U.S. Dollar Advances As Treasury Yields Rally

The U.S. dollar climbed against its most major counterparts in the New York session on Wednesday, as treasury yields continued to climb on prospects for a slower pace of Federal Reserve rate cuts and concerns about fiscal deficit.

Treasury yields continued to rise as traders pondered the prospect of a Donald Trump presidency.

It is feared that Trump policies including tariffs and restrictions on undocumented immigration could increase inflation and keep interest rates relatively high for a longer-than-anticipated period.

The yield on the benchmark ten-year note is up by 4.4 basis points at 4.250 percent.

After the Fed slashed interest rates by 50 basis points last month, CME Group's FedWatch Tool is currently indicating an 89.0 percent chance of just a 25 basis point rate cut next month.

Data from the National Association of Realtors unexpectedly showed a continued decrease by existing home sales in the U.S. in the month of September.

NAR said existing home sales slid by 1.0 percent to an annual rate of 3.84 million in September after tumbling by 2.0 percent to a revised rate of 3.88 million in August.

Economists had expected existing home sales to increase by 1.0 percent to a rate of 3.90 million from the 3.86 million originally reported for the previous month.

The greenback climbed to a 3-1/2-month high of 1.0760 against the euro, more than 2-month high of 1.2922 against the pound and near a 3-month high of 153.18 against the yen, off its early lows of 1.0806, 1.2994 and 150.97, respectively. The currency is poised to challenge resistance around 1.06 against the euro, 1.26 against the pound and 159.00 against the yen.

The greenback strengthened to a 2-1/2-month high of 1.3862 against the loonie, 1-1/2-month high of 0.6625 against the aussie and more than a 2-month high of 0.5999 against the kiwi, from its early lows of 1.3816, 0.6691 and 0.6053, respectively. The next possible resistance for the greenback is seen around 1.40 against the loonie, 0.64 against the aussie and 0.58 against the kiwi.

In contrast, the greenback retreated to 0.8662 against the franc, from an early more than 2-month high of 0.8686. If the currency falls further, it is likely to test support around the 0.83 region.

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から 10 2024 まで 11 2024