Yen Climbs Amid Risk Aversion On Global Growth Worries
2019年3月8日 - 11:54AM
RTTF2
The Japanese yen firmed against its major counterparts in the
Asian session on Friday, as disappointing trade data from China and
European Central Bank's downgrade of economic growth forecasts
triggered worries about a global economic slowdown.
The ECB on Thursday slashed its economic growth forecast, citing
lingering, mainly external uncertainties.
The eurozone growth outlook for this year was cut to 1.1 percent
from 1.7 percent, while the outlook for next year was trimmed to
1.6 percent from 1.7 percent.
Data from General Administration of Customs showed that China
recorded a trade surplus of $4.12 billion in February, much weaker
than the $26.2 billion surplus expected by economists.
Exports fell 20.7 percent from a year earlier, while imports
dropped 5.2 percent.
Investors are also cautious as they look ahead to the release of
the U.S. Labor Department's closely-watched monthly jobs report for
February later in the day.
On the economic front, data from the Cabinet Office showed that
Japan's gross domestic product gained a seasonally adjusted 0.5
percent on quarter in the fourth quarter of 2018. That beat
expectations for an increase of 0.4 percent following the 0.3
percent gain in the previous reading.
The Ministry of Finance said that Japan posted a current account
surplus of 600.4 billion yen in January, up 1.4 percent from a year
earlier. That beat expectations for a surplus of 161.0 billion yen
and was up from 452.8 billion yen in December.
The trade balance showed a deficit of 964.8 billion yen, which
also topped forecasts for a deficit of 1,152.4 billion yen
following the 216.2 billion yen surplus in the previous month.
Exports were down 6.7 percent on year in January, while imports
eased an annual 1.7 percent.
The Bank of Japan said that overall bank lending in Japan was up
2.3 percent on year in February, coming in at 533.7 trillion yen.
That was down from 2.4 percent in January. Excluding trusts, bank
lending was up 2.4 percent on year to 464.4 trillion yen -
unchanged from the previous month.
The yen strengthened to a 2-week high of 75.02 against the kiwi,
more than 3-week high of 77.77 against the aussie and a 4-week high
of 82.44 against the loonie, from its early lows of 75.53, 78.42
and 83.04, respectively. The yen is seen finding resistance around
74.00 against the kiwi, 76.00 against the aussie and 81.00 against
the loonie.
The yen reversed from its early lows of 111.65 against the
greenback and 125.03 against the euro, climbing to an 8-day high of
110.95 and a 3-week high of 124.31, respectively. If the yen rises
further, 108.00 and 122.00 are likely seen as its next resistance
levels against the greenback and the euro, respectively.
The Japanese currency firmed to an 11-day high of 145.19 against
the pound and more than a 2-week high of 109.89 against the franc,
off its previous lows of 146.18 and 110.44, respectively. The next
key resistance levels for the yen are seen around 143.00 against
the pound and 107.00 against the franc.
The Australian dollar weakened against its key counterparts in
the wake of falling Asian shares.
Reversing from its early highs of 0.9452 against the loonie and
1.0392 against the kiwi, the aussie weakened to 2-day lows of
0.9426 and 1.0360, respectively. On the downside, 0.93 and 1.02 are
possibly seen as its next support levels against the loonie and the
kiwi, respectively.
The aussie weakened to a 2-month low of 0.7003 against the
greenback, following an advance to 0.7028 at 9:30 pm ET. The aussie
is likely to challenge support around the 0.69 area.
The aussie edged down to 1.5996 against the euro, from an 8-day
high of 1.5931 seen at 9:30 pm ET. The next possible support for
the aussie is seen around the 1.61 mark.
Looking ahead, at 8:15 am ET, Canada housing starts for February
are due.
In the New York session, U.S. housing starts and building
permits for January, as well as U.S. and Canadian jobs data for
February are slated for release.
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