Bitcoin Price Dip Explained: Key Causes And Where To Expect A Bounce Back To $70,000
2024年10月4日 - 3:30PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin (BTC) recently appeared poised for significant upside
momentum and has experienced a notable price correction. Following
a two-month high of $66,500 last Friday, the cryptocurrency
retraced approximately 6% in the past week to around $60,000 by
Thursday. Key Buy Zones For Bitcoin The anticipated bullish trend
for Bitcoin was initially fueled by easing economic conditions,
particularly following the US Federal Reserve’s decision to cut
interest rates on September 18. However, escalating
geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have shifted investor
sentiment, prompting many to seek refuge in traditional safe-haven
assets like gold. Additionally, concerns regarding the
macroeconomic landscape have intensified, particularly after Fed
Chair Jerome Powell suggested the possibility of further rate cuts
of 0.50% in the months ahead. This confluence of factors has led to
a broader market sell-off, with Bitcoin, Ethereum and the top
cryptocurrencies on the market experiencing substantial liquidity
outflows estimated at nearly $300 million, as reflected in the
total crypto market capitalization. Despite the recent decline,
crypto analyst VirtualBacon provided a more optimistic outlook on
social media, noting that Bitcoin has returned to the “Bull Market
Support Band.” The analyst highlights that this support band
has historically provided a cushion during corrections between the
current market prices and the $62,500 mark on the weekly timeframe.
VirtualBacon emphasized that a weekly close above $58,000 could
indicate a healthy correction, setting the stage for a resurgence.
Conversely, a break below this threshold would necessitate
reevaluating bullish strategies. The analyst pointed to two
key buy zones: $62,500 and a lower range between $58,800 and
$60,000. These zones coincide with previous highs and align with
the 200-Day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a significant
long-term support level for any bull market. The 200-Day EMA,
currently around the $60,000 mark, has been pivotal over the past
six months. It has acted as support and resistance during various
phases of Bitcoin’s price movements in March, May and July of this
year. September Jobs Report Looms Large In his analysis,
VirtualBacon explained that if Bitcoin bounces back from $60,000,
it would signal strength in the market. However, a daily close
below $58,000 – or a weekly close below that level – could signal a
potential bearish trend reversal. VirtualBacon outlined a strategy
for capitalizing on the current dip, indicating a willingness to
accumulate BTC in the $58,000 to $60,000 range, which he views as a
high-risk, high-reward zone. Nonetheless, he cautioned that a close
below $57,000 would be a significant red flag. Related Reading:
Dogecoin On-Chain Spike Triggers 180% Price Rally Prediction—What’s
Next? For the analyst, as long as Bitcoin holds above $58,000,
there is potential for a higher low, setting the stage for a new
price peak above $66,000. However, macroeconomic factors will
remain crucial in shaping market sentiment. This week’s release of
the September jobs report will be particularly significant, as it
will provide insights into the current unemployment rate, which
could influence future Bitcoin price movements, according to the
analyst: 4.2%: Very bullish for the market. 4.3%: Neutral outlook.
4.4%: Caution advised. 4.5% and above: Bearish implications. At the
last Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, Jerome Powell
identified 4.4% as a critical threshold. Should the unemployment
rate rise above this level, VirtualBacon believes it could signal
trouble for the broader economic landscape. Featured image from
DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
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