Antipodean Currencies Rise On China Stimulus

Antipodean currencies such as the Australia and the New Zealand dollars strengthened against their major currencies in the Asian session on Monday, as Chinese stimulus boosted risk assets and commodities.

Traders reacted positively to the additional stimulus measures from the Chinese government to spur growth in the world's second largest economy.

The Chinese government announced further steps to revive the nation's economy, with the central bank cutting interest rates and adding to stimulus measures already announced recently.

Metal stocks traded higher after three of China's largest cities relaxed rules for homebuyers and China's central bank revised the mortgage rate pricing mechanism to ease financial pressure on homeowners.

Crude oil prices traded higher as additional stimulus measures from the Chinese government eased concerns about the outlook for demand. West Texas Intermediate Crude oil futures for November added $0.51 or at $68.18 a barrel.

In economic news, total private sector credit in Australia was up 0.5 percent on month in August, the Reserve Bank of Australia said on Monday - matching expectations and unchanged from the previous month. Credit was up 5.7 percent on year in August. Housing credit rose 0.4 percent on month and 5.0 percent on year, while personal credit added 0.1 percent on month and 2.5 percent on year and business credit climbed 0.7 percent on month and 7.7 percent on year. Broad money gained 0.4 percent on month and 5.5 percent on year.

Data from Caixin showed that the manufacturing sector in China fell into contraction territory in September, with a manufacturing PMI score of 49.3. That's down from 50.4 in August.

The survey also showed that the services PMI came in at 50.3, down from 51.6 in August.

The Australia and the New Zealand dollars started trading higher against their major rivals since last Thursday.

In the Asian trading today, the Australian dollar rose to a 2-1/2-month high of 1.6093 against the euro, from Friday's closing value of 1.6171. The aussie may test resistance around the 1.59 region.

Against the U.S. and the Canadian dollars, the aussie advanced to more than 1-1/2-year highs of 0.6940 and 0.9369 from Friday's closing quotes of 0.6902 and 0.9326, respectively. If the aussie extends its uptrend, it is likely to find resistance around 0.70 against the greenback and 0.94 against the loonie.

Against the yen, the aussie edged up to 98.91 from last week's closing value of 98.14. The next possible upside target for the aussie is seen around the 107.00 region.

The NZ dollar rose to a 2-1/2-month high of 0.6375 against the U.S. dollar, more than a 3-month high of 1.7510 against the euro and a 4-day high of 1.0869 against the Australian dollar, from last week's closing quotes of 0.6340, 1.7604and 1.0885, respectively. If the kiwi extends its uptrend, it is likely to find resistance around 0.65 against the greenback, 1.74 against the euro and 1.07 against the aussie.

Against the yen, the kiwi edged up to 90.95 from Friday's closing value of 90.15. The kiwi may test resistance around the 94.00 region.

Looking ahead, the Bank of England is set to issue U.K. mortgage approvals for August. The number of mortgage approvals is expected to rise to 64,000 after an increase of 61,999 in the prior month.

In the New York session, U.S. Chicago PMI for September and U.S. Dallas fed manufacturing index for September are slated for release.

At 8:00 am ET, Destatis releases Germany's flash inflation data for September. Economists expect inflation to slow to 1.5 percent from 1.9 percent in August.

At 1:55 pm ET, U.S. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at the National Association for Business Economics event later in the day for clues to additional rate cuts.

The Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points on September 12, marking the first decrease since 2020. Traders are now positioning themselves for the U.S. central bank to cut rates by another 75-100 bps this year.

AUD vs CAD (FX:AUDCAD)
FXチャート
から 10 2024 まで 11 2024