National House Prices Stabilize After
Nine-Month Slowdown
—House Price Growth Nationally Likely to End
the Year Not Too Hot, Not Too Cold, says Chief Economist Mark
Fleming—
First American Data & Analytics, a leading national
provider of property-centric information, risk management and
valuation solutions and a division of First American Financial
Corporation (NYSE: FAF), today released its October 2024 Home
Price Index (HPI) report. The report tracks home price changes
less than four weeks behind real time at the national, state and
metropolitan (Core-Based Statistical Area) levels and includes
metropolitan price tiers that segment sale transactions into
starter, mid and luxury tiers. The full report can be found
here.
October1 Home Price Index
Dallas-Plano-Irving Market
Metric
Change in HPI
September-October 2024 (month over
month)
+0.4 percent
October 2023-October 2024 (year over
year)
+1.9 percent
National HPI
Metric
Change in HPI
September-October 2024 (month over
month)
-0.05 percent
October 2023-October 2024 (year over
year)
+3.8 percent
Chief Economist National HPI Analysis:
“National annual house price appreciation stabilized in October,
ending a nine-month streak of annual deceleration,” said Mark
Fleming, chief economist at First American. “While mortgage rates
slid downward through September, they unexpectedly rebounded in
October, wiping out the short-lived affordability boost from lower
mortgage rates. As a result, potential home buyers may hit pause,
dampening home buying activity through the rest of 2024. Heading
toward the new year, house price growth seems poised to maintain a
steady, balanced pace—neither too hot, nor too cold.”
Year-Over-Year Price-Tier Data for the Dallas-Plano-Irving
Metro Area: October 2023 to October 2024
The First American Data & Analytics HPI segments home price
changes at the metropolitan level into three price tiers based on
local market sales data: starter tier, which represents home sales
prices at the bottom third of the market price distribution;
mid-tier, which represents home sales prices in the middle third of
the market price distribution; and the luxury tier, which
represents home sales prices in the top third of the market price
distribution.
CBSA
Starter
Mid-Tier
Luxury
Dallas-Plano-Irving
2.7%
1.2%
3.0%
“House price trends vary significantly by market, and annual
price growth in October was slowest in markets in the South and
West,” said Fleming. “Affordability challenges, and in some markets
a bump in inventory relative to demand, are keeping a lid on price
appreciation.”
October 2024 First American Data & Analytics Price Tier
HPI Highlights
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs)
Ranked by Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in Starter Tier
HPI
CBSA
Change in Starter Tier
HPI
Change in Mid-Tier HPI
Change in Luxury Tier
HPI
Nassau County, N.Y.
+8.9 percent
+13.3 percent
+0.4 percent
St. Louis
+8.3 percent
+2.6 percent
+1.7 percent
New York
+7.7 percent
+7.2 percent
+1.8 percent
Cambridge, Mass.
+7.0 percent
+4.4 percent
+3.4 percent
Washington
+6.9 percent
+5.9 percent
+6.4 percent
Additional October 2024 First American Data & Analytics
HPI Highlights
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs)
with Greatest Year-Over-Year Increases in HPI
CBSA
Change in HPI
Anaheim, Calif.
+7.0 percent
Cambridge, Mass.
+5.7 percent
Washington
+5.6 percent
Seattle
+5.4 percent
Miami
+5.0 percent
Core-Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs)
with a Year-Over-Year Decease in HPI
Tampa, Fla.
-1.5 percent
Oakland, Calif.
-1.2 percent
Orlando, Fla.
-0.5 percent
HPI data for all 50 states and the largest 30 CBSAs by
population is available here.
Visit the First American Economic Center for more research on
housing market dynamics.
Next Release
The next release of the First American Data & Analytics
House Price Index will take place the week of December 16,
2024.
First American Data & Analytics HPI Methodology
The First American Data & Analytics HPI report measures
single-family home prices, including distressed sales, with indices
updated monthly beginning in 1980 through the month of the current
report. HPI data is provided at the national, state and CBSA levels
and includes preliminary index estimates for the month prior to the
report (i.e. the preliminary result of July transactions is
reported in August). The most recent index results are subject to
revision as data from more transactions become available.
The HPI uses a repeat-sales methodology, which measures price
changes for the same property over time using more than 46 million
paired transactions to generate the indices. In non-disclosure
states, the HPI utilizes a combination of public sales records, MLS
sold and active listings, and appraisal data to estimate house
prices. This comprehensive approach is particularly effective in
areas where there is limited availability of accurate sale prices,
such as non-disclosure states. Property type, price and location
data are used to create more refined market segment indices. Real
Estate-Owned transactions are not included.
Disclaimer
Opinions, estimates, forecasts and other views contained in this
page are those of First American’s Chief Economist, do not
necessarily represent the views of First American or its
management, should not be construed as indicating First American’s
business prospects or expected results, and are subject to change
without notice. Although the First American Economics team attempts
to provide reliable, useful information, it does not guarantee that
the information is accurate, current or suitable for any particular
purpose. © 2024 by First American. Information from this page may
be used with proper attribution.
About First American Data & Analytics
First American Data & Analytics, a division of First
American Financial Corporation, is a national provider of
property-centric information, risk management and valuation
solutions. First American maintains and curates the industry’s
largest property and ownership dataset that includes more than 8
billion document images. Its major platforms and products include:
DataTree®, FraudGuard®, RegsData®, First American TaxSource™ and
ACI®. Find out more about how First American Data & Analytics
powers the real estate, mortgage and title settlement services
industries with advanced decisioning solutions at
www.FirstAmDNA.com.
About First American
First American Financial Corporation (NYSE: FAF) is a
premier provider of title, settlement and risk solutions for real
estate transactions. With its combination of financial strength and
stability built over more than 135 years, innovative proprietary
technologies, and unmatched data assets, the company is leading the
digital transformation of its industry. First American also
provides data products to the title industry and other third
parties; valuation products and services; mortgage subservicing;
home warranty products; banking, trust and wealth management
services; and other related products and services. With total
revenue of $6.0 billion in 2023, the company offers its products
and services directly and through its agents throughout the United
States and abroad. In 2024, First American was named one of the 100
Best Companies to Work For by Great Place to Work® and Fortune
Magazine for the ninth consecutive year, and named one of the 100
Best Workplaces for Innovators by Fast Company for the second
consecutive year. More information about the company can be found
at www.firstam.com.
1 The most recent index results are subject to revision as data
from more transactions become available.
View source
version on businesswire.com: https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20241119956810/en/
Media Contact: Marcus Ginnaty Corporate Communications
First American Financial Corporation (714) 250-3298
Investor Contact: Craig Barberio Investor Relations First
American Financial Corporation (714) 250-5214
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