U.S. Government Bonds Pull Back After Strong Data
2019年1月18日 - 6:08AM
Dow Jones News
By Sam Goldfarb
U.S. government-bond prices fell Thursday as traders responded
to better-than-expected data on regional manufacturing activity and
a report that U.S. officials are debating whether to scale back
tariffs on Chinese imports.
The yield on the benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury note settled at
2.747%, compared with 2.729% Wednesday.
Yields, which rise when bond prices fall, initially edged higher
after the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia's manufacturing
index rose to 17.0 in January -- above the 8.0 reading anticipated
by economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal. They got a
further boost from a Journal report that U.S. Treasury Secretary
Steven Mnuchin had recently proposed lifting some or all tariffs on
Chinese goods as a way to advance trade talks with China.
Both developments at least momentarily helped ease concerns
about a recent slowdown in U.S. manufacturing growth, which
analysts have largely blamed on the U.S.-China trade dispute.
Investors tend to sell Treasurys when they are feeling more
optimistic about the U.S. economy, as faster growth increases the
relative appeal of riskier assets and can also generate inflation,
which chips away at the purchasing power of the debt's fixed
returns.
Some analysts believe Treasury yields have room to rise in the
coming months, given the current gap in expectations for short-term
interest rates between Federal Reserve officials and investors.
While the Fed has signaled the potential for two rate increases
this year, investors have been skeptical, with some going so far as
to anticipate a rate cut from the central bank.
Investors in Treasurys are probably "too pessimistic at this
point" about the economy, said Zhiwei Ren, portfolio manager at
Penn Mutual Asset Management Inc.
Growing evidence that the Fed isn't going to cut rates in the
near future could push short-term yields higher, Mr. Ren said. At
the same time, yields on longer-term Treasurys will likely be
contained "by slower global growth and lower inflation," he
added.
Write to Sam Goldfarb at sam.goldfarb@wsj.com
(END) Dow Jones Newswires
January 17, 2019 15:53 ET (20:53 GMT)
Copyright (c) 2019 Dow Jones & Company, Inc.