TIDM56TE

RNS Number : 9086G

Sovereign Housing Capital Plc

18 November 2022

Sovereign Housing Association's Quarterly Performance Update covering Q2 year 2022/23

Quarter 2 Performance Update

Our unaudited management accounts for Q2 2022/23 show operating surplus and overall surplus in-line with Q2 last year - however, this is a small step-down from last quarter. Ongoing inflation impacts continue to create headwinds throughout our supply chain and show no sign of abating.

The war in Ukraine and ongoing cost of living challenge are having a broad range of impacts across the organisation, ranging from the obvious increased costs of materials and services to continued lower Customer Satisfaction scores reflecting the general anxiety felt by customers. Despite these challenges we have seen continued favourable results from both Sales and Staircasing activities, Economic uncertainty arises from budget announcements and interest rate increases are likely to be a drag on performance in the second half of the year.

Development projects are being challenged by resource and material availability issues impacting the whole of the building sector. Nevertheless 418 units were handed over in the past quarter. Sovereign recently completed on the purchase of Princes Mead shopping centre in Farnborough for GBP17.6m with plans to build 350 homes. There are also plans to demolish the former Sovereign office at Saxon Court in Basingstoke and build 43 apartments.

Treasury and Golden Rules

An annual credit rating review with S&P has been competed which reaffirmed our A+ credit rating while revising the outlook to Negative this reflects the UK Sovereign outlook being revised to Negative. This is seen as a positive endorsement of the financial strength of our business. Please find details in this link to the final report: S&P credit ratings report October 2022

Sovereign operates within a number of Financial Golden Rules that underpin treasury and risk management activity. A summary is shown in accordance below. Instantly available financing is GBP397m which equates to 20 months of forecast headroom. Terms are being finalised on GBP175m of new facilities. Existing facilities of GBP250m that is due to mature in June 2024 is being renewed improving liquidity.

There is significant headroom against Interest Cover and Gearing Golden Rules, creating protection against underlying debt facility covenants. The performance metric shows underperformance on operating margin, which is set at the upper quartile of the Housing Association sector. We do not expect this to recover in the short term as this is driven by the combination of continued cost pressures the business is experiencing across our property services and increased spend in our Transformation programme which will support the long term performance of the business.

 
 Protection        Actual   Trend   Threshold   Headroom   Definition 
  principle 
 Liquidity         20               18 months   2 months   18 months as a minimum, 
                                                            where available cash 
                                                            plus committed and 
                                                            ready-to-draw borrowing 
                                                            facilities (excluding 
                                                            retained bonds) must 
                                                            exceed forecast cash 
                                                            flows excluding all 
                                                            uncommitted development 
                                                            spend and all income 
                                                            from development 
                                                            sales and asset sales. 
                  -------  ------  ----------  ---------  ---------------------------- 
                                                           Sales / turnover 
 Market risk       16.5%            40%         23.5%       % 
                  -------  ------  ----------  ---------  ---------------------------- 
                                                           Operating surplus 
                                                            (excluding all development 
                                                            and asset sales) 
                                                            / turnover on rolling 
 Performance       29.5%            30%         -0.5%       three year basis 
                  -------  ------  ----------  ---------  ---------------------------- 
                                                           10% minimum level 
                                                            of headroom against 
                                    121%        186%        all lenders' interest 
 Sustainability                                             cover covenants 
  - Interest 
  Cover            307.2%            110%        197%       Tightest covenant 
                  -------  ------  ----------  ---------  ---------------------------- 
                                                           5% minimum headroom 
                                                            against all lenders' 
                                    76%         27%         gearing covenants 
 
 Sustainability 
  - Gearing        49.4%             80%         31%        Tightest covenant 
                  -------  ------  ----------  ---------  ---------------------------- 
 

Corporate Affairs

On Tuesday 15 November, the Regulator of Social Housing downgraded the viability ratings of several large housing associations, Sovereign, Clarion, L&Q and Riverside were among those downgraded from V1 to V2 as the housing sector faces a very challenging economic environment.

A rating of V2 is compliant and the Regulator's statement says that Sovereign's "financial plans are consistent with, and support, its financial strategy" and that Sovereign "has an adequately funded business plan, sufficient security, and is forecast to continue to meet its financial covenants."

The Regulatory Judgement confirms Sovereign's existing compliant governance rating at G2 and acknowledges that Sovereign has developed a governance improvement plan that it continues to progress. The full judgement can be read here.

Annual report and AGM

On 28 July 2022 Sovereign published its 2021/22 Annual Report.

The report, which has been published on the back of a very challenging economic and social period shows the housing association is continuing to deliver for its customers, despite increasing demand on its services. You can read the report in full here.

CIH South West

Nicole Sharp, Chief Customer Officer, gave a keynote address at the CIH South West Conference in Bristol on Putting customers at the heart of communities alongside speakers from Soha Housing and Coastline Housing.

On 21 September Sovereign hosted a dinner for 20 developers, land agents, sector leaders and members of Sovereign's SLG.

Party Conferences

Sovereign was represented on panels at Labour Party Conference in Liverpool and Conservative Party Conference in Birmingham, talking about the role housing associations can play in supporting levelling up. Mark Washer and Tom Titherington also met with Michael Gove MP at a fringe meeting on housing.

Consultation responses

Sovereign has submitted a formal response to the government's consultation on a proposed rent cap, calling for flexibility to allow housing associations to invest in stock and new homes as well as protecting customers from rent rises. We continue to work closely with the NHF on rents and rents for shared owners. We have also submitted responses on compulsory purchase orders and electrical safety.

S

For more information, please contact:

Graeme Gilbert, Treasury Director, Sovereign Housing Association 07392130856 Graeme.Gilbert@Sovereign.org.uk

Charles Pitt, Corporate Affairs Director, Sovereign Housing Association

07887524378 Charles.Pitt@Sovereign.org.uk

Disclaimer The information contained herein (the "Trading Update") has been prepared by Sovereign Housing Association Limited (the "Parent") and its subsidiaries (the "Group"), including Sovereign Advances Ltd, Sovereign Housing Capital PLC (the "Issuers") and is for information purposes only.

The Trading Update should not be construed as an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities issued by the Parent, the Issuers or any other member of the Group, or any interest in any such securities, and nothing herein should be construed as a recommendation or advice to invest in any such securities.

Statements in the Trading Update, including those regarding possible or assumed future or other performance of the Group as a whole or any member of it, industry growth or other trend projections may constitute forward-looking statements and as such involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results, performance or developments to differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Accordingly, no assurance is given that such forward-looking statements will prove to have been correct. They speak only as at the date of the Trading Update and neither the Parent nor any other member of the Group undertakes any obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future developments, occurrence of unanticipated events or otherwise.

None of the Parent, any member of the Group or anyone else is under any obligation to update or keep current the information contained in the Trading Update. The information in the Trading Update is subject to verification, does not purport to be comprehensive, is provided as at the date of the Trading Update and is subject to change without notice.

No reliance should be placed on the information or any projections, targets, estimates or forecasts and nothing in the Trading Update is or should be relied on as a promise or representation as to the future. No statement in the Trading Update is intended to be an estimate or forecast. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is given by or on behalf of the Parent, any other member of the Group or any of their respective directors, officers, employees, advisers, agents or any other persons as to the accuracy or validity of the information or opinions contained in the Trading Update (and whether any information has been omitted from the Trading Update). The Trading Update does not constitute legal, tax, accounting or investment advice.

www.sovereign.org.uk/investors

Note: Figures quoted in the update are based on unaudited management accounts which are subject to review and further adjustments, for example in the areas of pensions, investment property valuation and taxation.

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