TIDMDTL

RNS Number : 0329S

Dexion Trading Limited

14 November 2011

Dexion Trading Limited ("the Company")

October Net Asset Value

The net asset value of the Company's Shares as of 31 October 2011 is as follows:-

GBP Shares

 
      NAV        MTD Performance   YTD Performance 
--------------  ----------------  ---------------- 
 135.32 pence        -0.30%            -2.07% 
--------------  ----------------  ---------------- 
 

In calculating the Company's Net Asset Value the Company's Administrator will rely solely upon the valuation of GBP denominated Permal Macro Holdings Limited ("Permal Macro") Class A shares provided by Permal Macro. The Investment Adviser and third party service providers to Permal Macro, rely on estimates of the value of Underlying Funds in which Permal Macro invests, which are provided, directly or indirectly, by the managers or administrators of those Underlying Funds and such valuations may not be considered 'independent' or may be subject to potential conflicts of interest. Such estimates may be produced as at valuation dates which do not coincide with valuation dates for Permal Macro and may be unaudited or may be subject to little verification or other due diligence and may not comply with generally accepted accounting practices or other valuation principles. The Investment Adviser may not have sufficient information to confirm or review the completeness or accuracy of information provided by those managers or administrators. In addition, these entities may not provide estimates of the value of Underlying Funds in which Permal Macro invests on a regular or timely basis or at all with the result that the values of such investments may be estimated by the Investment Adviser. Both weekly estimates and bi-monthly valuations may be based on valuations provided as of a significantly earlier date and hence the published valuation may differ materially from the actual value of Permal Macro's portfolio. Other risk factors which may be relevant to this valuation are set out in the Company's prospectus dated 12th March 2008.

Monthly Portfolio Review

Investment Adviser Portfolio Outlook

Despite the European Union's plans to address the region's sovereign debt problems managers remain sceptical, believing that the announced plans fail to address many crucial details, such as which non-European sovereigns will contribute capital to the European Financial Stability Facility ('EFSF') and how much will they contribute. Additionally, in the longer-term, much needed economic reforms (e.g. budget cuts in Italy) will present further challenges. Many managers believe that Europe is entering a recession as core growth slows. They note that the situation in the US, as shown by recent economic data, is more positive and it has become increasingly unlikely that the US will enter a double-dip recession. However, the country still faces notable headwinds, in particular a weak housing sector, a high unemployment rate and the need for continued consumer deleveraging. Managers remain more optimistic about Asia, particularly China, which they believe will successfully engineer a soft landing. Given these market conditions, a key requirement in the managers' minds is to remain nimble and flexible, and to shift their portfolios as appropriate in a highly proactive fashion.

Market Overview

Markets during October were characterised by considerable volatility as investors speculated about the potential outcome of the EU summit held at the end of the month. Investor optimism gained momentum early in the month when Germany and France took steps to recapitalise European banks. Market confidence grew further with the release of positive economic data reports in the US. When the specifics of the EU summit were finally announced, risk assets experienced a powerful rally. The EU plan included a voluntary 50% write-down on Greece's privately held debt, measures to recapitalise European banks and increasing the leverage of the EFSF.

The positive US economic data reports released during the month led to a rise in global equity markets. These reports included better than expected September US employment numbers, a lower than expected trade deficit, an increase in US consumer spending for September, and the Commerce Department's report of a 2.5% increase in GDP for Q3 2011. When the EU finally outlined the steps that they would take to tackle the Eurozone debt crisis, markets again reacted favourably and global equity markets registered a strong rebound with the Dow Jones, NASDAQ Composite and S&P 500 (with dividends reinvested) breaking into positive territory for 2011. European and Asian equity markets also rose appreciably.

As global recessionary fears receded, US bond prices began to drop, falling sharply in the middle of the month amid improving US economic data and hopes for positive developments in the Eurozone before rising in the last couple of days of the month as equities declined. Ultimately, US 10-year Treasuries declined in October, while more short-dated bonds ended the month flat. Emerging market bonds climbed in a sharp reversal of the losses that they had suffered in September.

Amid substantial FX volatility, one of the most notable currency moves was an abrupt decline of the US Dollar against many of its main counterparts, in particular the Euro, which made gains versus most of its global counterparts as European finance ministers announced a coordinated effort to recapitalise Europe's ailing banking sector. Commodity driven currencies such as the Australian Dollar and the Brazilian Real, as well as emerging market currencies, surged against the US Dollar as global growth concerns subsided and investors favoured risk assets.

The natural resources sector rallied in October as investor concerns about the European debt crisis and subsequent bailout package temporarily subsided. Additionally, fears of an impending slowdown in global growth were mitigated by further evidence that China remains on track to engineer a soft landing and that the US is not likely to enter a double dip recession. The energy sector rebounded strongly in October, with crude prices up over 17% following the 11% fall in September. Cold weather across parts of the US lifted demand for natural gas at the start of a seasonal cycle. Base metals were also up, rebounding from being oversold in September. Copper, often quoted as a proxy for global growth, was the best performing base metal, gaining over 15%. Gold and silver rallied during the month and precious metals related equities rebounded to finish the month positively. Uncertain supply in the US and stronger than expected export demand benefited agricultural prices.

Strategy Overview

Discretionary: +0.56%. Although the Portfolio's discretionary managers are generally bearish, those who were more constructive - particularly on emerging markets - registered gains from their pro-risk stance. In particular, long exposure to emerging market and commodity currencies versus the US Dollar and, to a lesser extent, long positions in global equity indices, proved rewarding. In addition, long positions in emerging market bonds, particularly in Mexico, South Africa and Brazil, proved beneficial. On the negative side, many positions that had been lucrative in September were punished in October for the more bearish managers, including long positions in US and German government bonds and long US Dollar exposure.

Systematic: -2.42%. The trend following managers suffered from the sharp risk-off to risk-on reversal that took place between September and October, encountering losses in their long global fixed income positions which had declined amid the surge in risk appetite. Losses were also registered as a result of short positions in equities. Currencies were the worst performing sector, with losses stemming from short Euro exposure. A number of non-trend following managers suffered from their long bond exposure, although some others benefited from long positions in the Australian Dollar.

Natural Resources: +2.76%.Managers benefited from the broad rally that took place across the natural resources sector, with notable gains occurring in energy. Long positions in energy-related equities proved profitable, with particularly strong gains in exploration and production companies as well as in oil services. Long positions in gold bullion, as well as gold mining companies, were also beneficial to returns.

Relative Value Arbitrage: +2.44%.Strong performance was driven primarily by long positions, which benefited from the rally in global equity markets.

 
                                                  Number of 
                                Allocation        Managers as 
                              as of 31 October        of         Performance by 
 Strategy                            %            31 October       Strategy % 
--------------------------  ------------------  -------------  ----------------- 
                                                                October     YTD 
--------------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  ------ 
 Discretionary(1)                   53                22         +0.56     -0.73 
--------------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  ------ 
 Natural Resources                   9                12         +2.76     -6.01 
--------------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  ------ 
 Relative Value Arbitrage            5                3          +2.44     +2.07 
--------------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  ------ 
 Systematic(1)                      29                12         -2.42     +1.46 
--------------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  ------ 
 Cash                                4                -            -         - 
--------------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  ------ 
 Total                              100             48(1) 
--------------------------  ------------------  -------------  ---------  ------ 
 

(1) Discretionary and Systematic have one manager in common.

Strategy returns are in US$, net of underlying manager fees only, and not inclusive of either Dexion Trading's or Permal Macro's fees and expenses.

Voting Rights and Capital

The Company's share capital consists of 97,571,896 GBP shares with voting rights. This figure may be used by shareholders as the denominator for the calculations by which they will determine if they are required to notify their interest in, or a change to their interest in the Company under the FSA's Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

Supplementary Information

Click on, or paste the following link into your web browser, to view a full review of the Dexion Trading Limited portfolio.

http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/0329S_-2011-11-14.pdf

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

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