--Modelo admits to talks with AB InBev

--Says deal to expand relationship may or may not come true

--Modelo shares spike 15.6% upon resumed trade in Mexico

 
   By Amy Guthrie 
 

MEXICO CITY--Corona brewer Grupo Modelo SAB (GPMCY, GMODELO.MX) said Monday it's aware of speculation about a possible alliance between Modelo and Anheuser-Busch InBev NV (BUD, ABI.BT), while admitting that the two parties have engaged in discussions about expanding their current relationship.

The Wall Street Journal cited people familiar with the matter in reporting that AB InBev, which already owns a 50% noncontrolling stake in Modelo, is close to clinching a deal for control of the Mexican brewer. If it reaches fruition, the deal is estimated to be worth more than $12 billion and the agreement would end a contentious history between the two brewers.

Modelo shares shot 9.8% higher on the Mexican Stock Exchange in early trade, prompting the Mexican Stock Exchange to suspend the shares just 14 minutes into the session, saying that Modelo must make a statement regarding possible relevant events before the shares can be freed for trade again.

Modelo "continuously studies diverse strategic options to create value for its shareholders," the company said in its subsequent statement to the Mexican Stock Exchange. "Conversations have taken place between Modelo and AB InBev in terms of a possible operation to expand their actual relationship," the brewer added.

The Modelo statements sufficed to convince the Mexican Stock Exchange to restore trade. Modelo shares commenced trading again at 11:08 a.m. EDT, recently shooting 15.6% higher to 113.25 pesos ($8.12) each.

AB InBev issued similar statements in a press release.

Modelo brands--including top-selling U.S. import Corona Extra--are imported into the U.S. and marketed through a joint venture the company has with U.S. wine and spirits maker Constellation Brands Inc. (STZ, STZB). Modelo had net income of MXN18.4 billion in 2011, up 18% from the prior year, on sales of MXN91.2 billion.

A Modelo sale to AB InBev would end a contentious history between the two companies. AB InBev won its 50% Modelo stake through InBev's $52 billion acquisition in 2008 of Budweiser maker Anheuser-Busch, a deal that created the world's largest beer maker by sales. Anheuser had tried unsuccessfully to entice Modelo to merge with the U.S. brewing giant after it received the unsolicited approach from InBev, people familiar with the matter said at the time.

After InBev sealed the Anheuser-Busch deal, Modelo claimed that Anheuser-Busch breached a prior agreement between the two companies by failing to consult the Mexican company on its sale to InBev.

In 2010, an arbitration panel ruled in favor of the merged company, AB InBev, ending the dispute and, according to analysts at the time, paving the way for AB InBev to eventually consolidate its ownership of Modelo.

Modelo noted Monday that it has a "long-standing relationship" with AB InBev, adding that it "admires the business and brands of AB InBev."

One question mark around a further Modelo-AB InBev deal is whether regulators would bless it, given AB InBev's considerable market power in the U.S. and elsewhere as well as the strength of Modelo brands such as Corona.

Modelo said Monday that speculation about the outcome of the discussions with AB InBev is "premature" as the talks may or may not lead to a deal.

Write to Amy Guthrie at amy.guthrie@dowjones.com

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