Euro Weakens As Minutes Show ECB Wary Over Currency Strength, QE Exit
2017年10月5日 - 6:27PM
RTTF2
The euro dropped against its major counterparts in the European
session on Thursday, as the minutes from the latest policy meeting
showed that policy makers of the European Central Bank expressed
concern over recent movements in the currency exchange rate, while
agreeing on need to ensure substantial degree of monetary policy
accommodation to achieve its policy objective.
The recent volatility of the euro exchange rate reflects a
source of uncertainty, which required monitoring with respect to
its possible implications for the medium-term outlook for price
stability, the minutes of the September 6-7 meeting showed.
"There was broad agreement among members that a very substantial
degree of monetary accommodation was still needed for inflation
pressures to build up and support headline inflation over the
medium term," it showed.
"It was also argued that the monetary policy stance would remain
highly accommodative in either scenario on account of the range of
policy instruments in place, most notably the reinvestment of the
principal of maturing securities, the liquidity related to the
targeted longer-term refinancing operations, and the forward
guidance on the ECB's key policy rates," it noted.
Speaking to weekly magazine Trend, ECB Governing Council member
Ewald Nowotny said that the bank may slowdown the QE purchases at
the beginning of next year. "I assume that we will transition to a
cautious deceleration at the start of the coming year," he
told.
Catalan parliament is planning a debate and a vote on the
independence referendum on Monday, followed by declaration of
independence shortly after. "I am sure that in the next few days we
will show the best of our country when the institutions of
Catalonia will have to apply the results of the referendum,"
Catalan President Carles Puigdemont said.
Data from IHS Markit showed that Germany's construction sector
growth softened in September.
The headline Purchasing Managers' Index dropped to 53.4 in
September from 54.9 in August. Nonetheless, a reading above 50
indicates expansion.
The currency held steady against its major rivals in the Asian
session.
The euro reversed from an early high of 1.1779 against the
greenback, weakening to a 2-day low of 1.1734. The euro is poised
to find support around the 1.15 region.
The 19-nation currency slid to a 9-day low of 131.98 against the
Japanese yen, following a high of 132.77 hit at 3:00 am ET. On the
downside, 130.00 is possibly seen as the next support level for the
euro.
The euro eased back to 1.1461 against the Swiss franc, off its
early 10-day high of 1.1495. The euro is seen finding support
around the 1.13 mark.
Data from the Federal Statistical Office showed that
Switzerland's consumer price inflation accelerated in
September.
Consumer prices climbed 0.7 percent year-on-year in September,
faster than the 0.5 percent increase seen in August. Prices were
forecast to rise 0.6 percent.
The euro was trading lower at 1.6413 against the kiwi, reversing
from more than a 2-week high of 1.6453 hit at 4:00 am ET. The next
possible support for the euro is seen around the 1.63 level.
The 19-nation currency dropped to a weekly low of 1.4636 against
the loonie, from an early high of 1.4692. If the euro falls
further, 1.45 is likely seen as its next support level.
The euro fell back to 1.5012 against the aussie, from a 2-day
high of 1.5048 hit at 6:00 am ET. The currency had already set an
8-day low of 1.4940 early in the Asian session. Further downtrend
may take the euro to a support around the 1.48 area.
Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that
Australia logged a merchandise trade surplus of A$989 million in
August.
That beat forecasts for a surplus of A$870 million following the
upwardly revised A$808 million surplus in July
Having advanced to a 3-week high of 0.8934 against the pound at
3:30 am ET, the single currency held steady in subsequent part of
the trading session. The pair was valued at 0.8875 when it closed
deals on Wednesday.
Looking ahead, U.S. factory orders and durable goods orders for
August are slated for release shortly.
At 10:00 am ET, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President
Patrick Harker is scheduled to speak at the Investing in America's
Workforce Conference hosted by the Federal Reserve System, in
Austin.
At 12:00 pm ET, Bank of England MPC Member Ian McCafferty is
expected to speak at The Founders' Company Annual Lecture, in
London.
At 1:30 pm ET, Bank of England Chief Economist Andy Haldane is
to deliver a presentation titled "Central Bank Engagement with
Society" at the Economic Research Council, in London.
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