TIDMDTL

RNS Number : 5224M

Dexion Trading Limited

17 August 2011

Dexion Trading Limited ("the Company")

July Net Asset Value

The net asset value of the Company's Shares as of 29 July 2011 is as follows:-

GBP Shares

 
      NAV        MTD Performance   YTD Performance 
--------------  ----------------  ---------------- 
 137.41 pence        +1.13%            -0.56% 
--------------  ----------------  ---------------- 
 

In calculating the Company's Net Asset Value the Company's Administrator will rely solely upon the valuation of GBP denominated Permal Macro Holdings Limited ("Permal Macro") Class A shares provided by Permal Macro. The Investment Adviser and third party service providers to Permal Macro, rely on estimates of the value of Underlying Funds in which Permal Macro invests, which are provided, directly or indirectly, by the managers or administrators of those Underlying Funds and such valuations may not be considered 'independent' or may be subject to potential conflicts of interest. Such estimates may be produced as at valuation dates which do not coincide with valuation dates for Permal Macro and may be unaudited or may be subject to little verification or other due diligence and may not comply with generally accepted accounting practices or other valuation principles. The Investment Adviser may not have sufficient information to confirm or review the completeness or accuracy of information provided by those managers or administrators. In addition, these entities may not provide estimates of the value of Underlying Funds in which Permal Macro invests on a regular or timely basis or at all with the result that the values of such investments may be estimated by the Investment Adviser. Both weekly estimates and bi-monthly valuations may be based on valuations provided as of a significantly earlier date and hence the published valuation may differ materially from the actual value of Permal Macro's portfolio. Other risk factors which may be relevant to this valuation are set out in the Company's prospectus dated 12th March 2008.

Monthly Portfolio Review

Investment Adviser Portfolio Outlook

Developments over the past month, in particular the increasing indications that the US economy is slowing and the unsatisfactory news out of Europe, has only served to highlight concerns that the global economic recovery is on an increasingly fragile path. The odds of a double-dip recession, while still unlikely, have shortened given the increasing worries surrounding high unemployment in the US and sovereign debt issues in Europe. The situation is further complicated by the fact that policy makers, especially in the developed world, are running out of options to boost their economies. Managers are more optimistic with regard to emerging market economies where they believe that policymakers will be able to engineer a soft-landing. The evolution of the global economic landscape was of some benefit to macro managers in July and continues to offer considerable trading opportunities.

Market Overview

Markets were largely characterised by the failed attempts of policy makers in the US to reach an agreement on the US debt ceiling. Market participants feared that even with an agreement the rating agencies could still downgrade the US credit rating. Data during the month did little to boost sentiment, with a big drop in US non-farm payrolls early in the month followed by a worse-than-expected US GDP number for the second quarter and a sharp downward revision for the first quarter. Simultaneously, sovereign debt issues in Europe continued to dominate headlines with the release of the European Bank stress tests, which offered little consolation as the absence of a sovereign default scenario hardly suggested that the results reflected a worst-case outcome. Despite increasing fears that the debt crisis could spread to Spain and Italy, the ECB increased rates by 25bp early in the month. An emergency EU summit later on culminated in a new comprehensive bailout package for Greece and allowed the European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF) to buy bonds in the secondary market and grant funding to any EU member to help recapitalise its banks, thereby creating a European lender of last resort.

Equity markets sold off heavily in July as the lack of clarity surrounding global growth deterred risk taking. Global equities were up at the start of the month following positive US industrials data and the ADP employment report. However, gains were offset by the US non-farm payroll report which came in significantly below expectations and the unemployment rate rose to 9.2%. The downtrend continued with contagion from the European debt crisis spreading to Italy as the capital strength of that country's banks was called into question. Stocks posted a short rally in the latter half of the month on the back of better-than-expected US housing starts and the new bailout package announced by the EU, but declined sharply towards month end as a US debt ceiling deal failed to materialise, leading to heightened concerns of a default. Managers are positioned very lightly in equities, expecting them to be highly volatile over the course of the next several months given risk-on and risk-off flows. Although some continue to believe that prolonged accommodative monetary policy will continue to be supportive of the asset classes, sentiment has been more bearish recently in light of fiscal ambiguity and poor economic data.

Global bond yields ended the month sharply lower due to safe haven buying amid indications of a moderation in global growth and uncertainty regarding the US and European debt situations. The yield on the US 10-year treasury fell by 36bp during the month with markets showing no concern over the risk of interest payments not being met. UK and European benchmark yields also fell sharply as investors sought safety. Although the EU agreement provided some optimism for European peripheral bonds with spreads narrowing significantly on the back of the announcement, doubts persisted over the ability of the package to contain further deterioration and widening resumed into month end. Many managers believe that long positions in the US fixed income market make sense in the medium-term, based on the view that growth is weak and rates will remain low. In Europe, certain managers own credit protection on the subordinated debt of some European financial institutions given the continued turmoil at the periphery. Emerging markets focused managers hold select long bond positions in countries where inflation appears to be controlled. In addition, these positions also stand to do well if a "risk event" occurs in Europe.

FX volatility was high in July given the uncertainties surrounding the US and Eurozone which altered the notion of the US Dollar and Euro being safe havens. As contagion fears in the European periphery increased on the back of a downgrade for Portugal by Moody's and increasing concern over the fiscal dynamics in Italy, the US Dollar strengthened versus the Euro at the beginning of the month, despite the ECB increasing rates by 25bps. However, the trend reversed half way through the month as the focus shifted to debt problems in the US. The US Dollar's value was further impacted by the Fed's continued dovish stance and deteriorating economic data. Given the lack of clarity, a driver of safe haven flows, the Swiss Franc and Japanese Yen both appreciated measurably during the month with the former reaching record highs against both the Euro and US Dollar. Commodity currencies also benefited from diversification away from the US Dollar, with the Australian Dollar and New Zealand Dollar reaching new highs, further benefiting from a hawkish stance from their respective central banks. Despite general risk aversion, non-Japan Asian currencies also strengthened during the month as fears of a hard landing in China decreased. The US Dollar remains the funding currency of choice as the Fed maintains its dovish stance and speculation surrounding "QE3" increases, which should serve to keep the US Dollar under pressure. Managers continue to be bullish towards emerging market currencies given the positive carry and superior growth prospects although they are aware that some of these positions have become crowded. Views on the Euro remain varied, with some managers believing that the political will to solve periphery fiscal issues will support the currency; while others believe the ongoing drama at the periphery will weigh heavily on the Euro.

The natural resources sector was up in July, with both commodities and commodity-related equities posting gains. The sector posted the majority of gains during the first half of the month, when specific supply/demand fundamentals drove the performance of individual commodities. Markets fell during the last part of the month, as concerns surrounding the European sovereign debt crisis and the US deficit debate increased investor uncertainty. Crude oil prices rose during the month, driven largely by the International Energy Agency's forecast for increased global oil demand in 2011. Base metals also posted positive returns, following several months of mixed performance. Copper rose nearly 5% due to decreasing inventories in China, a bullish signal amid concerns about a slowdown in Chinese construction. Gold continued to be the beneficiary of economic uncertainty, as concerns about a US government default drove investors to seek a safety, while silver prices increased by more than 15%. Agricultural commodities were mixed in July, as specific fundamental supply/demand data drove performance. Wheat and corn were strong performers, while cotton prices fell more than 36% amid a slowdown in Chinese cotton imports. Managers expect continued volatility from the commodities sector over the near-term given the uncertainty currently surrounding the European debt crisis, the growth slowdown in China and the US deficit debate. The long-term supply/demand fundamentals of numerous commodities remain very attractive and managers have long exposure to energy, particularly oil, as we are

entering a period of seasonally strong demand. In addition, supply is tight given the problems in the Middle East and Libyan production being offline. Managers also favour precious metals, in particular gold and silver, due to inflation fears.

Strategy Overview

Discretionary: +0.34%. On the positive side, managers continued to register gains from long exposure to government bonds in both developed markets, in particular the US, and in certain emerging markets, in particular Mexico. In the foreign exchange sector, despite significant volatility, managers made profits from short positions in the US Dollar versus commodity-related currencies and emerging market currencies. Long positions in the Swiss Franc also contributed positively to returns. The commodities sector also contributed positively to performance, in particular long positions in precious metals and corn. Attribution from equities was more mixed with some managers being impacted by long positions in US equities, based on their view that these would be supported by accommodative policy, while others benefited from actively trading both European and US equities from the long and short sides.

Systematic: +2.74%. Managers posted strong performance across both trend following and non-trend following strategies during the month. Trend following managers benefited from long fixed income positions as bonds rallied strongly throughout the month. In addition, long positions in precious metals contributed positively to performance. Fixed income positions also drove the majority of returns among the allocation to non-trend following strategies, with gains coming from yield curve flattening positions in the US and Germany. While nearly all managers within this strategy were positive for the month, one non-trend following manager posted sharp losses due to a short position in the Swiss Franc.

Natural Resources: +3.03%.Long positions in gold equities were a significant contributor to performance, as were long commodity positions throughout the precious metal sector, including silver and PGMs. Long crude oil positions (other than WTI) also contributed to gains.

Relative Value Arbitrage: +0.62%.Positive performance came from US equity market neutral exposures, with these gains being somewhat offset by losses in strategies focusing on liquidity factors.

 
                               Allocation      Number of 
                              as of 29 July    Managers as   Performance by 
 Strategy                           %          of 29 July     Strategy % 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  ----------------- 
                                                              July      YTD 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  -------  -------- 
 Discretionary(1)                  51              22         0.34     -0.24 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  -------  -------- 
 Natural Resources                 11              13         3.03     2.39 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  -------  -------- 
 Relative Value Arbitrage          5               3          0.62     4.91 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  -------  -------- 
 Systematic(1)                     30              12         2.74     0.67 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  -------  -------- 
 Cash                              3               -           -         - 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  -------  -------- 
 Total                            100            49(1) 
--------------------------  ---------------  -------------  -------  -------- 
 

(1) Discretionary and Systematic have one manager in common.

Strategy returns are in US$ and net of underlying manager fees only, and not inclusive of Dexion Trading's fees and expenses.

Voting Rights and Capital

The Company's share capital consists of 98,917,429 GBP shares with voting rights. This figure may be used by shareholders as the denominator for the calculations by which they will determine if they are required to notify their interest in, or a change to their interest in the Company under the FSA's Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

Supplementary Information

Click on, or paste the following link into your web browser, to view a full review of the Dexion Trading Limited portfolio.

http://www.rns-pdf.londonstockexchange.com/rns/5224M_-2011-8-17.pdf

This information is provided by RNS

The company news service from the London Stock Exchange

END

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