Bitcoin Miner Selloff Is Calming Down: Green Sign For Rally To Continue?
2024年10月4日 - 5:00PM
NEWSBTC
On-chain data shows the Bitcoin miner exchange inflows have been
dropping recently, a sign that may be bullish for the asset’s
price. Bitcoin Miner Exchange Inflow Has Been Declining Recently As
explained by CryptoQuant author Axel Adler Jr in a new post on X,
miners have gradually been reducing their exchange inflows
recently. “Exchange inflows” here naturally refer to transactions
heading to wallets attached to centralized exchanges from
self-custodial addresses. In the context of the current topic, the
exchange inflows made by miner-related wallets specifically are of
interest. Generally, the main reason why miners transfer to these
platforms is for selling, so large exchange inflows from them can
be a sign that these chain validators are participating in a
selloff. Related Reading: Dogecoin Crossover That Led To 90% &
180% Rallies Could Soon Form Again Miners have constant running
costs in the form of electricity bills, so selling from them is a
regular occurrence, as without it, they can’t keep their operations
going. This regular selling is usually of a scale readily absorbed
by the market, so there may be no visible negative effect on the
asset’s price. Large and sustained exchange inflows, though, can be
something to note, as they may imply unusual selling pressure from
this group. Here is the chart shared by the analyst that shows the
trend in the 30-day moving average (MA) Bitcoin miner exchange
inflows over the history of the cryptocurrency: As the above graph
shows, the 30-day MA of the Bitcoin miner exchange inflows had
plunged to pretty low in the first few months of the year but then
underwent a sharp reversal. The reason for this increase could be
that the fourth Halving occurred in April. Halvings are periodic
events about every four years that permanently cut the BTC block
subsidy in half. In the chart, the analyst has also attached the
data for the coin issuance on the network (colored in blue). From
this metric, the effect of the Halving is apparent, as miners can
suddenly only mint about half as many coins after each of these
events as before them. Related Reading: Shiba Inu Leads Whale
Frenzy: Large SHIB Transfers See Massive 360% Spike Miners make
their income through two main sources, the transaction fees and the
block subsidy, but most of the contribution generally comes from
the latter. Thus, the miners depend on the block subsidy to make
their income. After the latest Halving, the miners naturally came
under immense pressure because their revenue took a drastic hit.
The exchange inflow trend would suggest that these chain validators
had decided to sell off their reserves in response to this income
squeeze. The high inflows from the Bitcoin miners had continued for
a while, but the 30-day MA of their exchange inflow has recently
reversed, a potential sign that this cohort is finally pulling back
on their selling. If this starts a sustained trend, then the
cryptocurrency’s price might benefit from it. BTC Price Bitcoin has
retraced much of its recent recovery during the last few days, as
its price is now down to $60,300. Featured image from Dall-E,
CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
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