Euro Weakens As ECB Cautious Over Trade War, Currency Appreciation
2018年4月12日 - 07:01PM
RTTF2
The euro declined against its most major counterparts in the
European session on Thursday, after minutes from the recent
monetary policy meeting showed that the policy makers of the
European Central Bank cautioned that rising trade protectionism and
the recent appreciation of the single currency poses downside risks
to the euro area growth outlook.
There was widespread concern among members that the risks
arising from trade protectionism, which could be expected to have
an adverse impact on activity for all countries involved, had
increased, according to the minutes from the monetary policy
meeting held on January 24-25.
"It was also cautioned that negative confidence effects could
arise."
Caution was voiced about the recent exchange rate appreciation,
which could have a more negative impact on inflation.
"There was broad agreement among members that volatility in the
exchange rate of the euro continued to be a source of uncertainty,
which required monitoring with regard to its possible implications
for the medium-term inflation outlook."
Members broadly agreed that the evidence for a sustained rise in
inflation towards levels consistent with the Governing Council's
inflation aim was still not sufficient, it showed.
Members also agreed that an ample degree of monetary policy
accommodation was still needed to support the economic expansion
and a rise in inflation to the Governing Council's medium-term
inflation aim.
Data from Eurostat showed that Eurozone industrial production
decreased for the third straight month in February.
Industrial output fell 0.8 percent month-on-month in February,
following a 0.6 percent drop in January. This was the third
consecutive drop and came in contrast to the expected growth of 0.1
percent.
The currency traded mixed against its major counterparts in the
Asian session. While it held steady against the greenback and the
pound, it rose against the yen and the franc.
The single currency declined to a 2-day low of 1.5894 against
the aussie, compared to 1.5946 hit late New York Wednesday. On the
downside, 1.56 is likely seen as the next support for the euro.
The 19-nation currency slipped to 1.6701 against the kiwi, a
level unseen since January 24. At yesterday's close, the pair was
worth 1.6804. The euro is likely to find support around the 1.65
region.
Reversing from an early high of 1.5593 against the loonie, the
euro weakened to a 2-month low of 1.5499. The euro is poised to
find support around the 1.52 region.
The euro depreciated 0.5 percent to a 2-day low of 1.2315
against the greenback, from a high of 1.2380 hit at 8:15 pm ET. The
pair was valued at 1.2367 when it closed deals on Wednesday. The
euro is seen finding support around the 1.21 area.
Data from the Labor Department showed that the first time claims
for U.S. unemployment benefits decreased in the week ended April
7th.
The report said initial jobless claims fell to 233,000, a
decrease of 9,000 from the previous week's unrevised level of
242,000. Economists had expected jobless claims to drop to
230,000.
Having advanced to 0.8728 against the pound at 4:30 am ET, the
euro moved down to hit a 3-week low of 0.8671. The next possible
support for the euro is seen around the 0.85 level.
UK economic growth remained subdued in the first quarter despite
a strong export performance, according to the latest Quarterly
Economic Survey from the British Chambers of Commerce.
In the service sector, the balance of firms reporting improved
export sales rose slightly to +13 from +12 and orders to +10 from
+7. Domestic sales held steady at +20, while domestic orders rose
to +16 from +14.
The euro eased back to 131.96 against the yen, off an early high
of 132.32. This may be compared to a 2-day low of 131.80 hit at
5:00 am ET. If the euro falls further, 130.00 is possibly seen as
its support level.
On the flip side, the euro held steady against the Swiss franc,
after having advanced to more than a 3-year high of 1.1890 at 7:20
am ET. The euro-franc pair finished Wednesday's trading at
1.1843.
Euro vs NZD (FX:EURNZD)
FXチャート
から 2 2024 まで 3 2024
Euro vs NZD (FX:EURNZD)
FXチャート
から 3 2023 まで 3 2024