of value-destructive M&A. Glenview sees potential for 2-3x
return over the next three years.
A co-investment in the public equity
of VF Corporation, is an
investment in the turnaround potential of some iconic brands,
including Timberland, The North Face and Vans. Although the extent
of underinvestment and profligacy under a previous management team
was greater than Engaged Capital (the idea's sponsor) had
originally appreciated, they are encouraged by progress towards
their plan and the shares have risen on the announcement of
impressive executive appointments and the sale of Supreme Brands, a
non-core asset, for US$1.5bn.
Engaged Capital also brought us a
co-investment in the public equity of Portillo's Inc, a Chicago-based
fast-food restaurant. Here, Engaged sees tremendous upside
potential from an improvement in operational execution, better
new-store economics and operating leverage.
Thebes Capital also brought us two
Special Investments. The first was a co-investment in the public
equity and debt of Frontier
Inc., a communications company. The company was the subject
of a takeover bid by Verizon Inc and the position has been largely
monetised. The second, an investment in the public equity of
FTAI Infrastructure Inc.
FTAI is a diversified business that was spun-out of Fortress
Transportation in August 2022, comprising several attractive
transport and infrastructure assets. Thebes sees multiple catalysts
for value creation from new contracts, potential disposals and cost
efficiencies.
Largest Five Special Investment Holdings as of 30 September
2024
|
Security
|
Position Size
|
Sector
|
Geography
|
Style
|
Sachem Cove Special Opportunities
Fund (0.8%) and Global X Uranium ETF (2.0%)
|
2.8%
|
Commodities
|
Global
|
Thematic
|
FTAI Infrastructure Inc
(Qena Capital LP Class T)
|
2.0%
|
Infrastructure
|
United States
|
Co-invest
|
Portillos Inc (Engaged Capital
Co-invest XVII)
|
1.9%
|
Consumer
|
United States
|
Co-invest
|
Frontier Communications (Qena
Capital LP Class S)
|
1.8%
|
Technology
|
United States
|
Co-invest
|
VF Corporation (Engaged Capital
Co-invest XVI)
|
1.6%
|
Consumer
|
United States
|
Co-invest
|
Scalar Gauge a Dallas based manager
brought us Zuora Inc. whose
software products enable pricing, billing, payments and revenue
accounting tools for over 1,000 businesses globally. The company
was the subject of a takeover approach, which was made after
Majedie's year-end; we await the outcome of that
process.
During the year we received a
significant return of capital from a tax credit factoring strategy,
for a modest overall gain. Meanwhile, we are very upbeat about the
prospects for our thematic investment in Sachem Cove Special Opportunities Fund,
a fund that invests in smaller Uranium Companies, having rotated
our mode of expression of this idea out of the public equity of
Cameco Inc. The theme is
also expressed through the Uranium
ETF.
A co-investment in the public equity
of Concentrix Corporation,
a 'customer service and customer experience' business was brought
to us by Impactive Ballantine. Prior to our decision to invest,
Concentrix's shares had
already sold off heavily, reflecting concerns that AI will disrupt
its core operations. Impactive Ballantine believes these concerns
are misplaced, however the market is in no mood to give the benefit
of the doubt to a perceived AI 'disruptee'. The stock stands on a
single-digit PE multiple and a 20% free cash flow yield.
Case Study: Metro Bank PLC
Senior Non-Preferred MREL-eligible Bonds Idea
Sponsor
The opportunity to invest in Metro
Bank was brought to us in late 2022 by Caius Capital, a
London-based firm specialising in stressed and distressed credit
situations. Led by Antonio Batista - whom we have known since his
days at Och Ziff - Caius has considerable expertise in the
Financial Services sector.
The
Opportunity
The thesis behind the investment in
Metro Bank's October 2025, 9.5% Senior Non-Preferred MREL-eligible
bonds centred on a belief the bank was on a path back to
profitability, with improving capital ratios.
Caius believed that - under a base
case scenario - the bonds could deliver an IRR of >20% through
the 9.5% coupon and some pull-to-par. A much higher return was
possible if the company called the bonds early, most probably by
October 2024, when the instruments would otherwise have lost their
beneficial regulatory capital status. Since these bonds stood at
the top of the company's capital structure, Caius believed the
downside was limited, even if the bank was forced
to recapitalise.
The
Outcome
Despite strong operating
performance, the last of these scenarios transpired when - in
September - the regulator decided not to approve a modelling change
that would have eased the bank's capital ratio constraints. Caius
was deeply involved in subsequent negotiations with other
stakeholders, which resulted in swapping our securities for higher
paying 12% coupon bonds with an extended maturity to April 2029.
Whereas more junior parts of the capital structure were subject to
write-downs, our bonds were unimpaired largely thanks to Caius'
actions.
The bonds have subsequently rallied
strongly, helped by the announcement of the divestment of the
mortgage book, which improved its capital position. Having bought
the bonds at just over 80c, we recently exited the position at
close to par.
Notional outstanding GBP
|
525m
|
Annual coupon rate
|
12%
|
Maturity date
|
30/04/2029
|
Current price GBP
|
98.8
|
Yield to maturity
|
12.2%
|
Market Outlook
With inflation seemingly under
control, the Federal Reserve is mindful of a softening labour
market and has implied that further cuts will follow if the
unemployment rate rises to 4.5%. This, in turn, could pave the way
for lower policy rates in Europe and the U.K. With the notable
exception of Japan, the world's major central banks have commenced
an easing cycle.
It is received wisdom that, when
central banks loosen simultaneously, the implications for risk
assets are bullish. However, the current environment for investors
is more nuanced than in previous cycles because (a) U.S. markets
have already risen in anticipation of monetary easing, and (b) the
rally has been concentrated in a small number of mega-cap tech
companies. As long-duration investments, growth stocks are not
usually considered the greatest beneficiaries of lower policy rates
and steeper yield curves.
Allocators also need to evaluate the
implications of a Trump presidency on their portfolios. Although we
do not have exposure to any of the obvious Trump trades (such as
bitcoin, shale stocks or Tesla), we see a considerable upside and a
margin of safety in our underlying portfolio investments. As
interest rates fall, we expect some of the trillions of dollars
that have been earning attractive income from short-dated
government bonds and money-market funds to flow back into riskier
assets. Given the divergence in valuations while this capital has
been on the sidelines, it would not surprise us to see it come into
smaller-cap stocks, value plays and international
equities.
Our central case for the year ahead
is that GDP in the developed world will grow, albeit at a modest
pace. The fixed-income bond market warrants careful monitoring, as
rising yields on long-dated Treasuries could present the greatest
threat to equity markets.
In late September, Chinese stocks
surged when Beijing sent an unmistakable message it would
prioritise economic and social stability over ideology. These
announcements should be taken seriously. With some RMB 120 trillion
(US$ 17 trillion) locked in household savings, a recovery in
consumer confidence is essential if China's economic fortunes are
to turn. Hence, the PBOC released RMB 1 trillion (US$ 140 billion)
of liquidity by cutting its Reserve Requirement Ratio by 50 bps,
the short-term repo rate for banks by 20 bps, lowering mortgage
rates, and injecting Tier-1 capital into the state banks to provide
more liquidity for lending. While this does not quite constitute an
open-ended commitment, it is clear the authorities have changed
course.
Approximately 4% of Majedie's
portfolio is invested in China-related equities, through the
Perseverance DXF Value Fund, a specialist manager who has navigated
the recent volatility extremely well. Whilst structurally bullish,
the fund's manager is tactically very cautious. We also have a
positive view on copper, underpinned by a projected imbalance
between demand and supply. The next few years will see new appetite
from the adoption of electric vehicles, the electrification of
industry, and related transmission and distribution power-grid
investment. Meanwhile, supply will be constrained by mine
disruptions, decreasing ore grades, and the impact that
environmental considerations have on the timelines for bringing new
mines onstream.
Concluding Thoughts
Many markets, however, stand close
to all-time highs, buoyed by heavy concentration in a few
AI-related mega cap names and we see better return potential and
less risk outside of these areas. Although the uncertainty of the
U.S. presidential election has passed, we should expect a degree of
unpredictability in policy and personnel in the months and years
ahead. This, alongside uncertainty about the effectiveness of
monetary policy on slowing economies and troubling geopolitical
developments, gives us plenty of concern as 2024 draws to a close.
We will balance opportunity and risk by focusing on our highest
conviction and most resilient ideas, ensuring they are varied by
profile and return drivers.
Portfolio as at 30 September 2024
|
Market Value
(£000)
|
% of Total Assets less
Current Liabilities
|
Direct Investments
|
Global X Copper Miners
ETF
|
7,034
|
4.6%
|
KBR Inc.
|
3,813
|
2.5%
|
Computacenter plc
|
3,276
|
2.2%
|
Weir Group plc
|
3,267
|
2.2%
|
SS&C Technologies Holdings
Inc.
|
3,084
|
2.0%
|
Breedon Group plc
|
2,951
|
2.0%
|
Evolent Health Inc.
|
2,550
|
1.7%
|
IMI plc
|
2,504
|
1.7%
|
Heineken NV
|
2,175
|
1.4%
|
Basic-Fit NV
|
1,867
|
1.2%
|
Westinghouse Air Brake Technology
Corp.
|
1,765
|
1.2%
|
Cancom SE
|
1,564
|
1.0%
|
|
35,850
|
23.7%
|
|
External Managers
|
Silver Point Capital Offshore Fund
Ltd
|
9,802
|
6.5%
|
Millstreet Credit Offshore Fund
Ltd
|
9,680
|
6.4%
|
Contrarian Emerging Markets Offshore
Fund Ltd
|
9,668
|
6.4%
|
Helikon Long/Short Equity Fund
ICAV
|
9,367
|
6.2%
|
Praesidium Strategic Software
Opportunities Offshore Fund LP
|
8,294
|
5.5%
|
Paradigm BioCapital Partners Fund
Ltd
|
8,202
|
5.4%
|
CastleKnight Offshore Fund
Ltd
|
7,452
|
4.9%
|
Perseverance DXF Value Feeder Fund
Ltd
|
7,048
|
4.7%
|
CQS Credit Multi-Asset
Fund
|
6,866
|
4.5%
|
Eicos Fund SA SICAV-RAIF
|
6,571
|
4.3%
|
Context Partners Offshore Fund
Ltd
|
4,871
|
3.2%
|
Briarwood Capital (Offshore)
Ltd
|
4,806
|
3.1%
|
Engaged Capital Flagship Fund
Ltd
|
2,920
|
1.9%
|
Other External Managers
|
1,093
|
0.7%
|
|
96,640
|
63.7%
|
Special Investments
|
Qena Capital LP Class T
|
2,988
|
2.0%
|
Global X Uranium ETF
|
2,985
|
2.0%
|
Engaged Capital Co-invest XVII
LP
|
2,833
|
1.9%
|
Qena Capital LP Class S
|
2,761
|
1.8%
|
Engaged Capital Co-invest XVI
LP
|
2,370
|
1.6%
|
Orizon Valorizacao de Residuos SA
Warrants
|
2,361
|
1.6%
|
SG SPV IV LP
|
2,296
|
1.5%
|
GCM Suggestivist I Offshore Partners
LP
|
2,086
|
1.4%
|
Metro Bank 12% 30/04/29
|
1,702
|
1.0%
|
Other Special Investments
|
3,449
|
2.2%
|
|
25,831
|
17.0%
|
Fixed Interest
|
United Kingdom Gilt 5.00%
07/03/25
|
8,012
|
5.3%
|
|
|
|
Other Investments (including current assets
investments)
|
246
|
0.2%
|
Total Investments
|
166,579
|
109.9%
|
Cash and Cash Equivalents
|
3,555
|
2.3%
|
Net Current Liabilities (excluding
current assets investments)
|
(18,644)
|
(12.2%)
|
Total Assets less Current Liabilities
|
151,490
|
100.0%
|
Dan
Higgins
Marylebone Partners LLP
20 December 2024
ANNUAL GENERAL MEETING
The Company's Annual General Meeting
will be held on Wednesday 19 February 2025 at City of London Club,
19 Old Broad Street, London EC2N 1DS at 12 noon.
FURTHER INFORMATION
The Annual Report and Accounts for
the year ended 30 September 2024 can be obtained from the Company's
website at www.majedieinvestments.com.
A copy of the Annual Report and
Accounts will be submitted shortly to the National Storage
Mechanism ("NSM") and will be available for inspection at the NSM,
which is situated at: https://data.fca.org.uk/#/nsm/nationalstoragemechanism,
in accordance with DTR 6.3.5(1A) of the Financial
Conduct Authority's Disclosure Guidance and Transparency
Rules.
END
Neither the contents of the
Company's website nor the contents of any website accessible from
hyperlinks on this announcement (or any other website) is
incorporated into, or forms part of, this announcement.
LEI:
2138007QEY9DYONC2723