solong
2週前
A couple of notes regarding the future:
1) All 3 majors in the US, (Stellantis - GM/GMC - Ford/Lincoln) - have already spent billions in development and retooling of factories, that are only recoverable if they sell EVs or EV/Gas Hybrids. Q3 of 2024 saw EV ownership at 8.9% of the market. This percentage has been on a steady upward trend.
2) Mercedes, BMW, Audi (VW group) and Stellantis (owners of Chrysler/Dodge/Jeep/Ram) have all made commitments and allocated the funding for a transition. At this point it would appear we'll see a lot of hybrids first followed by all-electric cars.
3) Toyota has announced that every model they make will have a hybrid option (small gas engine with a battery. No later than 2025.
4) Ram just recently announced they will have their first hybrid truck (1500 REV) which will have a 6 cylinder gas engine acting as a generator to keep the battery charged. They said the range will be at least 500 miles.
The point is that all of these companies are already in the process of retooling manufacturing lines and will probably NOT throw out that investment so that they can retool for gas engines. Add to that, expect Elon to bend Trumps ear on this issue.
The two big reasons most often expressed, as to why Americans don't want to buy an EV are the following: 1) lack of charging stations (think gas stations for EVs) and 2) Range anxiety.
Several recent events might change that. A) Private companies have announced, this year, several hundreds of millions in private investments to build out the infrastructure (just in the US), B) the current administration announced (last January) $623mil in grants to build out the US charging charging infrastructure. C) Ford announced this year their BlueOval SK (Korean company) Battery Park in Kentucky. At 3.9 million sq/ft it will be the largest battery facility in the world. Construction has already begun.
I assume everyone already knows the benefits of Solid State batteries, one of which will address the range issue. I expect to see them in the 2027 model year. I know everyone, including QS seems to think it will be earlier but I prefer to lower my expectations and then hope I am wrong.
I think the "new" administration will be big on talk (like when they promised to replace the existing healthcare system with a new improved one) Trump then had to admit that "no one knew how difficult it would be to replace the current system." And subsequently did nothing.
He might be able to slow it down but he has two people on his team, Elon and RFK Jf who believe in Global Warming. He'll find a way to say he forced everyone to build Hybrids and then move onto some other social issue. IMO
solong
3週前
I've been watching this one for 2 years now - one thing that might be of some concern is selling by Insiders. Take Jadgeep Singh sales for the last 90 days:
Date ------ - # sold ------ proceeds
08/19/2024 94,445 - $ 545,542.65
08/20/2024 - 47,076 - $ 269,467.73
09/17/2024 - 192,270 - $1,150,908.99
09/17/2024 - 57,690 - $ 345,326.57
10/07/2024 - 192,270 - $1,063,753.00
11/13/2024 - 70 912 - $ 357,899.96
11/14/2024 - 5,531 - $ 27,702.01
This doesn't necessarily mean one shouldn't buy it on the dips and it's certainly getting to a place, under $5, where it's been safe to buy.
Barchart is showing that there are 10 analyst who follow the company and here's the breakdown on how theiy currently view QS:
1 - strong buy
6 - hold
1 - moderate sell
2 - strong sell
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/QS/analyst-ratings
I'm waiting to see more progress towards production / sales - they have come a long way over the last couple of years. GL!
Woodpecker3
2月前
$QS Continues to hemmorage cash and running out. Competition has much better products. QuantumScape Corp (NYSE:QS) faces challenges in improving cell reliability, yield, and equipment productivity during the B-sample phase.
The company reported a GAAP net loss of $119.7 million for Q3, with adjusted EBITDA loss at $71.6 million, indicating ongoing financial challenges.
Higher legal fees and settlement accruals have pushed the adjusted EBITDA loss guidance to the higher end of the original range for 2024.
The transition from Raptor to Cobra process for higher volume production is ongoing, with full implementation expected in 2025, indicating potential delays in scaling up production.
The collaboration with PowerCo requires careful management to ensure successful industrialization and scaling, which could pose risks if not executed effectively.
solong
2月前
ALERT!! Google has a search engine...just a thought
07/11/2024 Press Release
PowerCo and QuantumScape Announce Landmark Agreement to Industrialize Solid-State Batteries
San Jose, United States / Salzgitter, Germany. Volkswagen Group’s battery company PowerCo and QuantumScape (NYSE: QS) today announced they have entered into a groundbreaking agreement to industrialize QuantumScape’s next-generation solid-state lithium-metal battery technology. Upon satisfactory technical progress and certain royalty payments, QuantumScape will grant PowerCo the license to mass produce battery cells based on QuantumScape’s technology platform.
Under the non-exclusive license, PowerCo can manufacture up to 40 gigawatt-hours (GWh) per year using QuantumScape’s technology with the option to expand up to 80 GWh, enough to outfit approximately one million vehicles per year. The companies believe this high-touch engagement represents the fastest way to achieve gigawatt-hour-scale production of solid-state technology to meet the growing global demand for better electric vehicle batteries. The agreement supersedes an earlier joint venture between the Volkswagen Group and QuantumScape to co-manufacture batteries.
81vette
5月前
My observation is most stocks get sold off between 10:30 and 11am ,profit takers and ppl seeing the latest runner,fresh pumped ect .
I still haven’t sold QS ,I went out to camp with no access to internet,just able to look now and I am pleasantly surprised ,guess I will hold to see what happens with the big $10.00 resistance ,shares to short continue to drop,16% short and squeezing makes me breath easy.
Back to the lake for me, good skill to you brother!!
dirkv
5月前
BERLIN (Reuters) - Volkswagen will massively ramp up production of solid-state batteries developed with U.S. startup QuantumScape, both companies said on Thursday, as the German carmaker aims to bring the technology into more vehicles.
Under an agreement announced on Thursday, Volkswagen's battery unit PowerCo will receive the licence to mass-produce battery cells based on QuantumScape technology, pending technological progress and certain royalty payments, they said.
The deal replaces an earlier joint venture between the two companies, Volkswagen said. Volkswagen owns 17% in QuantumScape, according to its annual report, a stake that is currently worth $459 million.
Under the agreement, Volkswagen's battery unit PowerCo can manufacture up to 40 gigawatt-hours (GWh) per year using the QuantumScape technology, with an option to expand to 80 GWh, which is enough to equip approximately 1 million vehicles annually, they said.
Solid-state batteries can hold more energy than current liquid electrolyte batteries. Automakers and analysts expect them to speed transition to EVs by addressing their often limited range, which remains a major consumer concern.
"QuantumScape's technology is poised to enter a pivotal stage where PowerCo's specialized expertise, resources and global factories can help facilitate the transition to industrial-scale production," said PowerCo CEO Frank Blome.
The companies will target a product that will be scaled-up for integration into a Volkswagen Group vehicle series.
The agreement supersedes a joint venture between the two companies to co-manufacture batteries that was founded in 2018.
(Reporting by Christina Amann; Writing by Miranda Murray; Editing by Christoph Steitz and Madeline Chambers)