Bottom Keeps Falling for Energy-Debt Investors
2015年12月3日 - 7:00AM
Dow Jones News
By Matt Jarzemsky
Investors targeting struggling energy companies are learning a
painful lesson: Bankruptcy isn't always the bottom.
Falling oil and natural-gas prices are continuing to hammer
energy companies that are restructuring under chapter 11
protection, stinging debt investors such as Apollo Global
Management LLC, Brookfield Asset Management Inc., Cerberus Capital
Management LP, Oaktree Capital Group LLC and Silver Point Capital
LP.
Those funds specialize in picking through bonds and loans to
find ones that trade at too deep a discount and could rebound or be
converted into equity as their issuers are restructured. But the
strategy has turned in bad results this year, showing how hard it
has been for investors to time the bottom of the energy bust.
Investors snapped up the deeply discounted loans and bonds of
companies nearing or under bankruptcy protection, including
oil-and-gas producer Samson Resources Corp. and Energy Future
Holdings Corp., the Texas power company formerly known as TXU
Corp., thinking they were near their lowest point. Yet they have
continued to fall along with oil and gas prices.
"Being too early was, in retrospect, a flaw in how
[distressed-energy investments] got executed," said David Fann,
chief executive of TorreyCove Capital Partners LLC, which advises
institutions that invest in private-equity funds.
Representatives for the investment firms declined to
comment.
The falling loan prices indicate that investors are taking a dim
view of the companies' prospects after exiting bankruptcy
protection. In the case of Energy Future and Samson, loan holders
are set to take ownership stakes in the companies after they leave
chapter 11.
The investments could recover and even deliver profits for funds
that have the ability to wait years for a turnaround. But for now,
they mark a setback for the first wave of trades tied to the
collapse in energy prices, which distressed-debt investors had
heralded as their first big investment opportunity in a multiyear
stretch of low corporate defaults and bankruptcies.
Slumping natural-gas prices stung investors who bought the debt
of Samson Resources, which filed for bankruptcy protection in
September. Silver Point and Cerberus, along with Anschutz
Investment Co., spent months negotiating a deal to back Samson's
bankruptcy plan, which would give them ownership of the Tulsa,
Okla., company after it cleans up its finances in chapter 11.
But gas prices fell after Samson filed for bankruptcy
protection, scuttling the company's original bankruptcy plan. In
October, a lawyer for the company told a bankruptcy judge that
Samson is in talks toward a new debt deal that "will not be as
attractive" to holders of the loan, bids for which have fallen 94%
this year, according to data provider Markit.
A $16 billion slice of loans issued by an Energy Future unit
hurt most by low natural-gas prices has fallen 49% this year, among
the biggest losses of U.S. corporate loans of more than $1 billion
during the period, according to Markit.
Loan holders and senior bondholders are set to take ownership of
the generation business when it emerges from chapter 11 protection.
As of Oct. 19, Apollo, Brookfield, Oaktree and Fortress Investment
Group LLC held a combined $9.5 billion of the unit's $24.4 billion
loan and bond debt set to convert to ownership, according to court
papers. It is unclear what they paid as the debt has long traded at
a discount.
The unit, Texas Competitive Electric Holdings, sells electricity
at market rates that rise and fall in tandem with gas prices. This
year's 25% drop in natural-gas prices has dimmed the unit's
outlook, prompting investors to sell the loan.
The investors declined to comment.
Some investment firms are doubling down on bets.
Apollo has been buying more of the Energy Future loan, according
to a person familiar with the matter, setting itself up for better
returns if the generation business rebounds after the company exits
bankruptcy protection.
The strategy has worked for the private-equity firm in the past.
Apollo's timely purchases of the debt of chemical producer
LyondellBasell Industries NV led to big profits after the company
got out of bankruptcy.
Apollo purchased Energy Future senior debt after the power
company's 2007 buyout by KKR & Co., TPG and Goldman Sachs Group
Inc. As of October, Apollo controlled $2.78 billion of the loans,
according to court papers.
Write to Matt Jarzemsky at matthew.jarzemsky@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
December 02, 2015 16:45 ET (21:45 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2015 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.
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