JP Morgan Predicts Bitcoin Crash To $13.000 Due To Cascade Of Margin Calls
2022年11月10日 - 05:10PM
NEWSBTC
Amidst the drama surrounding the busted deal between FTX and
Binance, banking giant JP Morgan has commented on the current state
of Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. If FTX does file for
bankruptcy, the contagion could be massive. As Bitcoinist reported
today, FTX CEO Sam Bankman-Fried confirmed in a call with his
investors shortly before Binance dismissed his bailout that the
hole in the balance sheet is $8 billion. Related Reading: Bitcoin
Price Plunges 15%, Can Buyers Save The Key $15K Support? An
anonymous source leaked that the troubled exchange is seeking
bailout funding in the form of debt, equity or a combination of
both. With Singaporean state-owned Temasak and TRON founder Justin
Sun, there are currently at least two small sparks of hope. JP
Morgan Forecasts Gloomy Times For Bitcoin The looming insolvency of
FTX continues to weigh heavily on the Bitcoin price at the moment.
At press time, Bitcoin was trading at $17,767, down 9% over the
last 24 hours and down 19% over the last seven days. Exactly one
year ago, on November 10, 2021, BTC reached its previous all-time
high of $69,045.00, which represents a price drop of around 75% at
the current rate. However, according to the latest report from JP
Morgan, it could go even lower as the market faces a “cascade of
margin calls.” According to JPMorgan strategists led by Nikolaos
Panigirtzoglou, the Bitcoin price could fall as low as $13,000.
Moreover, the analysts warn in the report that the cascade effect
could be amplified due to the current conditions of the market:
What makes this new phase of crypto deleveraging induced by the
apparent collapse of Alameda Research and FTX more problematic is
that the number of entities with stronger balance sheets able to
rescue those with low capital and high leverage is shrinking” in
the crypto sphere. According to JP Morgan, a renewed miner
capitulation deems a major risk factor. In particular, the U.S.
banking giant believes Bitcoin could fall below its production
cost, currently averaging around $15,000. At the moment, this
production cost stands at $15,000, but it is likely to revisit the
$13,000 low seen over the summer months. As a result, more miners
like Core Scientific recently may be forced to sell their Bitcoin
holdings, putting additional selling pressure on the market. Riot
Blockchain, one of the largest publicly traded Bitcoin miners,
recently released its latest quarterly report, revealing the state
of its finances and operations. Related Reading: Bitcoin Bear
Markets Compared: How Much Longer Till The Bottom? | BTCUSD
November 9, 2022 As Jaran Mellerud of Hashrate Index discussed,
nothing is more important in a bear market than a healthy balance
sheet. Riot has a solid balance sheet with minimal debt, which is
reflected in their low debt-to-equity ratio. The majority of the
top 10 listed Bitcoin miners boast similarly good or even better
numbers. Nothing is more important in a bear market than having a
healthy balance sheet. Riot has a solid balance sheet with minimal
amounts of debt. pic.twitter.com/viWEVUErbP — Jaran Mellerud
(@JMellerud) November 9, 2022 However, with Hive, Spere 3D, DMG and
CryptoStar, there are also four miners that have higher
debt-to-equity ratios.
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