から 7 2019 まで 7 2020
By Avantika Chilkoti and Karen Langley
The S&P 500 set a new intraday high for the first time in three months Monday to kick off a busy week featuring a flurry of corporate earnings, a Federal Reserve meeting and the October jobs report.
Optimism about lower interest rates and hopes for a resolution to the long-simmering trade dispute between the U.S. and China have propelled stocks this year after a brutal selloff to end 2018. The S&P 500 is up 21% in 2019 -- though most of those gains came in the first quarter.
More recently, stocks have lately been stuck in a narrow trading range as signs of slowing global growth dented corporate investment and spurred anxiety among investors. A better-than-feared corporate earnings season has helped alleviate some of those worries.
The broad stock-market index inched up 0.6% to 3039.42, passing the previous record of 3027.98 from July 26. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.4%, and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite added 1%, putting both indexes within about 1% of their records.
"We think equities are quite attractive at current prices, given the low-interest-rate environment," said Dev Kantesaria, portfolio manager and founder of Valley Forge Capital Management. "We expect over the long term -- the next three years, five years -- for the S&P 500 to hit new highs."
Nearly 150 companies in the S&P 500, including General Motors, Facebook and Apple, are on tap to report results this week, and investors will be listening carefully for insight into how the trade war is affecting their businesses.
Most earnings reports from big companies have beaten the low expectations of analysts, but earnings are still on track to fall 3.8% from a year earlier, according to FactSet.
Investors are expecting the Federal Reserve on Wednesday to cut interest rates for the third time this year as the central bank attempts to insulate the economy against the effects of slower growth.
U.S. factory activity in September contracted for the second straight month and hit a 10-year low, and there have been signs that the manufacturing slowdown is spreading to the labor market and crimping consumer spending. Investors will be paying close attention to Friday's monthly jobs report for fresh clues on the health of the economy.
The yield on 10-year Treasurys rose to 1.847%, from 1.805% Friday, ahead of the anticipate rate cut.
The dispute between the U.S. and China has disrupted the global trade system, and stocks rallied late last week on reports that the two countries were edging closer to completing a "phase one deal." But investors have responded to a drip of both good and bad news on trade, and the possibility of another round of tariffs in December continues to fuel caution.
Fast-moving geopolitical events are holding back corporate performance, said Esty Dwek, a strategist at Natixis Investment Managers.
"It's a confirmation that there's a lot of uncertainty, and the more you can remove some of this uncertainty the more you'll have better guidance and confidence in terms of hiring and investing," Ms. Dwek said.
Corporate news drove swings in individual stocks Monday. Shares of Tiffany surged 31% after LVMH Moët Hennessy Louis Vuitton confirmed it is talks for a potential takeover that would value the iconic jewelry brand at $14.5 billion.
Microsoft gained 2.2% and was on track for a new high after the software company won a contract worth up to $10 billion over the next decade from the Pentagon. AT&T added 4% after the company struck a truce with an activist investor.
In Europe, the pan-continental Stoxx Europe 600 index added 0.3%. HSBC Holdings was among the biggest losers in Europe, shedding 3.5% after the bank dropped its main financial target and said it would speed up plans to revamp its U.K., U.S. and European businesses.
The U.K.'s FTSE 100 gauge ticked up 0.1% as U.K. Prime Minister Boris Johnson urged lawmakers to support his push for a Dec. 12 general election as a way to clear a path to Brexit. European Union leaders agreed to a three-month extension to the Brexit deadline, extending the political uncertainty until Jan. 31.
Asian markets had a stronger start to the week. The Shanghai Composite Index gained 0.9% and Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index climbed 0.8%.
Write to Avantika Chilkoti at Avantika.Chilkoti@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
October 28, 2019 14:22 ET (18:22 GMT)
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