Is Bitcoin Gearing Up For A Bigger Rally? Here’s What On-Chain Data Reveals
2024年10月1日 - 11:30AM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin has seen an uptick in price enough to recover from the
losses in value from August. So far, the asset has surged by nearly
10% in the past two weeks alone, registering a 24-hour high of
$66,000 earlier today, although BTC has now seen a slight
retracement, currently trading at $63,508. Amid this price
performance, Axel Adler Jr, an analyst from the on-chain analytics
platform CryptoQuant, has shed light on the potential for Bitcoin
to see a bigger rally shortly based on key indicators. Related
Reading: Bitcoin Set For Biggest September Gains In A Decade:
Here’s Why Bitcoin Key Indicator Pointing To A Bigger Rally
According to Adler, a significant shift observed in Bitcoin’s
market activity appears to suggest that the crypto market might be
gearing up for a bullish momentum soon. One of the focal points of
Adler’s analysis is the “Exchange Flow Multiple,” which plays a
crucial role in understanding the movement of Bitcoin on exchanges.
This indicator measures the ratio between short-term (30-day) and
long-term (365-day) Bitcoin inflows and outflows on exchanges. When
this multiple declines, short-term exchange movements are
considerably lower than long-term ones, which could point to
decreased volatility. Adler Jr elaborates on this by highlighting
two primary factors that influence the decline of Bitcoin Exchange
Flow Multiple. The CryptoQuant analyst mentioned Long-Term Holders
Retaining Assets as the first factor. Also referred to as
“HODLers,” long-term Bitcoin holders when not actively trading
their assets, preferring to hold onto them with the expectation of
future price increases, can lead to a decline in exchange flow
multiple. The analyst also draws attention to the natural market
correction and recovery process. The market typically needs time to
stabilize after significant drops in Bitcoin’s price. This
stabilization period reduces exchange activity as investors wait
for a clearer price direction. Adler Jr noted that a low exchange
flow multiple in such contexts might reflect a “wait-and-see”
attitude among investors, anticipating a favorable price shift
before they re-enter the market actively. Drawing Parallels To
2023’s Bull Market Adler Jr’s analysis further indicates that the
current behavior of the Exchange Flow Multiple resembles patterns
seen before previous rallies. Notably, similar low levels of the
indicator were observed before the major market uptrend in 2023.
Related Reading: Bitcoin Breaks $66,000, But Analyst Warns Against
Fresh Longs—Here’s Why The CryptoQuant analyst disclosed that if
history were to repeat itself, the current situation might set the
stage for the next significant upward movement in Bitcoin’s price.
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
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