Bitcoin’s NVT Cross Signals a Local Top – Is a Major Correction Looming?
2024年10月4日 - 5:00PM
NEWSBTC
Bitcoin has been experiencing some interesting developments in its
market indicators, and a recent analysis points to the NVT (Network
Value to Transactions) Golden Cross signaling a potential
short-term local top. According to a CryptoQuant analyst known as
Darkfost, the NVT Golden Cross—a key metric used to determine
market valuation relative to transaction volume—has reached a major
level. Related Reading: Is This Bitcoin’s Last Big Drop? Expert
Points To Key Indicator Local Top Spotted, What Next? The
CryptoQuant analyst revealed that Bitcoin’s NVT Golden Cross has
recently reached the 2.9 level, suggesting that the market cap, or
price, of Bitcoin, may be outpacing its transaction volume.
Particularly, Darkfost explained that a value above 2.2 indicates
the possibility of reversing the mean, suggesting that the current
valuation could be overextended. On the other hand, a value below
-1.6 would indicate that the market is potentially undervalued. For
context, the NVT Golden Cross compares the market cap of Bitcoin to
the volume of transactions on its network, providing a measure of
whether Bitcoin is being traded at a fair value. The signals
become stronger when the metric moves deeper into its upper or
lower zones. At a current value of 2.9, the indication is that
Bitcoin may face short-term price resistance, possibly pointing to
a local top at around $65,800, Darkforst revealed. The analyst adds
that such levels can gauge potential long and short positions,
especially when viewed alongside global chart trends and broader
market behaviour. Bitcoin On The Verge Of Major Correction? While
the NVT Golden Cross presents a perspective of potential market
overvaluation, another CryptoQuant analyst, CryptoOnchain, offers
additional insights by analyzing Bitcoin’s movement between
exchanges. The recent data shows a significant outflow of Bitcoin
from centralized exchanges. This trend of Bitcoin being withdrawn
from exchanges is seen across all three key moving averages:
30-day, 50-day, and 100-day. The analyst revealed that such an
outflow hasn’t been observed at this scale since November 2022.
Notably, a decrease in Bitcoin held on exchanges can be interpreted
in multiple ways. Firstly, it often suggests that investors move
their assets to more secure storage, such as cold wallets, to hold
rather than trade. Related Reading: Is Bitcoin On The Brink Of A
Reversal? Here’s What This Key Indicator Suggests This behavior can
signal confidence in the asset, as holders may expect its value to
increase over time. With fewer BTC available on exchanges for
immediate sale, the potential for downward price pressure may
decrease, which could set the stage for a bullish momentum in the
longer term. However, it can also indicate that traders prepare to
exit their positions, anticipating a correction if they foresee
market instability or overvaluation. Featured image created with
DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
TRON (COIN:TRXUSD)
過去 株価チャート
から 11 2024 まで 12 2024
TRON (COIN:TRXUSD)
過去 株価チャート
から 12 2023 まで 12 2024